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Empirical sciences and in particular psychology suffer a methodological crisis due to the non-reproducibility of results, and in rare cases, questionable research practices. Pre-registered studies and the publication of raw data sets have…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-10-29 Echo Meißner , Felix Engelmann , Frank Kargl , Benjamin Erb

Innovations across science and industry are evaluated using randomized trials (a.k.a. A/B tests). While simple and robust, such static designs are inefficient or infeasible for testing many hypotheses. Adaptive designs can greatly improve…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-09 Jimmy Wang , Ethan Che , Daniel R. Jiang , Hongseok Namkoong

There is strong interest in estimating how the magnitude of treatment effects of an intervention vary across sub-groups of the population of interest. In our paper, we propose a two-study approach to first propose and then test…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-23 Rahul Ladhania , Amelia Haviland , Neeraj Sood , Edward Kennedy , Ateev Mehrotra

We propose a method for estimation and inference for bounds for heterogeneous causal effect parameters in general sample selection models where the treatment can affect whether an outcome is observed and no exclusion restrictions are…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-29 Phillip Heiler

Typically, a randomized experiment is designed to test a hypothesis about the average treatment effect and sometimes hypotheses about treatment effect variation. The results of such a study may then be used to inform policy and practice for…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-01 Elizabeth Tipton , Michalis Mamakos

We develop a Gaussian-process mixture model for heterogeneous treatment effect estimation that leverages the use of transformed outcomes. The approach we will present attempts to improve point estimation and uncertainty quantification…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-19 Abbas Zaidi , Sayan Mukherjee

The FDA's Project Optimus initiative emphasizes patient-centered dose selection in oncology that balances efficacy and safety. We develop a framework for randomized dose optimization studies that uses clinically interpretable utility scores…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-24 Xuemin Gu , Cong Xu , Lei Xu , Ying Yu

Personalisation is a standard feature of conversational AI systems used by millions; yet, the efficacy of personalisation methods is often evaluated in academic research using simulated users rather than real people. This raises questions…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2026-05-14 Hannah Rose Kirk , Liu Leqi , Fanzhi Zeng , Henry Davidson , Bertie Vidgen , Christopher Summerfield , Scott A. Hale

The effectiveness of personalized oncology treatments ultimately depends on whether outcomes can be causally attributed to the treatment. Advances in precision oncology have improved molecular profiling of individuals, and tailored…

Applications · Statistics 2025-09-29 Lydia Jang , Stefan Konigorski

High-energy physics experiments face extreme data rates, requiring real-time trigger systems to reduce event throughput while preserving sensitivity to rare processes. Trigger systems are typically constructed as modular chains of…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2026-03-10 Noah Clarke Hall , Ioannis Xiotidis , Nikos Konstantinidis , David W. Miller

Resource scheduling and coordination is an NP-hard optimization requiring an efficient allocation of agents to a set of tasks with upper- and lower bound temporal and resource constraints. Due to the large-scale and dynamic nature of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-10 Rohan Paleja , Andrew Silva , Letian Chen , Matthew Gombolay

Project Optimus, an initiative by the FDA's Oncology Center of Excellence, seeks to reform the dose-optimization and dose-selection paradigm in oncology. We propose a dose-optimization design that considers plateau efficacy profiles,…

Applications · Statistics 2025-04-22 Rebecca B. Silva , Bin Cheng , Shing M. Lee

Estimation of individual treatment effects is commonly used as the basis for contextual decision making in fields such as healthcare, education, and economics. However, it is often sufficient for the decision maker to have estimates of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-13 Maggie Makar , Fredrik D. Johansson , John Guttag , David Sontag

In the recent literature on estimating heterogeneous treatment effects, each proposed method makes its own set of restrictive assumptions about the intervention's effects and which subpopulations to explicitly estimate. Moreover, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-12 Edward McFowland , Sriram Somanchi , Daniel B. Neill

We consider the problem of extrapolating treatment effects across heterogeneous populations (``sites"/``contexts"). We consider an idealized scenario in which the researcher observes cross-sectional data for a large number of units across…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-10-03 Konrad Menzel

We investigate the optimal design of experimental studies that have pre-treatment outcome data available. The average treatment effect is estimated as the difference between the weighted average outcomes of the treated and control units. A…

With the timely formation of personalized intervention plans based on high-dimensional heterogeneous time series information becoming an important challenge in the medical field today, electronic medical records, wearables, and other…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-04-29 Dingxin Lu , Shurui Wu , Xinyi Huang

The Predictive Approaches to Treatment Effect Heterogeneity statement focused on baseline risk as a robust predictor of treatment effect and provided guidance on risk-based assessment of treatment effect heterogeneity in the RCT setting.…

A key hurdle is demonstrating compute resource capability with limited benchmarks. We propose workflow templates as a solution, offering adaptable designs for specific scientific applications. Our paper identifies common usage patterns for…

Distributed, Parallel, and Cluster Computing · Computer Science 2025-07-31 Gregor von Laszewski , Wesley Brewer , Sean R. Wilkinson , Andrew Shao , J. P. Fleischer , Harshad Pitkar , Christine R. Kirkpatrick , Geoffrey C. Fox