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It is tested whether past abrupt climate changes support the validity of statistical early-warning signals (EWS) as predictor of future climate tipping points. EWS are expected increases in amplitude and correlation of fluctuations driven…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-10-27 Johannes Lohmann

Previous studies showed that hydro-climate processes are stochastic and complex systems, and it is difficult to discover the hidden patterns in the all non-stationary data and thoroughly understand the hydro-climate relationships. For the…

Applications · Statistics 2018-10-02 Jianhua Xu

To advance automated detection of extreme weather events, which are increasing in frequency and intensity with climate change, we explore modifications to a novel light-weight Context Guided convolutional neural network architecture trained…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-04-04 Romain Lacombe , Hannah Grossman , Lucas Hendren , David Lüdeke

We use the Global Historical Climatology Network--daily database to calculate trends in sea-level atmospheric pressures, their variance and the variance of their day-to-day differences in nine regions of the world. Changes in pressure…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2019-02-05 T. A. Howells , J. I. Katz

The climate is a non-equilibrium system undergoing the continuous action of forcing and dissipation. Under the effect of a spatially inhomogeneous absorption of solar energy, all the climate components dynamically respond until an…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-06-01 Charline Ragon , Valerio Lembo , Valerio Lucarini , Christian Vérard , Jérôme Kasparian , Maura Brunetti

Marine heatwaves (MHWs), an extreme climate phenomenon, pose significant challenges to marine ecosystems and industries, with their frequency and intensity increasing due to climate change. This study introduces an integrated deep learning…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-12-09 Ding Ning , Varvara Vetrova , Yun Sing Koh , Karin R. Bryan

We calculate the rate of ocean waves energy dissipation due to whitecapping by numerical simulation of deterministic phase resolving model for dynamics of ocean surface. Two independent numerical experiments are performed. First, we solve…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-06-03 A. O. Korotkevich , A. O. Prokofiev , V. E. Zakharov

Performing molecular dynamics simulations, we investigate the enormous slowdowns of water dynamics when approaching a glass transition or a solid interface. We show that both effects can be described on common grounds within a theoretical…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2015-06-19 Felix Klameth , Michael Vogel

Phase transitions impose topological constraints on thermodynamic state variables, masking energetic fluctuations at the phase boundary. This constraint is most apparent in melting systems, where temperature remains pinned despite continued…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-02-09 Zhiang Xie

Cenozoic temperature, sea level and CO2 co-variations provide insights into climate sensitivity to external forcings and sea level sensitivity to climate change. Climate sensitivity depends on the initial climate state, but potentially can…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2014-03-05 James Hansen , Makiko Sato , Gary Russell , Pushker Kharecha

Various studies identified possible drivers of extremes of Arctic sea ice reduction, such as observed in the summers of 2007 and 2012, including preconditioning, local feedback mechanisms, oceanic heat transport and the synoptic- and…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2024-04-09 Jerome Sauer , Jonathan Demaeyer , Giuseppe Zappa , François Massonnet , Francesco Ragone

Understanding when global glaciations occur on Earth-like planets is a major challenge in climate evolution research. Most models of how greenhouse gases like CO2 evolve with time on terrestrial planets are deterministic, but the complex,…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2021-05-12 R. Wordsworth

The increasing frequency of environmental hazards due to climate change underscores the urgent need for effective monitoring systems. Current approaches either rely on expensive labelled datasets, struggle with seasonal variations, or…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-03-04 Samuel Garske , Konrad Heidler , Bradley Evans , KC Wong , Xiao Xiang Zhu

Global climate models (GCMs) are the main tools for understanding and predicting climate change. However, due to limited numerical resolutions, these models suffer from major structural uncertainties; e.g., they cannot resolve critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Rambod Mojgani , Daniel Waelchli , Yifei Guan , Petros Koumoutsakos , Pedram Hassanzadeh

Climate models are limited by heavy computational costs, often producing outputs at coarse spatial resolutions, while many climate change impact studies require finer scales. Statistical downscaling bridges this gap, and we adapt the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-06 Maryam Alipourhajiagha , Pierre-Louis Lemaire , Youssef Diouane , Julie Carreau

The Wasserstein metric is introduced as a probabilistic method to enable quantitative evaluations of LES combustion models. The Wasserstein metric can directly be evaluated from scatter data or statistical results using probabilistic…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-06-06 Ross Johnson , Hao Wu , Matthias Ihme

Internal climate variability arises from the climate system's inherently chaotic dynamics. Quantifying it is essential for climate science, as it enables risk-based decision-making and differentiates between externally forced change and…

This study develops a statistical conditional approach to evaluate climate model performance in wind speed and direction and to project their future changes under the representative concentration pathway 8.5 scenario over inland and…

Applications · Statistics 2022-05-09 Qiuyi Wu , Julie Bessac , Whitney Huang , Jiali Wang

This paper is concerned by statistical inference problems from a data set whose elements may be modeled as random probability measures such as multiple histograms or point clouds. We propose to review recent contributions in statistics on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-08-27 Jérémie Bigot

Near-surface extreme winds profoundly affect human society, yet process-based understanding of their changes under climate forcings remains limited. This study systematically investigates the responses of high (HWE) and low (LWE) wind…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-03-05 G. Zhang , M. Rao , I. Simpson , K. A. Reed , B. Medeiros , H. -H. Chou , T. Shaw