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System identification of complex and nonlinear systems is a central problem for model predictive control and model-based reinforcement learning. Despite their complexity, such systems can often be approximated well by a set of linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-05-30 Philip Becker-Ehmck , Jan Peters , Patrick van der Smagt

Spatial systems with heterogeneities are ubiquitous in nature, from precipitation, temperature and soil gradients controlling vegetation growth to morphogen gradients controlling gene expression in embryos. Such systems, generally described…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-05-10 Denis D. Patterson , Simon A. Levin , A. Carla Staver , Jonathan D. Touboul

Model-free and data-driven prediction of tipping point transitions in nonlinear dynamical systems is a challenging and outstanding task in complex systems science. We propose a novel, fully data-driven machine learning algorithm based on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Daniel Köglmayr , Christoph Räth

Large scale dynamical systems (e.g. many nonlinear coupled differential equations) can often be summarized in terms of only a few state variables (a few equations), a trait that reduces complexity and facilitates exploration of behavioral…

Polydisperse systems are commonly encountered when dealing with soft matter in general or any non simple fluid. Yet their treatment within the framework of statistical thermodynamics is a delicate task as the latter has been essentially…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-06-22 Fabien Paillusson , Ignacio Pagonabarraga

Symbolic dynamics has proven to be an invaluable tool in analyzing the mechanisms that lead to unpredictability and random behavior in nonlinear dynamical systems. Surprisingly, a discrete partition of continuous state space can produce a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Christopher C. Strelioff , James P. Crutchfield

Maximum entropy estimation is of broad interest for inferring properties of systems across many different disciplines. In this work, we significantly extend a technique we previously introduced for estimating the maximum entropy of a set of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-01-05 Elliot A. Martin , Jaroslav Hlinka , Alexander Meinke , Filip Děchtěrenko , Jörn Davidsen

We review some recent developments which make use of the concept of `superstatistics', an effective description for nonequilibrium systems with a varying intensive parameter such as the inverse temperature. We describe how the asymptotic…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-08-23 Christian Beck

Dynamical systems describe the changes in processes that arise naturally from their underlying physical principles, such as the laws of motion or the conservation of mass, energy or momentum. These models facilitate a causal explanation for…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-11 Michelle Carey , James O. Ramsay

Many biological ecosystems exhibit chaotic behavior, demonstrated either analytically using parameter choices in an associated dynamical systems model or empirically through analysis of experimental data. In this paper, we provide a…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-04-26 B. C. Dean , E. Dimitrova , A. Galande , E. W. Jenkins , S. Koshy

A principled approach to cyclicality and intransitivity in paired comparison data is developed. The proposed methodology enables more precise estimation of the underlying preference profile and facilitates the identification of all cyclic…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-08 Rahul Singh , Ori Davidov

Markov chains are a natural and well understood tool for describing one-dimensional patterns in time or space. We show how to infer $k$-th order Markov chains, for arbitrary $k$, from finite data by applying Bayesian methods to both…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-11-13 Christopher C. Strelioff , James P. Crutchfield , Alfred W. Hubler

Information in the time distribution of points in a state space reconstructed from observed data yields a test for ``nonstationarity''. Framed in terms of a statistical hypothesis test, this numerical algorithm can discern whether some…

chao-dyn · Physics 2008-02-03 Matthew B. Kennel

Parameterizing mathematical models of biological systems often requires fitting to stable periodic data. In cardiac electrophysiology this typically requires converging to a stable action potential through long simulations. We explore this…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2025-01-16 Matt J Owen , Gary R Mirams

We derive boundary conditions and estimates based on the energy and entropy analysis of systems of the nonlinear shallow water equations in two spatial dimensions. It is shown that the energy method provides more details, but is fully…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-04-25 Jan Nordström , Andrew R. Winters

We study local bifurcations of periodic solutions to time-periodic (systems of) integrodifference equations over compact habitats. Such infinite-dimensional discrete dynamical systems arise in theoretical ecology as models to describe the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-10-15 Christian Aarset , Christian Pötzsche

The study of quantum evolution on graphs for diversified topologies is beneficial to modeling various realistic systems. A systematic method, the dimerized decomposition, is proposed to analyze the dynamics on an arbitrary network. By…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-03-04 He Feng , Tian-Min Yan , Y. H. Jiang

We present a statistical mechanics description to study the ground state of quantum systems. In this approach, averages for the complete system are calculated over the non-interacting energy levels. Taking different interaction parameter,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-20 Andre M. C. Souza

In the presence of modeling errors, the mainstream Bayesian methods seldom give a realistic account of uncertainties as they commonly underestimate the inherent variability of parameters. This problem is not due to any misconception in the…

Applications · Statistics 2020-05-19 Omid Sedehi , Costas Papadimitriou , Lambros S. Katafygiotis

Suppose a process yields independent observations whose distributions belong to a family parameterized by \theta\in\Theta. When the process is in control, the observations are i.i.d. with a known parameter value \theta_0. When the process…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Gary Lorden , Moshe Pollak
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