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While most Bayesian nonparametric models in machine learning have focused on the Dirichlet process, the beta process, or their variants, the gamma process has recently emerged as a useful nonparametric prior in its own right. Current…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-17 Anirban Roychowdhury , Brian Kulis

In this paper we propose a new methodology for solving a discrete time stochastic Markovian control problem under model uncertainty. By utilizing the Dirichlet process, we model the unknown distribution of the underlying stochastic process…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-03-29 Tao Chen , Jiyoun Myung

In this article, using kernel convolution of order based dependent Dirichlet process (Griffin and Steel (2006)) we construct a nonstationary, nonseparable, nonparametric space-time process, which, as we show, satisfies desirable properties,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-04 Moumita Das , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Discrete random probability measures are a key ingredient of Bayesian nonparametric inferential procedures. A sample generates ties with positive probability and a fundamental object of both theoretical and applied interest is the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-01-20 Pierpaolo De Blasi , Ramsés H. Mena , Igor Prünster

Influenced mixed moving average fields are a versatile modeling class for spatio-temporal data. However, their predictive distribution is not generally known. Under this modeling assumption, we define a novel spatio-temporal embedding and a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-05 Imma Valentina Curato , Orkun Furat , Lorenzo Proietti , Bennet Stroeh

This paper develops a simple two-stage variational Bayesian algorithm to estimate panel spatial autoregressive models, where N, the number of cross-sectional units, is much larger than T, the number of time periods without restricting the…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-09-08 Deborah Gefang , Stephen G. Hall , George S. Tavlas

Time-varying mixture densities occur in many scenarios, for example, the distributions of keywords that appear in publications may evolve from year to year, video frame features associated with multiple targets may evolve in a sequence. Any…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-04-19 Cheng Luo , Yang Xiang , Richard Yi Da Xu

The Bayesian approach to inference stands out for naturally allowing borrowing information across heterogeneous populations, with different samples possibly sharing the same distribution. A popular Bayesian nonparametric model for…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-25 Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster , Giovanni Rebaudo

Natural disasters may have considerable impact on society as well as on (re)insurance industry. Max-stable processes are ideally suited for the modeling of the spatial extent of such extreme events, but it is often assumed that there is no…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-07-29 Paul Embrechts , Erwan Koch , Christian Robert

Spatiotemporal point processes (STPPs) are probabilistic models for events occurring in continuous space and time. Real-world event data often exhibit intricate dependencies and heterogeneous dynamics. By incorporating modern deep learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-14 Sumantrak Mukherjee , Mouad Elhamdi , George Mohler , David A. Selby , Yao Xie , Sebastian Vollmer , Gerrit Grossmann

High resolution satellite image sequences are multidimensional signals composed of spatio-temporal patterns associated to numerous and various phenomena. Bayesian methods have been previously proposed in (Heas and Datcu, 2005) to code the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2007-09-20 Patrick Héas , Mihai Datcu

Spatio-temporal modelling is an increasingly popular topic in Statistics. Our paper contributes to this line of research by developing the theory, simulation and inference for a spatio-temporal Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process. We conduct…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-20 Michele Nguyen , Almut E. D. Veraart

We consider a continuous-time random walk which is the generalization, by means of the introduction of waiting periods on sites, of the one-dimensional nonhomogeneous random walk with a position-dependent drift known in the mathematical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-10-25 Gaia Pozzoli , Mattia Radice , Manuele Onofri , Roberto Artuso

Probabilistic model checking for systems with large or unbounded state space is a challenging computational problem in formal modelling and its applications. Numerical algorithms require an explicit representation of the state space, while…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-06-12 Dimitrios Milios , Guido Sanguinetti , David Schnoerr

We consider an array of random variables, taking values in a complete and separable metric space, that exhibits a kind of symmetry which we call row exchangeability. Given such an array, a natural model for Bayesian nonparametric inference…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-10 Evan Donald , Jason Swanson

We present a new methodology and accompanying theory to test for separability of spatio-temporal functional data. In spatio-temporal statistics, separability is a common simplifying assumption concerning the covariance structure which, if…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-24 Panayiotis Constantinou , Piotr Kokoszka , Matthew Reimherr

Rapid developments in streaming data technologies have enabled real-time monitoring of human activity that can deliver high-resolution data on health variables over trajectories or paths carved out by subjects as they conduct their daily…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-11 Tomoya Wakayama , Sudipto Banerjee

Stochastic process models for spatiotemporal data underlying random fields find substantial utility in a range of scientific disciplines. Subsequent to predictive inference on the values of the random field (or spatial surface indexed…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-26 Aritra Halder , Didong Li , Sudipto Banerjee

Statistical inference for spatial processes from partially realized or scattered data has seen voluminous developments in diverse areas ranging from environmental sciences to business and economics. Inference on the associated rates of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Didong Li , Aritra Halder , Sudipto Banerjee

We consider the problem of uncertainty quantification for prediction in a time series: if we use past data to forecast the next time point, can we provide valid prediction intervals around our forecasts? To avoid placing distributional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-13 Rina Foygel Barber , Ashwin Pananjady