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Data assimilation algorithms estimate the state of a dynamical system from partial observations, where the successful performance of these algorithms hinges on costly parameter tuning and on employing an accurate model for the dynamics.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 Melissa Adrian , Daniel Sanz-Alonso , Rebecca Willett

Adaptive dynamical systems arise in a multitude of contexts, e.g., optimization, control, communications, signal processing, and machine learning. A precise characterization of their fundamental limitations is therefore of paramount…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2010-10-13 Maxim Raginsky

We examine data-processing of Markov chains through the lens of information geometry. We first establish a theory of congruent Markov morphisms within the framework of stochastic matrices. Specifically, we introduce and justify the concept…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-12-21 Geoffrey Wolfer , Shun Watanabe

Filtering is concerned with the sequential estimation of the state, and uncertainties, of a Markovian system, given noisy observations. It is particularly difficult to achieve accurate filtering in complex dynamical systems, such as those…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-12-14 Wonjung Lee , Andrew Stuart

Working with causal models at different levels of abstraction is an important feature of science. Existing work has already considered the problem of expressing formally the relation of abstraction between causal models. In this paper, we…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-08-02 Fabio Massimo Zennaro , Paolo Turrini , Theodoros Damoulas

In this paper we consider the problem of computing the stationary distribution of nearly completely decomposable Markov processes, a well-established area in the classical theory of Markov processes with broad applications in the design,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-06-19 Vasileios Kalantzis , Mark S. Squillante , Chai Wah Wu

Dynamical systems are often subject to forcing or changes in their governing parameters and it is of interest to study how this affects their statistical properties. A prominent real-life example of this class of problems is the…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2020-03-18 Manuel Santos Gutiérrez , Valerio Lucarini

Nonlinear optimal control problems for trajectory planning with obstacle avoidance present several challenges. While general-purpose optimizers and dynamic programming methods struggle when adopted separately, their combination enabled by a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-09 Rebecca Richter , Alberto De Marchi , Matthias Gerdts

In recent years, several climate subsystems have been identified that may undergo a relatively rapid transition compared to the changes in their forcing. Such transitions are rare events in general, and simulating long-enough trajectories…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-06-30 Valérian Jacques-Dumas , René M. van Westen , Freddy Bouchet , Henk A. Dijkstra

We study irreducible time-homogenous Markov chains with finite state space in discrete time. We obtain results on the sensitivity of the stationary distribution and other statistical quantities with respect to perturbations of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Eilon Solan , Nicolas Vieille

The problem of constructing data-based, predictive, reduced models for the Kuramoto-Sivashinsky equation is considered, under circumstances where one has observation data only for a small subset of the dynamical variables. Accurate…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-08-11 Fei Lu , Kevin Lin , Alexandre J. Chorin

The contemporary scientific landscape is characterized by a "curse of dimensionality," where our capacity to collect high-dimensional network data frequently outstrips our ability to computationally simulate or intuitively comprehend the…

General Physics · Physics 2026-02-03 Zebiao Li , XueYing Wu , Chengyi Tu

We study safe, data-driven control of (Markov) jump linear systems with unknown transition probabilities, where both the discrete mode and the continuous state are to be inferred from output measurements. To this end, we develop a receding…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-07 Mathijs Schuurmans , Panagiotis Patrinos

This work recasts time-dependent optimal control problems governed by partial differential equations in a Dynamic Mode Decomposition with control framework. Indeed, since the numerical solution of such problems requires a lot of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-25 Eleonora Donadini , Maria Strazzullo , Marco Tezzele , Gianluigi Rozza

We consider the problem of Bayesian inference for changepoints where the number and position of the changepoints are both unknown. In particular, we consider product partition models where it is possible to integrate out model parameters…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-14 Alan Benson , Nial Friel

Selecting the appropriate dimensionality reduction (DR) technique and determining its optimal hyperparameter settings that maximize the accuracy of the output projections typically involves extensive trial and error, often resulting in…

Human-Computer Interaction · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Hyeon Jeon , Jeongin Park , Soohyun Lee , Dae Hyun Kim , Sungbok Shin , Jinwook Seo

While the utility of well-chosen abstractions for understanding and predicting the behaviour of complex systems is well appreciated, precisely what an abstraction $\textit{is}$ has so far has largely eluded mathematical formalization. In…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-06-29 Beren Millidge

In most machine learning training paradigms a fixed, often handcrafted, loss function is assumed to be a good proxy for an underlying evaluation metric. In this work we assess this assumption by meta-learning an adaptive loss function to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-05-16 Chen Huang , Shuangfei Zhai , Walter Talbott , Miguel Angel Bautista , Shih-Yu Sun , Carlos Guestrin , Josh Susskind

We investigate a remote estimation problem in which a transmitter observes a Markov source and chooses the power level to transmit it over a time-varying packet-drop channel. The channel is modeled as a channel with Markovian state where…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2021-08-27 Jhelum Chakravorty , Aditya Mahajan

The goal of this paper is to analyze distributional Markov Decision Processes as a class of control problems in which the objective is to learn policies that steer the distribution of a cumulative reward toward a prescribed target law,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-09 Nicole Bäuerle , Athanasios Vasileiadis
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