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Background: Over the past few decades, numerous forecasting methods have been proposed in the field of epidemic forecasting. Such methods can be classified into different categories such as deterministic vs. probabilistic, comparative…

Seasonal influenza epidemics cause consistent, considerable, widespread loss annually in terms of economic burden, morbidity, and mortality. With access to accurate and reliable forecasts of a current or upcoming influenza epidemic's…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-02-17 Logan C. Brooks , David C. Farrow , Sangwon Hyun , Ryan J. Tibshirani , Roni Rosenfeld

In order for epidemiological forecasts to be useful for decision-makers the forecasts need to be properly validated and evaluated. Although several metrics fore evaluation have been proposed and used none of them account for the potential…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-12 Philip Gerlee , Torbjörn Lundh , Anna Saxne Jöud , Henrik Thorén

Contemporary Epidemiological Surveillance (ES) relies heavily on data analytics. These analytics are critical input for pandemics preparedness networks; however, this input is not integrated into a form suitable for decision makers or…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-08-11 Svetlana Yanushkevich , Vlad Shmerko

Public health surveillance systems often fail to detect emerging infectious diseases, particularly in resource limited settings. By integrating relevant clinical and internet-source data, we can close critical gaps in coverage and…

Applications · Statistics 2019-03-05 Kai Liu , Ravi Srinivasan , Lauren Ancel Meyers

Epidemic intelligence deals with the detection of disease outbreaks using formal (such as hospital records) and informal sources (such as user-generated text on the web) of information. In this survey, we discuss approaches for epidemic…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2019-03-15 Aditya Joshi , Sarvnaz Karimi , Ross Sparks , Cecile Paris , C Raina MacIntyre

Event Sequences (EvS) refer to sequential data characterized by irregular sampling intervals and a mix of categorical and numerical features. Accurate classification of these sequences is crucial for various real-life applications,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-27 Dmitry Osin , Igor Udovichenko , Viktor Moskvoretskii , Egor Shvetsov , Evgeny Burnaev

We develop a feedback control method for networked epidemic spreading processes. In contrast to most prior works which consider mean field, open-loop control schemes, the present work develops a novel framework for feedback control of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-03-23 Nicholas J. Watkins , Cameron Nowzari , George J. Pappas

Influenza remains a significant burden on health systems. Effective responses rely on the timely understanding of the magnitude and the evolution of an outbreak. For monitoring purposes, data on severe cases of influenza in England are…

AI Epidemiology is a framework for governing and explaining advanced AI systems by applying population-level surveillance methods to AI outputs. The approach mirrors the way in which epidemiologists enable public health interventions…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-23 Kit Tempest-Walters

Evidence-based knowledge of infectious disease burden, including prevalence, incidence, severity and transmission, in different population strata and locations, and possibly in real time, is crucial to the planning and evaluation of public…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-14 Daniela De Angelis , Anne M. Presanis

Event-based Sensing (EBS) hardware is quickly proliferating while finding foothold in many commercial, industrial, and defense applications. At present, there are a handful of technologically mature systems which produce data streams with…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-11-20 Jonah P. Sengupta , Mohammad Imran Vakil , Thanh M. Dang , Ian Pardee , Paul Coen , Olivia Aul

In a typical Event-Based Surveillance setting, a stream of web documents is continuously monitored for disease reporting. A structured representation of the disease reporting events is extracted from the raw text, and the events are then…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2011-01-05 Avaré Stewar , Ricardo Lage , Ernesto Diaz-Aviles , Peter Dolog

Pandemic influenza has the epidemic potential to kill millions of people. While various preventive measures exist (i.a., vaccination and school closures), deciding on strategies that lead to their most effective and efficient use remains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-06-18 Pieter Libin , Timothy Verstraeten , Diederik M. Roijers , Jelena Grujic , Kristof Theys , Philippe Lemey , Ann Nowé

Edge computing provides the ability to link distributor users for multimedia content, while retaining the power of significant data storage and access at a centralized computer. Two requirements of significance include: what information…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2018-07-31 Seyed Yahya Nikouei , Yu Chen , Alexander Aved , Erik Blasch

The reconstruction of missing information in epidemic spreading on contact networks can be essential in the prevention and containment strategies. The identification and warning of infectious but asymptomatic individuals (i.e., contact…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2022-11-21 Indaco Biazzo , Alfredo Braunstein , Luca Dall'Asta , Fabio Mazza

Bayesian network modelling is a well adapted approach to study messy and highly correlated datasets which are very common in, e.g., systems epidemiology. A popular approach to learn a Bayesian network from an observational datasets is to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-08-06 Gilles Kratzer , Reinhard Furrer

Forecasting influenza like illnesses (ILI) has rapidly progressed in recent years from an art to a science with a plethora of data-driven methods. While these methods have achieved qualified success, their applicability is limited due to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-26 Alexander Rodríguez , Bijaya Adhikari , Naren Ramakrishnan , B. Aditya Prakash

The increasing adoption of data-driven decision-making in public health has established epidemic forecasting as a critical area of research. Recent advances in multivariate forecasting models better capture complex temporal dependencies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-13 Madhurima Panja , Danny D'Agostino , Huitao Li , Tanujit Chakraborty , Nan Liu

A prompt public health response to a new epidemic relies on the ability to monitor and predict its evolution in real time as data accumulate. The 2009 A/H1N1 outbreak in the UK revealed pandemic data as noisy, contaminated, potentially…

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