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We revisit the problem of condensation for independent, identically distributed random variables with a power-law tail, conditioned by the value of their sum. For large values of the sum, and for a large number of summands, a condensation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2022-03-03 Claude Godrèche

In this paper we survey and further study partial sums of a stationary process via approximation with a martingale with stationary differences. Such an approximation is useful for transferring from the martingale to the original process the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-05-24 Magda Peligrad

Motivated by the task of computing normalizing constants and importance sampling in high dimensions, we study the dimension dependence of fluctuations for additive functionals of time-inhomogeneous Langevin-type diffusions on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-07 Christophe Andrieu , James Ridgway , Nick Whiteley

In this paper, we give estimates of the minimal ${\mathbb{L}}^1$ distance between the distribution of the normalized partial sum and the limiting Gaussian distribution for stationary sequences satisfying projective criteria in the style of…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-08-25 Jérôme Dedecker , Emmanuel Rio

Consider two stationary time series with heavy-tailed marginal distributions. We aim to detect whether they have a causal relation, that is, if a change in one causes a change in the other. Usual methods for causal discovery are not well…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-11-20 Juraj Bodik , Zbyněk Pawlas , Milan Paluš

We explore some properties of the conditional distribution of an i.i.d. sample under large exceedances of its sum. Thresholds for the asymptotic independance of the summands are observed, in contrast with the classical case when the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-10-14 Maeva Biret , Michel Broniatowski , Zangsheng Cao

The extreme value dependence of regularly varying stationary time series can be described by the spectral tail process. Drees, Segers and Warchol [Extremes 18(3): 369--402, 2015] proposed estimators of the marginal distributions of this…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Holger Drees , Miran Knezevic

Most generalization bounds in learning theory are based on some measure of the complexity of the hypothesis class used, independently of any algorithm. In contrast, the notion of algorithmic stability can be used to derive tight…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2008-11-12 Mehryar Mohri , Afshin Rostamizadeh

We suggest approximating the distribution of the sum of independent and identically distributed random variables with a Pareto-like tail by combining extreme value approximations for the largest summands with a normal approximation for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-05 Ulrich K. Mueller

We first provide some properties of the Mellin transform of nonnegative random variables, such that monotonicity, injectivity and effect of size biasing. Convergence of Mellin transforms is also entirely formalized through convergence in…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-14 Wisssem al Jedidi , Fethi Bouzeffour , Nouf Harthi

In this paper we propagate a large deviations approach for proving limit theory for (generally) multivariate time series with heavy tails. We make this notion precise by introducing regularly varying time series. We provide general large…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-09-02 T. Mikosch , O. Wintenberger

Sums of the singular series constants that appear in the Hardy--Littlewood $k$-tuples conjectures have long been studied in connection to the distribution of primes. We study constrained sums of singular series, where the sum is taken over…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-18 Vivian Kuperberg

A class of random non-stationary signals termed timbre x dynamics is introduced and studied. These signals are obtained by non-linear transformations of sta-tionary random gaussian signals, in such a way that the transformation can be…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-10-29 H Omer , B Torrésani

In this paper, we study the dynamics of temporal difference learning with neural network-based value function approximation over a general state space, namely, \emph{Neural TD learning}. We consider two practically used algorithms,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-09 Semih Cayci , Siddhartha Satpathi , Niao He , R. Srikant

From a suitable integral representation of the Laplace transform of a positive semi-definite quadratic form of independent real random variables with not necessarily identical densities a univariate integral representation is derived for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-11-01 T. Royen

We define a class of multivariate maxima of moving multivariate maxima, generalising the M4 processes. For these stationary multivariate time series we characterise the joint distribution of extremes and compute the multivariate extremal…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-09 Helena Ferreira

We prove that in many cases the existence of an extremal metric for some Laplace eigenvalue in a conformal class allows to find extremal metrics in conformal classes close by. As a consequence and as part of the arguments we obtain…

Differential Geometry · Mathematics 2016-12-16 Henrik Matthiesen

We consider a new approach in the definition of two-dimensional heavy-tailed distributions. Namely, we introduce the classes of two-dimensional long-tailed, of twodimensional dominatedly varying and of two-dimensional consistently varying…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-25 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

We propose new analytical tools for describing growth-rate distributions generated by stationary time-series. Our analysis shows how deviations from normality are not pathological behaviour, as suggested by some traditional views, but…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-04-01 Edgardo Brigatti

In sustained growth with random dynamics stationary distributions can exist without detailed balance. This suggests thermodynamical behavior in fast growing complex systems. In order to model such phenomena we apply both a discrete and a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-03-22 Tamás Biró , Zoltán Néda