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We study a problem of finding an optimal stopping strategy to liquidate an asset with unknown drift. Taking a Bayesian approach, we model the initial beliefs of an individual about the drift parameter by allowing an arbitrary probability…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-09-03 Erik Ekström , Juozas Vaicenavicius

New methods are developed for the stabilization of a linear system with general time-varying distributed delays existing at the system's states, inputs and outputs. In contrast to most existing literature where the function of time-varying…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-12-20 Qian Feng , Sing Kiong Nguang , Wilfrid Perruquetti

Given an initial (resp., terminal) probability measure $\mu$ (resp., $\nu$) on $\mathbb{R}^d$, we characterize those optimal stopping times $\tau$ that maximize or minimize the functional $\mathbb{E} |B_0 - B_\tau|^{\alpha}$, $\alpha > 0$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-09 Nassif Ghoussoub , Young-Heon Kim , Tongseok Lim

In this paper, we discuss optimality conditions for optimization problems involving random state constraints, which are modeled in probabilistic or almost sure form. While the latter can be understood as the limiting case of the former, the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-17 Caroline Geiersbach , René Henrion

Last passage times arise in a number of areas of applied probability, including risk theory and degradation models. Such times are obviously not stopping times since they depend on the whole path of the underlying process. We consider the…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-01 Erik J. Baurdoux , J. M. Pedraza

We first study an optimal stopping problem in which a player (an agent) uses a discrete stopping time in order to stop optimally a payoff process whose risk is evaluated by a (non-linear) $g$-expectation. We then consider a non-zero-sum…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-05-11 Miryana Grigorova , Marie-Claire Quenez

In this paper we study a general optimal liquidation problem with a control-dependent stopping time which is the first time the stock holding becomes zero or a fixed terminal time, whichever comes first. We prove a stochastic maximum…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-28 Riccardo Cesari , Harry Zheng

A key prerequisite to optimal reasoning under uncertainty in intelligent systems is to start with good class probability estimates. This paper improves on the current best probability estimation trees (Bagged-PETs) and also presents a new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-07-19 Rodney Nielsen

We consider the optimal prediction problem of stopping a spectrally negative L\'evy process as close as possible to a given distance $b \geq 0$ from its ultimate supremum, under a squared error penalty function. Under some mild conditions,…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-04 Mónica B. Carvajal Pinto , Kees van Schaik

In this paper, a stochastic control problem under model uncertainty with general penalty term is studied. Two types of penalties are considered. The first one is of type f-divergence penalty treated in the general framework of a continuous…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-10-11 Wahid Faidi , Anis Matoussi , Mohamed Mnif

This article studies the expected occupancy probabilities on an alphabet. Unlike the standard situation, where observations are assumed to be independent and identically distributed (iid), we assume that they follow a regime switching…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-05-19 Michael Grabchak , Mark Kelbert , Quentin Paris

In this paper we consider stochastic optimization problems for an ambiguity averse decision maker who is uncertain about the parameters of the underlying process. In a first part we consider problems of optimal stopping under drift…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Sören Christensen

Randomly-assembled dynamical systems are theoretically predicted to be unstable upon crossing a critical threshold of complexity, as first shown by May. Yet, empirical complex systems exhibit remarkable stability, indicating the presence of…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2026-03-31 Francesco Ferraro , Christian Grilletta , Amos Maritan , Samir Suweis , Sandro Azaele

We prove a general existence result in stochastic optimal control in discrete time where controls take values in conditional metric spaces, and depend on the current state and the information of past decisions through the evolution of a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-12-19 Asgar Jamneshan , Michael Kupper , José Miguel Zapata

We present a novel method for solving a class of time-inconsistent optimal stopping problems by reducing them to a family of standard stochastic optimal control problems. In particular, we convert an optimal stopping problem with a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-15 Christopher W. Miller

This paper studies the problem of selecting a minimum-size set of input nodes to guarantee stability of a networked system in the presence of uncertainties and time delays. Current approaches to input selection in networked dynamical…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-12-13 Zhipeng Liu , Yao Long , Andrew Clark , Phillip Lee , Linda Bushnell , Daniel Kirschen , Radha Poovendran

The paper studies a class of multidimensional optimal stopping problems with infinite horizon for linear switching diffusions. There are two main novelties in the optimal problems considered: the underlying stochastic process has…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-02 Philip Ernst , Hongwei Mei

We define a class of reflected backward stochastic differential equation (RBSDE) driven by a marked point process (MPP) and a Brownian motion, where the solution is constrained to stay above a given c\`adl\`ag process. The MPP is only…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-28 Nahuel Foresta

We establish a general framework that guarantees the preservation of optimal control patterns as the time horizon $[0,T]$ increases and becomes unbounded. A concept of pattern-preserving family of optimal control problems is introduced and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-24 Matteo Della Rossa , Lorenzo Freddi

In this paper we consider an optimal control problem (OCP) for the coupled system of a nonlinear monotone Dirichlet problem with matrix- valued non-smooth controls in coefficients and a nonlinear equation of Ham- merstein type. Since…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-02-28 Olha P. Kupenko , Rosanna Manzo
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