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Many mathematical models involve input parameters, which are not precisely known. Global sensitivity analysis aims to identify the parameters whose uncertainty has the largest impact on the variability of a quantity of interest (output of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-03-27 Alexandre Janon , Thierry Klein , Agnes Lagnoux-Renaudie , Maëlle Nodet , Clémentine Prieur

In this paper, we introduce new indices adapted to outputs valued in general metric spaces. This new class of indices encompasses the classical ones; in particular, the so-called Sobol indices and the Cram{\'e}r-von-Mises indices.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-21 Fabrice Gamboa , Thierry Klein , Agnès Lagnoux , Leonardo Moreno

The main objective of this paper is to propose a new approach for estimating the entire collection of Sobol' indices simultaneously. Our approach exploits the fact that Sobol' indices can be rewritten as solutions to an optimization problem…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-09 Manon Costa , Sébastien Gadat , Xavier Gendre , Thierry Klein

We propose a new importance sampling framework for the estimation and analysis of Sobol' indices. We focus on the estimation of the conditional second-moment quantity underlying these indices, which is the most challenging term to estimate.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Haythem Boucharif , Jérôme Morio , Paul Rochet

Sobol' sensitivity indices allow to quantify the respective effects of random input variables and their combinations on the variance of mathematical model output. We focus on the problem of Sobol' indices estimation via a metamodeling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-07 Ivan I. Panin

We describe a novel attribution method which is grounded in Sensitivity Analysis and uses Sobol indices. Beyond modeling the individual contributions of image regions, Sobol indices provide an efficient way to capture higher-order…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-02-17 Thomas Fel , Remi Cadene , Mathieu Chalvidal , Matthieu Cord , David Vigouroux , Thomas Serre

It is well-known that Sobol indices, which count among the most popular sensitivity indices, are based on the Sobol decomposition. Here we challenge this construction by redefining Sobol indices without the Sobol decomposition. In fact, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-23 Gildas Mazo

Let $X:=(X_1, \ldots, X_p)$ be random objects (the inputs), defined on some probability space $(\Omega,{\mathcal{F}}, \mathbb P)$ and valued in some measurable space $E=E_1\times\ldots \times E_p$. Further, let $Y:=Y = f(X_1, \ldots, X_p)$…

Applications · Statistics 2013-11-15 Fabrice Gamboa , Alexandre Janon , Thierry Klein , Agnès Lagnoux

A new method for estimating Sobol' indices is proposed. The new method makes use of 3 independent input vectors rather than the usual 2. It attains much greater accuracy on problems where the target Sobol' index is small, even outperforming…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-04-24 Art B. Owen

This study compares the performances of two sampling-based strategies for the simultaneous estimation of the first-and total-orders variance-based sensitivity indices (a.k.a Sobol' indices). The first strategy was introduced by [8] and is…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-16 Ivano Azzini , Thierry Mara , Rossana Rosati

Some classical uncertainty quantification problems require the estimation of multiple expectations. Estimating all of them accurately is crucial and can have a major impact on the analysis to perform, and standard existing Monte Carlo…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-02 Julien Demange-Chryst , François Bachoc , Jérôme Morio

Many mathematical models involve input parameters, which are not precisely known. Global sensitivity analysis aims to identify the parameters whose uncertainty has the largest impact on the variability of a quantity of interest (output of…

Global sensitivity analysis of a numerical code, more specifically estimation of Sobol indices associated with input variables, generally requires a large number of model runs. When those demand too much computation time, it is necessary to…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2012-01-16 Alexandre Janon , Maëlle Nodet , Clémentine Prieur

In the context of global sensitivity analysis, the Sobol' indices constitute a powerful tool for assessing the relative significance of the uncertain input parameters of a model. We herein introduce a novel approach for evaluating these…

Computation · Statistics 2016-05-31 K. Konakli , B. Sudret

Sensitivity indices are commonly used to quantify the relative influence of any specific group of input variables on the output of a computer code. One crucial question is then to decide whether a given set of variables has a significant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-05 Thierry Klein , Nicolas Peteilh , Paul Rochet

Given a bivariate random pair $(X,Y)$, a natural problem is to estimate, from a single sample $(X_i,Y_i)_{1\le i\le n}$, quantities such as $\mathbb{E}\left[ \mathbb{E}[ Y\mid X ]^2 \right]$. More broadly, sensitivity indices are designed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-25 Reda Chhaibi , Fabrice Gamboa , Clément Pellegrini

In this paper we address the problem of efficient estimation of Sobol sensitivy indices. First, we focus on general functional integrals of conditional moments of the form $\E(\psi(\E(\varphi(Y)|X)))$ where $(X,Y)$ is a random vector with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-15 Sébastien Da Veiga , Fabrice Gamboa

In the context of air quality control, our objective is to quantify the impact of uncertain inputs such as meteorological conditions and traffic parameters on pollutant dispersion maps. It is worth noting that the majority of sensitivity…

Stochastic simulators such as Monte-Carlo estimators are widely used in science and engineering to study physical systems through their probabilistic representation. Global sensitivity analysis aims to identify the input parameters which…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-06-03 Loic Le Gratiet

A novel theoretical and numerical framework for the estimation of Sobol sensitivity indices for models in which inputs are confined to a non-rectangular domain (e.g., in presence of inequality constraints) is developed. Two numerical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-18 S. Kucherenko , O. V. Klymenko , N. Shah
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