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We introduce Preconditioned Monte Carlo (PMC), a novel Monte Carlo method for Bayesian inference that facilitates efficient sampling of probability distributions with non-trivial geometry. PMC utilises a Normalising Flow (NF) in order to…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-08-24 Minas Karamanis , Florian Beutler , John A. Peacock , David Nabergoj , Uros Seljak

Hamiltonian Flow Monte Carlo(HFMC) methods have been implemented in engineering, biology and chemistry. HFMC makes large gradient based steps to rapidly explore the state space. The application of the Hamiltonian dynamics allows to estimate…

Computation · Statistics 2017-09-06 Raphael Douady , Shohruh Miryusupov

Bayesian inference for nonlinear diffusions, observed at discrete times, is a challenging task that has prompted the development of a number of algorithms, mainly within the computational statistics community. We propose a new direction,…

Computation · Statistics 2022-01-11 Matthew M. Graham , Alexandre H. Thiery , Alexandros Beskos

In Part I (arXiv:1911.00619) of this article, we proposed an importance sampling algorithm to compute rare-event probabilities in forward uncertainty quantification problems. The algorithm, which we termed the "Bayesian Inverse Monte Carlo…

Computation · Statistics 2019-11-06 Siddhant Wahal , George Biros

We develop a classical Monte Carlo algorithm based on a quasi-classical approximation for a pseudospin S=1 Hamiltonian in real space to construct a phase diagram of a model cuprate with a high Tc. A model description takes into account both…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2021-10-25 Yu. D. Panov , A. S. Moskvin , A. A. Chikov , V. A. Ulitko

The EM algorithm is a powerful tool for maximum likelihood estimation with missing data. In practice, the calculations required for the EM algorithm are often intractable. We review numerous methods to circumvent this intractability, all of…

Computation · Statistics 2024-01-03 William Ruth

One of the most demanding calculations is to generate random samples from a specified probability distribution (usually with an unknown normalizing prefactor) in a high-dimensional configuration space. One often has to resort to using a…

Computational Physics · Physics 2015-06-18 Youhan Fang , Jesus-Maria Sanz-Serna , Robert D. Skeel

In this article, we propose a novel conservative diffuse-interface method for the simulation of immiscible compressible two-phase flows. The proposed method discretely conserves the mass of each phase, momentum and total energy of the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2020-06-11 Suhas S. Jain , Ali Mani , Parviz Moin

Approximate Bayesian Computation (ABC) methods often require extensive simulations, resulting in high computational costs. This paper focuses on multifidelity simulation models and proposes a pre-filtering hierarchical importance sampling…

Computation · Statistics 2026-02-03 Xuefei Cao , Shijia Wang , Yongdao Zhou

Multifidelity approximate Bayesian computation (MF-ABC) is a likelihood-free technique for parameter inference that exploits model approximations to significantly increase the speed of ABC algorithms (Prescott and Baker, 2020). Previous…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-23 Thomas P. Prescott , Ruth E. Baker

Monte Carlo simulations are widely employed to measure the physical properties of glass-forming liquids in thermal equilibrium. Combined with local Monte Carlo moves, the Metropolis algorithm can also be used to simulate the relaxation…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-09-23 Ludovic Berthier , Federico Ghimenti Frédéric van Wijland

Many modern production and measurement facilities incorporate multiphase systems at low pressures. In this region of flows at small, non-zero Knudsen- and low Mach numbers the classical mesoscopic Monte Carlo methods become increasingly…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2015-09-10 S. Schmieschek , D. K. N. Sinz , F. Keller , U. Nieken , J. Harting

We present a Hamiltonian Monte Carlo algorithm to sample from multivariate Gaussian distributions in which the target space is constrained by linear and quadratic inequalities or products thereof. The Hamiltonian equations of motion can be…

Computation · Statistics 2013-06-06 Ari Pakman , Liam Paninski

Monte Carlo (MC) methods are important computational tools for molecular structure optimizations and predictions. When solvent effects are explicitly considered, MC methods become very expensive due to the large degree of freedom associated…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2022-02-09 Jiahui Chen , Weihua Geng , Guo-Wei Wei

A Monte Carlo method based on a density-of-states sampling is proposed for study of arbitrary statistical mechanical ensembles in a continuum. A random walk in the two-dimensional space of particle number and energy is used to estimate the…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-07 Qiliang Yan , Roland Faller , Juan J. de Pablo

We present a velocity-based Monte Carlo fluid solver that overcomes the limitations of its existing vorticity-based counterpart. Because the velocity-based formulation is more commonly used in graphics, our Monte Carlo solver can be readily…

Graphics · Computer Science 2024-05-01 Ryusuke Sugimoto , Christopher Batty , Toshiya Hachisuka

Current approaches to amortizing Bayesian inference focus solely on approximating the posterior distribution. Typically, this approximation is, in turn, used to calculate expectations for one or more target functions - a computational…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-19 Adam Goliński , Frank Wood , Tom Rainforth

Recent advances in machine learning have led to the development of new methods for enhancing Monte Carlo methods such as Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and importance sampling (IS). One such method is normalizing flows, which use a neural…

Computation · Statistics 2024-01-12 Charly Andral

We present a new approach to determine numerically the statistical behavior of small-scale structures in hydrodynamic turbulence. Starting from the functional integral representation of the random-force-driven Burgers equation we show that…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2015-05-27 David Mesterhazy , Karl Jansen

We provide a general methodology for unbiased estimation for intractable stochastic models. We consider situations where the target distribution can be written as an appropriate limit of distributions, and where conventional approaches…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-12-01 Sergios Agapiou , Gareth O. Roberts , Sebastian J. Vollmer
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