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The representation of nonlinear sub-grid processes, especially clouds, has been a major source of uncertainty in climate models for decades. Cloud-resolving models better represent many of these processes and can now be run globally but…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-06-08 Stephan Rasp , Michael S. Pritchard , Pierre Gentine

Dynamic mode decomposition (DMD) is a versatile approach that enables the construction of low-order models from data. Controller design tasks based on such models require estimates and guarantees on predictive accuracy. In this work, we…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-03-24 Qiugang Lu , Sungho Shin , Victor M. Zavala

Data-driven methods for the identification of the governing equations of dynamical systems or the computation of reduced surrogate models play an increasingly important role in many application areas such as physics, chemistry, biology, and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-12-17 Stefan Klus , Hongyu Zhu

The complex dynamics of physical systems can often be modeled with stochastic differential equations. However, computational constraints inhibit the estimation of dynamics from large time-series datasets. I present a method for estimating…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2023-11-02 William Davis

To help mitigate road congestion caused by the unrelenting growth of traffic demand, many transportation authorities have implemented managed lane policies, which restrict certain freeway lanes to certain types of vehicles. It was…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-11-16 Matthew A. Wright , Roberto Horowitz , Alex A. Kurzhanskiy

Predicting the long-term behavior of chaotic systems remains a formidable challenge due to their extreme sensitivity to initial conditions and the inherent limitations of traditional data-driven modeling approaches. This paper introduces a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-10 Dibyajyoti Chakraborty , Seung Whan Chung , Ashesh Chattopadhyay , Romit Maulik

We present a data-driven method for separating complex, multiscale systems into their constituent time-scale components using a recursive implementation of dynamic mode decomposition (DMD). Local linear models are built from windowed…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-06-26 Daniel Dylewsky , Molei Tao , J. Nathan Kutz

Energy and pollution are urging problems of the 21th century. By gradually changing the actual power grid system, smart grid may evolve into different systems by means of size, elements and strategies, but its fundamental requirements and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-19 Soufian Ben Amor , Alain Bui , Guillaume Guerard

The increasing integration of renewable energy sources has introduced complex dynamic behavior in power systems that challenge the adequacy of traditional continuous-time modeling approaches. These developments call for modeling frameworks…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-01-19 B. G. Odunlami , M. Netto , Y. Susuki

Mathematical models are essential to analyze and understand the dynamics of complex systems. Recently, data-driven methodologies have got a lot of attention which is leveraged by advancements in sensor technology. However, the quality of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-28 Karim Cherifi , Pawan Goyal , Peter Benner

Global climate models represent small-scale processes such as clouds and convection using quasi-empirical models known as parameterizations, and these parameterizations are a leading cause of uncertainty in climate projections. A promising…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-08-31 Janni Yuval , Paul A. O'Gorman

Finding the governing equations from data by sparse optimization has become a popular approach to deterministic modeling of dynamical systems. Considering the physical situations where the data can be imperfect due to disturbances and…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2025-09-05 Zheng-Meng Zhai , Valerio Lucarini , Ying-Cheng Lai

Solution of Ordinary Differential Equation (ODE) model of dynamical system may not agree with its observed values. Often this discrepancy can be attributed to unmodeled forcings in the evolution rule of the dynamical system. In this…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-08-13 Saurabh Dixit , Soumyendu Raha

Accurately modeling power distribution grids is crucial for designing effective monitoring and decision making algorithms. This paper addresses the partial observability issue of data-driven distribution modeling in order to improve the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-08 Shanny Lin , Hao Zhu

Data-driven, model-free analytics are natural choices for discovery and forecasting of complex, nonlinear systems. Methods that operate in the system state-space require either an explicit multidimensional state-space, or, one approximated…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-15 Joseph Park , Gerald M Pao , Erik Stabenau , George Sugihara , Thomas Lorimer

An extremely challenging problem of significant interest is to predict catastrophes in advance of their occurrences. We present a general approach to predicting catastrophes in nonlinear dynamical systems under the assumption that the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-28 Wen-Xu Wang , Rui Yang , Ying-Cheng Lai , Vassilios Kovanis , Celso Grebogi

We propose a multi-level method to increase the accuracy of machine learning algorithms for approximating observables in scientific computing, particularly those that arise in systems modeled by differential equations. The algorithm relies…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-07-06 Kjetil O. Lye , Siddhartha Mishra , Roberto Molinaro

This paper proposes an algorithm for motion planning among dynamic agents using adaptive conformal prediction. We consider a deterministic control system and use trajectory predictors to predict the dynamic agents' future motion, which is…

Set prediction is about learning to predict a collection of unordered variables with unknown interrelations. Training such models with set losses imposes the structure of a metric space over sets. We focus on stochastic and underdefined…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-23 David W. Zhang , Gertjan J. Burghouts , Cees G. M. Snoek

Discovering governing equations from data is crucial for understanding complex systems in many diverse fields from science to engineering. Yet, there still is a lack of versatile computational toolbox to deal with this long standing…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-05-15 Chengzuo Zhuge , Zheng Jiang , Zhefan Xu , Wei Chen