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Suppose that $Y = \psi(X_1, \ldots, X_p)$, where $(X_1,\ldots, X_p)^\top$ are random inputs, $Y$ is the output, and $\psi(\cdot)$ is an unknown link function. The Sobol indices gauge the sensitivity of each $X$ against $Y$ by estimating the…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-04-19 Maikol Solís

Inference on the parametric part of a semiparametric model is no trivial task. If one approximates the infinite dimensional part of the semiparametric model by a parametric function, one obtains a parametric model that is in some sense…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-09-23 Adam Lee , Emil A. Stoltenberg , Per A. Mykland

Network estimation from multi-variate point process or time series data is a problem of fundamental importance. Prior work has focused on parametric approaches that require a known parametric model, which makes estimation procedures less…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-06-30 Yue Gao , Garvesh Raskutti

The variance-based method of Sobol sensitivity indices is very popular among practitioners due to its efficiency and easiness of interpretation. However, for high-dimensional models the direct application of this method can be very time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-26 S. Kucherenko , S. Song

Global sensitivity analysis (GSA) is used to quantify the influence of uncertain variables in a mathematical model. Prior to performing GSA, the user must specify (or implicitly assume), a probability distribution to model the uncertainty,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-22 Joseph Hart , Pierre Gremaud

Sobol' sensitivity index estimators for stochastic models are functions of nested Monte Carlo estimators, which are estimators built from two nested Monte Carlo loops. The outer loop explores the input space and, for each of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-03-20 Henri Mermoz Kouye , Gildas Mazo

We introduce a broad class of models called semiparametric spatial point process for making inference between spatial point patterns and spatial covariates. These models feature an intensity function with both parametric and nonparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-24 Xindi Lin , Bumjun Park , Christopher Zahasky , Hyunseung Kang

Reliability-oriented sensitivity analysis methods have been developed for understanding the influence of model inputs relative to events which characterize the failure of a system (e.g., a threshold exceedance of the model output). In this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-04 Marouane Il Idrissi , Vincent Chabridon , Bertrand Iooss

When drawing causal inference from observational data, there is always concern about unmeasured confounding. One way to tackle this is to conduct a sensitivity analysis. One widely-used sensitivity analysis framework hypothesizes the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-22 Bo Zhang , Eric J. Tchetgen Tchetgen

Sensitivity indices when the inputs of a model are not independent are estimated by local polynomial techniques. Two original estimators based on local polynomial smoothers are proposed. Both have good theoretical properties which are…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-12-18 Sébastien Da Veiga , François Wahl , Fabrice Gamboa

We propose a holistic framework for constructing sensitivity measures for any elicitable functional $T$ of a response variable. The sensitivity measures, termed score-based sensitivities, are constructed via scoring functions that are…

Applications · Statistics 2023-02-03 Tobias Fissler , Silvana M. Pesenti

The Shapley effects are global sensitivity indices: they quantify the impact of each input variable on the output variable in a model. In this work, we suggest new estimators of these sensitivity indices. When the input distribution is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-14 Baptiste Broto , François Bachoc , Marine Depecker

We introduce a new method to jointly reduce the dimension of the input and output space of a function between high-dimensional spaces. Choosing a reduced input subspace influences which output subspace is relevant and vice versa.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-04-01 Qiao Chen , Elise Arnaud , Ricardo Baptista , Olivier Zahm

The Variogram Analysis of Response Surfaces (VARS) has been proposed by Razavi and Gupta as a new comprehensive framework in sensitivity analysis. According to these authors, VARS provides a more intuitive notion of sensitivity and it is…

Applications · Statistics 2020-11-24 Arnald Puy , Samuele Lo Piano , Andrea Saltelli

We introduce a semi-supervised learning estimator which tends to the first kernel principal component as the number of labelled points vanishes. Our approach is based on the notion of optimal target vector, which is defined as follows.…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2007-05-23 Leonardo Angelini , Daniele Marinazzo , Mario Pellicoro , Sebastiano Stramaglia

The method of derivative based global sensitivity measures (DGSM) has recently become popular among practitioners. It has a strong link with the Morris screening method and Sobol' sensitivity indices and has several advantages over them.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-12-05 Serge Kucherenko , Bertrand Iooss

Integrating probability and non-probability samples is increasingly important, yet unknown sampling mechanisms in non-probability sources complicate identification and efficient estimation. We develop semiparametric theory for dual-frame…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-14 Kosuke Morikawa , Jae Kwang Kim

We develop a new model selection method for the adaptive robust efficient nonparametric signal estimation observed with impulse noise which is defined by the general non Gaussian L\'evy processes. On the basis of the developed method, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-11-27 Slim Beltaief , Oleg Chernoyarov , Serguei Pergamenchtchikov

We present a complete framework for determining the asymptotic (or logarithmic) efficiency of estimators of large deviation probabilities and rate functions based on importance sampling. The framework relies on the idea that importance…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-10-26 Arnaud Guyader , Hugo Touchette

Given a statistical model, we propose a novel estimation method that yields randomised estimators for the unknown distribution of an observed random variable. We establish non-asymptotic bounds for the performance of these estimators and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Yannick Baraud
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