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Calculating averages with respect to multimodal probability distributions is often necessary in applications. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods to this end, which are based on time averages along a realization of a Markov process…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-24 M. Chak , T. Lelièvre , G. Stoltz , U. Vaes

We introduce the Lyapunov approach to optimal control problems of average risk-sensitive Markov control processes with general risk maps. Motivated by applications in particular to behavioral economics, we consider possibly non-convex risk…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-07-23 Yun Shen , Klaus Obermayer , Wilhelm Stannat

We propose cube thinning, a novel method for compressing the output of a MCMC (Markov chain Monte Carlo) algorithm when control variates are available. It amounts to resampling the initial MCMC sample (according to weights derived from…

Computation · Statistics 2021-09-01 Nicolas Chopin , Gabriel Ducrocq

Variational inference is increasingly being addressed with stochastic optimization. In this setting, the gradient's variance plays a crucial role in the optimization procedure, since high variance gradients lead to poor convergence. A…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-23 Tomas Geffner , Justin Domke

We establish an ordering criterion for the asymptotic variances of two consistent Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) estimators: an importance sampling (IS) estimator, based on an approximate reversible chain and subsequent IS weighting, and a…

Computation · Statistics 2020-07-06 Jordan Franks , Matti Vihola

Handling uncertainty in model predictive control comes with various challenges, especially when considering state constraints under uncertainty. Most methods focus on either the conservative approach of robustly accounting for uncertainty…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-05-03 Michael Fink , Tim Brüdigam , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

We are interested in the analysis of very large continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) with many distinct rates. Such models arise naturally in the context of reliability analysis, e.g., of computer network performability analysis, of power…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2015-07-24 Ernst Moritz Hahn , Holger Hermanns , Ralf Wimmer , Bernd Becker

We consider the constrained optimal control problem for the gradual-impulsive CTMDP model with the performance criteria being the expected total undiscounted costs (from the running cost and the cost from each time an impulse being…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-07 Alexey Piunovskiy , Yi Zhang

This paper considers continuous-time block-monotone Markov chains (BMMCs) and their block-augmented truncations. We first introduce the block monotonicity and block-wise dominance relation for continuous-time Markov chains, and then provide…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-22 Hiroyuki Masuyama

Recently there is a large amount of work devoted to the study of Markov chain stochastic gradient methods (MC-SGMs) which mainly focus on their convergence analysis for solving minimization problems. In this paper, we provide a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-19 Puyu Wang , Yunwen Lei , Yiming Ying , Ding-Xuan Zhou

The purpose of this paper is to introduce a new Markov chain Monte Carlo method and exhibit its efficiency by simulation and high-dimensional asymptotic theory. Key fact is that our algorithm has a reversible proposal transition kernel,…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-22 Kengo Kamatani

Deriving Bayesian inference for exponential random graph models (ERGMs) is a challenging "doubly intractable" problem as the normalizing constants of the likelihood and posterior density are both intractable. Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC)…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-26 Linda S. L. Tan , Nial Friel

Leveraging well-established MCMC strategies, we propose MCMC-interactive variational inference (MIVI) to not only estimate the posterior in a time constrained manner, but also facilitate the design of MCMC transitions. Constructing a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-14 Quan Zhang , Huangjie Zheng , Mingyuan Zhou

This chapter describes several control variate methods for improving estimates of expectations from MCMC.

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-21 Leah South , Matthew Sutton

The development of efficient numerical methods for kinetic equations with stochastic parameters is a challenge due to the high dimensionality of the problem. Recently we introduced a multiscale control variate strategy which is capable to…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-12-14 Giacomo Dimarco , Lorenzo Pareschi

This paper aims to enhance the computational efficiency of safety verification of neural network control systems by developing a guaranteed neural network model reduction method. First, a concept of model reduction precision is proposed to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-19 Weiming Xiang , Zhongzhu Shao

Based on our recent research on neural heuristic quantization systems, we propose an emulation problem consistent with the neuromimetic paradigm. This optimal quantization problem can be solved with model predictive control (MPC) by…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-08 Zexin Sun , John Baillieul

Reversibility is a key property of Markov chains, central to algorithms such as Metropolis-Hastings and other MCMC methods. Yet many applications yield non-reversible chains, motivating the problem of approximating them by reversible ones…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-27 Stefano Cipolla , Fabio Durastante , Miryam Gnazzo , Beatrice Meini

We consider the problem of maximizing the expected average reward obtained over an infinite time horizon by $n$ weakly coupled Markov decision processes. Our setup is a substantial generalization of the multi-armed restless bandit problem…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-01 Diego Goldsztajn , Konstantin Avrachenkov

Model predictive control (MPC) achieves stability and constraint satisfaction for general nonlinear systems, but requires computationally expensive online optimization. This paper studies approximations of such MPC controllers via neural…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-07 Henrik Hose , Johannes Köhler , Melanie N. Zeilinger , Sebastian Trimpe