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Maximum regularized likelihood estimators (MRLEs) are arguably the most established class of estimators in high-dimensional statistics. In this paper, we derive guarantees for MRLEs in Kullback-Leibler divergence, a general measure of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-18 Rui Zhuang , Johannes Lederer

Accelerated algorithms for maximum likelihood image reconstruction are essential for emerging applications such as 3D tomography, dynamic tomographic imaging, and other high dimensional inverse problems. In this paper, we introduce and…

Computation · Statistics 2012-01-31 Stéphane Chrétien , Alfred O. Hero

We consider the parameter estimation problem of a probabilistic generative model prescribed using a natural exponential family of distributions. For this problem, the typical maximum likelihood estimator usually overfits under limited…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-13 Viet Anh Nguyen , Xuhui Zhang , Jose Blanchet , Angelos Georghiou

As the popularity of hierarchical point forecast reconciliation methods increases, there is a growing interest in probabilistic forecast reconciliation. Many studies have utilized machine learning or deep learning techniques to implement…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-11-22 Guanyu Zhang , Feng Li , Yanfei Kang

In optimization, the natural gradient method is well-known for likelihood maximization. The method uses the Kullback-Leibler divergence, corresponding infinitesimally to the Fisher-Rao metric, which is pulled back to the parameter space of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-26 Anton Mallasto , Tom Dela Haije , Aasa Feragen

Optimum designs for parameter estimation in generalized regression models are standardly based on the Fisher information matrix (cf. Atkinson et al (2014) for a recent exposition). The corresponding optimality criteria are related to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-07-28 Katarína Burclová , Andrej Pázman

Calibration is a common experimental physics problem, whose goal is to infer the value and uncertainty of an unobservable quantity Z given a measured quantity X. Additionally, one would like to quantify the extent to which X and Z are…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2023-09-26 Rikab Gambhir , Benjamin Nachman , Jesse Thaler

The goal of regression and classification methods in supervised learning is to minimize the empirical risk, that is, the expectation of some loss function quantifying the prediction error under the empirical distribution. When facing scarce…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-07-15 Soroosh Shafieezadeh-Abadeh , Daniel Kuhn , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani

This paper concerns the approximation of probability measures on $\mathbf{R}^d$ with respect to the Kullback-Leibler divergence. Given an admissible target measure, we show the existence of the best approximation, with respect to this…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-06-26 Yulong Lu , Andrew M. Stuart , Hendrik Weber

The maximum entropy principle is a powerful tool for solving underdetermined inverse problems. This paper considers the problem of discretizing a continuous distribution, which arises in various applied fields. We obtain the approximating…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-05 Ken'ichiro Tanaka , Alexis Akira Toda

This paper proposes two linear projection methods for supervised dimension reduction using only the first and second-order statistics. The methods, each catering to a different parameter regime, are derived under the general Gaussian model…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-08-13 Biao Chen , Joshua Kortje

In a variety of applications it is important to extract information from a probability measure $\mu$ on an infinite dimensional space. Examples include the Bayesian approach to inverse problems and possibly conditioned) continuous time…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-02 Frank Pinski , Gideon Simpson , Andrew Stuart , Hendrik Weber

We study the worst-case probability that $Y$ outperforms a benchmark $X$ when the law of $Y$ lies in a Kullback-Leibler neighbourhood of the benchmark. The max-min problem over couplings admits a tractable dual (via optimal transport),…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-03 Ozan Hür

In this work, we investigate Gaussian Mixture Models ({\it abbrv} GMM) and the related problem of non parametric maximum likelihood estimation ({\it abbrv} NPMLE) from the perspective of statistical mechanics. In particular, we establish…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-03-25 Subhroshekhar Ghosh , Adityanand Guntuboyina , Satyaki Mukherjee , Hoang-Son Tran

Empirical risk minimization, a cornerstone in machine learning, is often hindered by the Optimizer's Curse stemming from discrepancies between the empirical and true data-generating distributions.To address this challenge, the robust…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-20 Haojie Yan , Minglong Zhou , Jiayi Guo

We study the maximum likelihood estimator of density of $n$ independent observations, under the assumption that it is well approximated by a mixture with a large number of components. The main focus is on statistical properties with respect…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-19 Arnak S. Dalalyan , Mehdi Sebbar

The likelihood function is a fundamental component in Bayesian statistics. However, evaluating the likelihood of an observation is computationally intractable in many applications. In this paper, we propose a non-parametric approximation of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-24 Viet Anh Nguyen , Soroosh Shafieezadeh-Abadeh , Man-Chung Yue , Daniel Kuhn , Wolfram Wiesemann

Entropic regularization provides a generalization of the original optimal transport problem. It introduces a penalty term defined by the Kullback-Leibler divergence, making the problem more tractable via the celebrated Sinkhorn algorithm.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-01-04 Dávid Terjék , Diego González-Sánchez

In this paper we study algorithms to find a Gaussian approximation to a target measure defined on a Hilbert space of functions; the target measure itself is defined via its density with respect to a reference Gaussian measure. We employ the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2014-08-11 Frank J. Pinski , Gideon Simpson , Andrew M. Stuart , Hendrik Weber

The maximum likelihood principle is widely used in statistics, and the associated estimators often display good properties. indeed maximum likelihood estimators are guaranteed to be asymptotically efficient under mild conditions. However in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-12-01 Christophe Culan , Claude Adnet
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