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In this study, we consider unsupervised clustering of categorical vectors that can be of different size using mixture. We use likelihood maximization to estimate the parameters of the underlying mixture model and a penalization technique to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-09-08 Esther Derman , Erwan Le Pennec

A software tool, computing observed and expected upper limits on Poissonian process rates using a hybrid frequentist-Bayesian CLs method, is presented. This tool can be used for simple counting experiments where only signal, background and…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2018-03-26 Emmanuel Busato , David Calvet , Timothée Theveneaux-Pelzer

Central limit theorems (CLTs) have a long history in probability and statistics. They play a fundamental role in constructing valid statistical inference procedures. Over the last century, various techniques have been developed in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-27 Arisina Banerjee , Arun K Kuchibhotla

Hidden variable graphical models can sometimes imply constraints on the observable distribution that are more complex than simple conditional independence relations. These observable constraints can falsify assumptions of the model that…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Michael C. Sachs , Erin E. Gabriel , Robin J. Evans , Arvid Sjölander

We discuss the simplified likelihood framework as a systematic approximation scheme for experimental likelihoods such as those originating from LHC experiments. We develop the simplified likelihood from the Central Limit Theorem keeping the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2019-05-01 Andy Buckley , Matthew Citron , Sylvain Fichet , Sabine Kraml , Wolfgang Waltenberger , Nicholas Wardle

Recent works have derived non-asymptotic upper bounds for convergence of underdamped Langevin MCMC. We revisit these bound and consider introducing scaling terms in the underlying underdamped Langevin equation. In particular, we provide…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-12-09 Tim Zajic

Langevin diffusion is a commonly used tool for sampling from a given distribution. In this work, we establish that when the target density $p^*$ is such that $\log p^*$ is $L$ smooth and $m$ strongly convex, discrete Langevin diffusion…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-02 Xiang Cheng , Peter Bartlett

Model Predictive Control (MPC) is often tuned by trial and error. When a baseline linear controller exists that is already well tuned in the absence of constraints and MPC is introduced to enforce them, one would like to avoid altering the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-01 Mario Zanon , Alberto Bemporad

Several numerical schemes are proposed for the solution of Nonequilibrium Langevin Dynamics (NELD), and the rate of convergence is analyzed. Due to the special deforming boundary conditions used, care must be taken when using standard…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-09-26 Matthew Dobson , Abdel Kader Geraldo

Self-interacting scalar quantum field theories possessing $PT$-symmetry are physically admissible since their energy spectrum is real and bounded below. However, models with $PT$-invariant potentials can have complex actions in general and…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2022-01-31 Arpith Kumar , Anosh Joseph

The Adaptive Multilevel Splitting algorithm is a very powerful and versatile iterative method to estimate the probability of rare events, based on an interacting particle systems. In an other article, in a so-called idealized setting, the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-10-21 Charles-Edouard Bréhier , Ludovic Goudenège , Loic Tudela

In this paper we explore different regression models based on Clusterwise Linear Regression (CLR). CLR aims to find the partition of the data into $k$ clusters, such that linear regressions fitted to each of the clusters minimize overall…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-05-01 Igor Gitman , Jieshi Chen , Eric Lei , Artur Dubrawski

The Cram\'er-Rao bound (CRB), a well-known lower bound on the performance of any unbiased parameter estimator, has been used to study a wide variety of problems. However, to obtain the CRB, requires an analytical expression for the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Hai Victor Habi , Hagit Messer , Yoram Bresler

A probability forecast or probabilistic classifier is reliable or calibrated if the predicted probabilities are matched by ex post observed frequencies, as examined visually in reliability diagrams. The classical binning and counting…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-26 Timo Dimitriadis , Tilmann Gneiting , Alexander I. Jordan

We develop a general framework for estimating function-valued parameters under equality or inequality constraints in infinite-dimensional statistical models. Such constrained learning problems are common across many areas of statistics and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-22 Razieh Nabi , Nima S. Hejazi , Mark J. van der Laan , David Benkeser

In this note, we consider the construction of a one-dimensional stable Langevin type process confined in the upper half-plane and submitted to reflective-diffusive boundary conditions whenever the particle position hits 0. We show that two…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-22 J. -F Jabir , C. Profeta

Machine learning (ML) is transforming healthcare, but safe clinical decisions demand reliable uncertainty estimates that standard ML models fail to provide. Conformal prediction (CP) is a popular tool that allows users to turn heuristic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-18 Klaus-Rudolf Kladny , Bernhard Schölkopf , Lisa Koch , Christian F. Baumgartner , Michael Muehlebach

The Central Limit Theorem (CLT) establishes that sufficiently large sequences of independent and identically distributed random variables converge in probability to a normal distribution. This makes the CLT a fundamental building block of…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Henning Basold , Oisín Flynn-Connolly , Chase Ford , Hao Wang

This study explores the utility of a kernel in complex Langevin simulations of quantum real-time dynamics on the Schwinger-Keldysh contour. We give several examples where we use a systematic scheme to find kernels that restore correct…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2022-11-22 Daniel Alvestad , Rasmus Larsen , Alexander Rothkopf

Cross-Correlation random matrices have emerged as a promising indicator of phase transitions in spin systems. The core concept is that the evolution of magnetization encapsulates thermodynamic information [R. da Silva, Int. J. Mod. Phys. C,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-08-19 Roberto da Silva , Sandra D. Prado
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