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Models of dynamic networks --- networks that evolve over time --- have manifold applications. We develop a discrete-time generative model for social network evolution that inherits the richness and flexibility of the class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-24 Pavel N. Krivitsky , Mark S. Handcock

Modeling of dynamic networks -- networks that evolve over time -- has manifold applications in many fields. In epidemiology in particular, there is a need for data-driven modeling of human sexual relationship networks for the purpose of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-15 Pavel N. Krivitsky

Graph-based change point detection (CPD) play an irreplaceable role in discovering anomalous graphs in the time-varying network. While several techniques have been proposed to detect change points by identifying whether there is a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Yongshun Gong , Xue Dong , Jian Zhang , Meng Chen

The Exponential-family Random Graph Model (ERGM) is a powerful model to fit networks with complex structures. However, for dynamic valued networks whose observations are matrices of counts that evolve over time, the development of the ERGM…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-21 Yik Lun Kei , Yanzhen Chen , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

Dynamic networks consist of a sequence of time-varying networks, and it is of great importance to detect the network change points. Most existing methods focus on detecting abrupt change points, necessitating the assumption that the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-13 Yuzhao Zhang , Jingnan Zhang , Yifan Sun , Junhui Wang

In the regime of change-point detection, a nonparametric framework based on scan statistics utilizing graphs representing similarities among observations is gaining attention due to its flexibility and good performances for high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-16 Hoseung Song , Hao Chen

Dynamic networks are commonly used in applications where relational data is observed over time. Statistical models for such data should capture not only the temporal dependencies between networks observed in time, but also the structural…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-10 Jihui Lee , Gen Li , James D. Wilson

Learning the dynamics of complex systems features a large number of applications in data science. Graph-based modeling and inference underpins the most prominent family of approaches to learn complex dynamics due to their ability to capture…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-07-06 Luis M. Lopez-Ramos , Daniel Romero , Bakht Zaman , Baltasar Beferull-Lozano

Change point detection is a crucial aspect of analyzing time series data, as the presence of a change point indicates an abrupt and significant change in the process generating the data. While many algorithms for the problem of change point…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-23 Mario Krause

In this paper we propose to extend the separable temporal exponential random graph model (STERGM) to account for time-varying network- and actor-specific effects. Our application case is the network of international major conventional…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-05 Michael Lebacher , Paul W. Thurner , Göran Kauermann

Many systems of interacting elements can be conceptualized as networks, where network nodes represent the elements and network ties represent interactions between the elements. In systems where the underlying network evolves in time, it is…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-05-05 Ian Barnett , Jukka-Pekka Onnela

While anomaly detection in static networks has been extensively studied, only recently, researchers have focused on dynamic networks. This trend is mainly due to the capacity of dynamic networks in representing complex physical, biological,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-15 Mostafa Reisi Gahrooei , Kamran Paynabar

This article introduces a novel Bayesian method for asynchronous change-point detection in multivariate time series. This method allows for change-points to occur earlier in some (leading) series followed, after a short delay, by…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-28 Carson McKee , Maria Kalli

We consider detecting the evolutionary oscillatory pattern of a signal when it is contaminated by non-stationary noises with complexly time-varying data generating mechanism. A high-dimensional dense progressive periodogram test is proposed…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-07-20 Hau-Tieng Wu , Zhou Zhou

Changepoint detection identifies times when the generative process of a time series changes, with applications in healthcare, cybersecurity, and finance. In multivariate settings, changes in cross-variable and temporal dependence are…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Victor K. Khamesi , Edward A. K. Cohen , Niall M. Adams , Dean A. Bodenham

In many complex systems, networks and graphs arise in a natural manner. Often, time evolving behavior can be easily found and modeled using time-series methodology. Amongst others, two common research problems in network analysis are…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-07-02 Rex C. Y. Cheung , Alexander Aue , Seungyong Hwang , Thomas C. M. Lee

We propose a probabilistic formulation that enables sequential detection of multiple change points in a network setting. We present a class of sequential detection rules for certain functionals of change points (minimum among a subset), and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-07-09 Arash Ali Amini , XuanLong Nguyen

We study the multilayer random dot product graph (MRDPG) model, an extension of the random dot product graph to multilayer networks. To estimate the edge probabilities, we deploy a tensor-based methodology and demonstrate its superiority…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-06-11 Fan Wang , Wanshan Li , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla , Yi Yu , Alessandro Rinaldo

This manuscript studies the unsupervised change point detection problem in time series of graphs using a decoder-only latent space model. The proposed framework consists of learnable prior distributions for low-dimensional graph…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-18 Yik Lun Kei , Jialiang Li , Hangjian Li , Yanzhen Chen , Oscar Hernan Madrid Padilla

Dynamic networks are ubiquitous for modelling sequential graph-structured data, e.g., brain connectome, population flows and messages exchanges. In this work, we consider dynamic networks that are temporal sequences of graph snapshots, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-30 Deborah Sulem , Henry Kenlay , Mihai Cucuringu , Xiaowen Dong
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