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We present a novel strategy aimed at restoring correct convergence in complex Langevin simulations. The central idea is to incorporate system-specific prior knowledge into the simulations, in order to circumvent the NP-hard sign problem. In…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2023-04-19 Daniel Alvestad , Rasmus Larsen , Alexander Rothkopf

Complex Langevin dynamics can be used to perform numerical simulations of theories with a complex action. In order to justify the procedure, it is important to understand the properties of the real and positive distribution, which is…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2013-09-13 Pietro Giudice , Gert Aarts , Erhard Seiler

We consider an equivariant approach imposing data-driven bounds for the variances to avoid singular and spurious solutions in maximum likelihood (ML) estimation of clusterwise linear regression models. We investigate its use in the choice…

Computation · Statistics 2018-04-17 R. Di Mari , R. Rocci , S. A. Gattone

We investigate the applicability of complex Langevin dynamics to the three-dimensional XY model at finite chemical potential. To assess correctness, we introduce a new diagnostic based on the configurational temperature (or configurational…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2025-09-17 Anosh Joseph , Arpith Kumar

In binary classification tasks, accurate representation of probabilistic predictions is essential for various real-world applications such as predicting payment defaults or assessing medical risks. The model must then be well-calibrated to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-08 Agathe Fernandes Machado , Arthur Charpentier , Emmanuel Flachaire , Ewen Gallic , François Hu

We propose a method for setting limits that avoids excluding parameter values for which the sensitivity falls below a specified threshold. These "power-constrained" limits (PCL) address the issue that motivated the widely used CLs…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-05-17 Glen Cowan , Kyle Cranmer , Eilam Gross , Ofer Vitells

In many applications, accurate class probability estimates are required, but many types of models produce poor quality probability estimates despite achieving acceptable classification accuracy. Even though probability calibration has been…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-18 Tim Leathart , Maksymilian Polaczuk

The Integrated Completed Likelihood (ICL) criterion has been proposed by Biernacki et al. (2000) in the model-based clustering framework to select a relevant number of classes and has been used by statisticians in various application areas.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-06-01 Jean-Patrick Baudry

A complementary label (CL) simply indicates an incorrect class of an example, but learning with CLs results in multi-class classifiers that can predict the correct class. Unfortunately, the problem setting only allows a single CL for each…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-09 Lei Feng , Takuo Kaneko , Bo Han , Gang Niu , Bo An , Masashi Sugiyama

The composite likelihood (CL) is amongst the computational methods used for the estimation of high-dimensional multivariate normal (MVN) copula models with discrete responses. Its computational advantage, as a surrogate likelihood method,…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-10 Aristidis K. Nikoloulopoulos

Conditional language models are predominantly trained with maximum likelihood estimation (MLE), giving probability mass to sparsely observed target sequences. While MLE trained models assign high probability to plausible sequences given the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-10-04 Yao Zhao , Misha Khalman , Rishabh Joshi , Shashi Narayan , Mohammad Saleh , Peter J. Liu

Gradient Langevin dynamics and a variety of its variants have attracted increasing attention owing to their convergence towards the global optimal solution, initially in the unconstrained convex framework while recently even in convex…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-15 Kanji Sato , Akiko Takeda , Reiichiro Kawai , Taiji Suzuki

The problem of sampling according to the probability distribution minimizing a given free energy, using interacting particles unadjusted kinetic Langevin Monte Carlo, is addressed. In this setting, three sources of error arise, related to…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-05 Pierre Monmarché , Katharina Schuh

The reduction of high-dimensional systems to effective models on a smaller set of variables is an essential task in many areas of science. For stochastic dynamics governed by diffusion processes, a general procedure to find effective…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-12-15 Feliks Nüske , Péter Koltai , Lorenzo Boninsegna , Cecilia Clementi

Complex classifiers may exhibit "embarassing" failures in cases where humans can easily provide a justified classification. Avoiding such failures is obviously of key importance. In this work, we focus on one such setting, where a label is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-06-14 Deborah Cohen , Amit Daniely , Amir Globerson , Gal Elidan

We prove the central limit theorem (CLT) for a sequence of independent zero-mean random variables $\xi_j$, perturbed by predictable multiplicative factors $\lambda_j$ with values in intervals $[\underline\lambda_j,\overline\lambda_j]$. It…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-08-31 Dmitry B. Rokhlin

Using observation data to estimate unknown parameters in computational models is broadly important. This task is often challenging because solutions are non-unique due to the complexity of the model and limited observation data. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-18 Jiacheng Wu , Jian-Xun Wang , Shawn C. Shadden

The correct use and interpretation of models depends on several steps, two of which being the calibration by parameter estimation and the analysis of uncertainty. In the biological literature, these steps are seldom discussed together, but…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-08-17 André Chalom , Paulo Inácio de Knegt López de Prado

In this paper, we address the issue of model specification in probabilistic latent variable models (PLVMs) using an infinite-horizon optimal control approach. Traditional PLVMs rely on joint distributions to model complex data, but…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-29 Zhichao Chen , Hao Wang , Licheng Pan , Yiran Ma , Yunfei Teng , Jiaze Ma , Le Yao , Zhiqiang Ge , Zhihuan Song

In this article, we rigorously establish the consistency of generalized cross-validation as a parameter-choice rule for solving inverse problems. We prove that the index chosen by leave-one-out GCV achieves a non-asymptotic, order-optimal…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-18 Tim Jahn , Mikhail Kirilin