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This paper provides a finite-time analysis of linear stochastic approximation (LSA) algorithms with fixed step size, a core method in statistics and machine learning. LSA is used to compute approximate solutions of a $d$-dimensional linear…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-03-30 Alain Durmus , Eric Moulines , Alexey Naumov , Sergey Samsonov

This paper presents an empirical study regarding training probabilistic neural networks using training objectives derived from PAC-Bayes bounds. In the context of probabilistic neural networks, the output of training is a probability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-23 María Pérez-Ortiz , Omar Rivasplata , John Shawe-Taylor , Csaba Szepesvári

The governing equations of stochastic dynamical systems often become cost-prohibitive for numerical simulation at large scales. Surrogate models of the governing equations, learned from data of the high-fidelity system, are routinely used…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Joanna Zou , Han Cheng Lie , Youssef Marzouk

We develop the concept of exponential stochastic inequality (ESI), a novel notation that simultaneously captures high-probability and in-expectation statements. It is especially well suited to succinctly state, prove, and reason about…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-04-28 Peter D. Grünwald , Muriel F. Pérez-Ortiz , Zakaria Mhammedi

Generalization is a central concept in machine learning theory, yet for quantum models, it is predominantly analyzed through uniform bounds that depend on a model's overall capacity rather than the specific function learned. These…

We derive explicit non-asymptotic PAC-Bayes generalization bounds for Gibbs posteriors, that is, data-dependent distributions over model parameters obtained by exponentially tilting a prior with the empirical risk. Unlike classical…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-04-21 Chenyang Wang , Yun Yang

We provide an exact non-asymptotic lower bound on the minimax expected excess risk (EER) in the agnostic probably-ap\-proximately-correct (PAC) machine learning classification model and identify minimax learning algorithms as certain…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-01-03 Aryeh Kontorovich , Iosif Pinelis

Identifying controlled safety invariant sets (CSISs) is essential for safety-critical systems. This paper addresses the problem of computing CSISs for black-box discrete-time systems, where the dynamics are unknown and only limited…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-12 Taoran Wu , Yiling Xue , Jingduo Pan , Dejin Ren , Arvind Easwaran , Bai Xue

Standard Bayesian approaches for linear time-invariant (LTI) system identification are hindered by parameter non-identifiability; the resulting complex, multi-modal posteriors make inference inefficient and impractical. We solve this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-29 Andrey Bryutkin , Matthew E. Levine , Iñigo Urteaga , Youssef Marzouk

This paper introduces a new principled approach for off-policy learning in contextual bandits. Unlike previous work, our approach does not derive learning principles from intractable or loose bounds. We analyse the problem through the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-30 Otmane Sakhi , Pierre Alquier , Nicolas Chopin

We study the issue of PAC-Bayesian domain adaptation: We want to learn, from a source domain, a majority vote model dedicated to a target one. Our theoretical contribution brings a new perspective by deriving an upper-bound on the target…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-07-27 Pascal Germain , Amaury Habrard , François Laviolette , Emilie Morvant

This thesis focuses on the discovery of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) and stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) from noisy and discrete time series. A major challenge is selecting the simplest possible correct model…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-08 Andonis Gerardos

Recent years have witnessed a booming interest in data-driven control of dynamical systems. However, the implicit data-driven output predictors are vulnerable to uncertainty such as process disturbance and measurement noise, causing…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-08 Yibo Wang , Keyou You , Dexian Huang , Chao Shang

We present reduced basis approximations and rigorous a posteriori error bounds for the instationary Stokes equations. We shall discuss both a method based on the standard formulation as well as a method based on a penalty approach, which…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2012-11-06 Anna-Lena Gerner , Arnold Reusken , Karen Veroy

In probably approximately correct (PAC) reinforcement learning (RL), an agent is required to identify an $\epsilon$-optimal policy with probability $1-\delta$. While minimax optimal algorithms exist for this problem, its instance-dependent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-25 Andrea Tirinzoni , Aymen Al-Marjani , Emilie Kaufmann

Classical PAC generalization bounds on the prediction risk of a classifier are insufficient to provide theoretical guarantees on fairness when the goal is to learn models balancing predictive risk and fairness constraints. We propose a…

We introduce the problem of learning conditional averages in the PAC framework. The learner receives a sample labeled by an unknown target concept from a known concept class, as in standard PAC learning. However, instead of learning the…

Understanding the generalization behavior of deep neural networks remains a fundamental challenge in modern statistical learning theory. Among existing approaches, PAC-Bayesian norm-based bounds have demonstrated particular promise due to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-14 Xinping Yi , Gaojie Jin , Xiaowei Huang , Shi Jin

There have been extensive studies on solving differential equations using physics-informed neural networks. While this method has proven advantageous in many cases, a major criticism lies in its lack of analytical error bounds. Therefore,…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-07-05 Shuheng Liu , Xiyue Huang , Pavlos Protopapas

In this paper, an attack-resilient estimation algorithm is presented for linear discrete-time stochastic systems with state and input constraints. It is shown that the state estimation errors of the proposed estimation algorithm are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-21 Wenbin Wan , Hunmin Kim , Naira Hovakimyan , Petros G. Voulgaris