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This paper proposes a new bootstrap method to compute predictive intervals for nonlinear autoregressive time series model forecast. This method we call the splice boobstrap as it involves splicing the last p values of a given series to a…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-25 Gerard Keogh

In this paper, a new family of resampling-based penalization procedures for model selection is defined in a general framework. It generalizes several methods, including Efron's bootstrap penalization and the leave-one-out penalization…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-06-19 Sylvain Arlot

The use of longitudinal finite mixture models such as group-based trajectory modeling has seen a sharp increase during the last decades in the medical literature. However, these methods have been criticized especially because of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-17 Miceline Mésidor , Caroline Sirois , Marc Simard , Denis Talbot

A key tool to carry out inference on the unknown copula when modeling a continuous multivariate distribution is a nonparametric estimator known as the empirical copula. One popular way of approximating its sampling distribution consists of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-01 Ivan Kojadinovic , Kristina Stemikovskaya

Computer simulations have become an important tool across the biomedical sciences and beyond. For many important problems several different models or hypotheses exist and choosing which one best describes reality or observed data is not…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2010-01-20 Tina Toni , Michael P. H. Stumpf

A Poisson autoregressive (PAR) model accounting for discreteness and autocorrelation of count time series data is typically estimated in the state-space modelling framework through extended Kalman filter. However, because of the complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-05 Paolo Victor T. Redondo , Joseph Ryan G. Lansangan , Erniel B. Barrios

In reinforcement learning, it is typical to use the empirically observed transitions and rewards to estimate the value of a policy via either model-based or Q-fitting approaches. Although straightforward, these techniques in general yield…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-28 Ilya Kostrikov , Ofir Nachum

Multitype branching processes with immigration in one type are used to model the dynamics of stage-structured plant populations. Parametric inference is first carried out when count data of all types are observed. Statistical…

Applications · Statistics 2009-02-27 Catherine Laredo , Olivier David , Aurélie Garnier

The challenge of noisy multi-objective optimization lies in the constant trade-off between exploring new decision points and improving the precision of known points through resampling. This decision should take into account both the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Timo Budszuhn , Mark Joachim Krallmann , Daniel Horn

In this paper we study a bootstrap strategy for estimating the variance of a mean taken over large multifactor crossed random effects data sets. We apply bootstrap reweighting independently to the levels of each factor, giving each…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-28 Art B. Owen , Dean Eckles

Estimating nonlinear functionals of probability distributions from samples is a fundamental statistical problem. The "plug-in" estimator obtained by applying the target functional to the empirical distribution of samples is biased.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-20 Florian Schäfer

Regularized regression approaches such as the Lasso have been widely adopted for constructing sparse linear models in high-dimensional datasets. A complexity in fitting these models is the tuning of the parameters which control the level of…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-12 Ellis Patrick , Samuel Mueller

The latent class model is a powerful unsupervised clustering algorithm for categorical data. Many statistics exist to test the fit of the latent class model. However, traditional methods to evaluate those fit statistics are not always…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-30 Geert H. van Kollenburg , Joris Mulder , Jeroen K. Vermunt

Sparse model identification enables nonlinear dynamical system discovery from data. However, the control of false discoveries for sparse model identification is challenging, especially in the low-data and high-noise limit. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-28 L. Mars Gao , Urban Fasel , Steven L. Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

We want to select the best systems out of a given set of systems (or rank them) with respect to their expected performance. The systems allow random observations only and we assume that the joint observation of the systems has a…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-23 Björn Görder , Michael Kolonko

Bootstrapping was designed to randomly resample data from a fixed sample using Monte Carlo techniques. However, the original sample itself defines a discrete distribution. Convolutional methods are well suited for discrete distributions,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-19 Jared M. Clark , Richard L. Warr

Bootstrapping and other resampling methods are increasingly appearing in the textbooks and curricula of courses that introduce undergraduate students to statistical methods. In order to teach the bootstrap well, students and instructors…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2024-05-30 Njesa Totty , James Molyneux , Claudio Fuentes

The bootstrap, introduced by Efron (1982), has become a very popular method for estimating variances and constructing confidence intervals. A key insight is that one can approximate the properties of estimators by using the empirical…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-29 Guido Imbens , Konrad Menzel

Bootstrapping is a useful technique for estimating the uncertainty of a predictor, for example, confidence intervals for prediction. It is typically used on small to moderate sized datasets, due to its high computation cost. This work…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-12-19 Zhen Qin , Vaclav Petricek , Nikos Karampatziakis , Lihong Li , John Langford

In a two-stage cluster sampling procedure, $n$ random populations are drawn independently from independent populations and a sub-sample of observations is taken in each of them. The estimator of the general mean of the observed variables is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Odile Pons
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