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Over the past decade humans have experienced exponential growth in the use of online resources, in particular social media and microblogging websites such as Facebook, Twitter, YouTube and also mobile applications such as WhatsApp, Line,…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2015-09-09 Rishabh Soni , K. James Mathai

In this study, we predict next-day movements of stock end-of-day implied volatility using random forests. Through an ablation study, we examine the usefulness of different sources of predictors and expose the value of attention and…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-01-03 Thomas Dierckx , Jesse Davis , Wim Schoutens

Applying deep learning and computational intelligence to finance has been a popular area of applied research, both within academia and industry, and continues to attract active attention. The inherently high volatility and non-stationary of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-17 Michael Charles Albada , Mojolaoluwa Joshua Sonola

We implement traditional machine learning and deep learning methods for global tweets from 2017-2022 to build a high-frequency measure of the public's sentiment index on inflation and analyze its correlation with other online data sources…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-15 Xinyu Li , Zihan Tang

This study investigates the relationship between tweet sentiment across diverse categories: news, company opinions, CEO opinions, competitor opinions, and stock market behavior in the biotechnology sector, with a focus on understanding the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-02-07 C. Sarai R. Avila

We build a new measure of credit and financial market sentiment using Natural Language Processing on Twitter data. We find that the Twitter Financial Sentiment Index (TFSI) correlates highly with corporate bond spreads and other price- and…

General Economics · Economics 2023-05-26 Travis Adams , Andrea Ajello , Diego Silva , Francisco Vazquez-Grande

Whether the online social media, like Twitter or its variant Weibo, can be a convincing proxy to predict the stock market has been debated for years, especially for China. However, as the traditional theory in behavioral finance states, the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-04-29 Zhenkun Zhou , Jichang Zhao , Ke Xu

With the advancement of web technology and its growth, there is a huge volume of data present in the web for internet users and a lot of data is generated too. Internet has become a platform for online learning, exchanging ideas and sharing…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2016-11-04 Vishal. A. Kharde , Prof. Sheetal. Sonawane

In this paper, we investigate the impact of the social media data in predicting the Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE) variables for the first time. We consider the closing price and daily return of three different stocks for this investigation.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-03-05 Arezoo Hatefi Ghahfarrokhi , Mehrnoush Shamsfard

Newsletters and social networks can reflect the opinion about the market and specific stocks from the perspective of analysts and the general public on products and/or services provided by a company. Therefore, sentiment analysis of these…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-12-28 Elvys Linhares Pontes , Mohamed Benjannet

Stock price prediction is challenging due to global economic instability, high volatility, and the complexity of financial markets. Hence, this study compared several machine learning algorithms for stock market prediction and further…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Akhila Mamillapalli , Bayode Ogunleye , Sonia Timoteo Inacio , Olamilekan Shobayo

Study of the forecasting models using large scale microblog discussions and the search behavior data can provide a good insight for better understanding the market movements. In this work we collected a dataset of 2 million tweets and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2012-12-06 Tushar Rao , Saket Srivastava

In this paper, we present a software package for the data mining of Twitter microblogs for the purpose of using them for the stock market analysis. The package is written in R langauge using apropriate R packages. The model of tweets has…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2013-05-31 Bohdan Pavlyshenko

Sentiment analysis of social media data consists of attitudes, assessments, and emotions which can be considered a way human think. Understanding and classifying the large collection of documents into positive and negative aspects are a…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2020-07-16 Aditya Sharma , Alex Daniels

Predicting financial returns accurately poses a significant challenge due to the inherent uncertainty in financial time series data. Enhancing prediction models' performance hinges on effectively capturing both social and financial…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-03-08 Raffaele Giuseppe Cestari , Simone Formentin

Accurate prediction of stock market trends is crucial for informed investment decisions and effective portfolio management, ultimately leading to enhanced wealth creation and risk mitigation. This study proposes a novel approach for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Lida Shahbandari , Elahe Moradi , Mohammad Manthouri

Stock price movements are influenced by many factors, and alongside historical price data, tex-tual information is a key source. Public news and social media offer valuable insights into market sentiment and emerging events. These sources…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-07-29 Wenyan Xu , Dawei Xiang , Rundong Wang , Yonghong Hu , Liang Zhang , Jiayu Chen , Zhonghua Lu

Predicting stock prices from textual information is a challenging task due to the uncertainty of the market and the difficulty understanding the natural language from a machine's perspective. Previous researches focus mostly on sentiment…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-10-28 Qinkai Chen , Christian-Yann Robert

The financial industry poses great challenges with risk modeling and profit generation. These entities are intricately tied to the sophisticated prediction of stock movements. A stock forecaster must untangle the randomness and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-14 Luke Sanborn , Matthew Sahagun

In an era where financial markets are heavily influenced by many static and dynamic factors, it has become increasingly critical to carefully integrate diverse data sources with machine learning for accurate stock price prediction. This…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-10 Furkan Karadaş , Bahaeddin Eravcı , Ahmet Murat Özbayoğlu