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This paper revisits the work of Rauch et al. (1965) and develops a novel method for recursive maximum likelihood particle filtering for general state-space models. The new method is based on statistical analysis of incomplete observations…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-10 Budhi Arta Surya

This paper presents some results on the maximum likelihood (ML) estimation from incomplete data. Finite sample properties of conditional observed information matrices are established. They possess positive definiteness and the same Loewner…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-26 Budhi Arta Surya

We extend the linear mixed-effects state model to accommodate the correlated individuals and investigate its parameter and state estimation based on disturbance smoothing in this paper. For parameter estimation, EM and score based…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-03 Jie Zhou , Aiping Tang

Maximum likelihood (ML) estimation using Newton's method in nonlinear state space models (SSMs) is a challenging problem due to the analytical intractability of the log-likelihood and its gradient and Hessian. We estimate the gradient and…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-11 Manon Kok , Johan Dahlin , Thomas B. Schön , Adrian Wills

The Kalman filter and Rauch-Tung-Striebel (RTS) smoother are optimal for state estimation in linear dynamic systems. With nonlinear systems, the challenge consists in how to propagate uncertainty through the state transitions and output…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-11 Simon Kuang , Xinfan Lin

A Maximum Likelihood recursive state estimator is derived for non-linear and non-Gaussian state-space models. The estimator combines a particle filter to generate the conditional density and the Expectation Maximization algorithm to compute…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-22 Mohammad S. Ramadan , Robert R. Bitmead

Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is a well-known estimation method used in many robotic and computer vision applications. Under Gaussian assumption, the MLE converts to a nonlinear least squares (NLS) problem. Efficient solutions to NLS…

Robotics · Computer Science 2016-08-11 Viorela Ila , Lukas Polok , Marek Solony , Pavel Svoboda

This work considers Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) of a Toeplitz structured covariance matrix. In this regard, an equivalent reformulation of the MLE problem is introduced and two iterative algorithms are proposed for the optimization…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-13 Augusto Aubry , Prabhu Babu , Antonio De Maio , Massimo Rosamilia

Theoretical guarantees are established for a standard estimator in a semi-parametric finite mixture model, where each component density is modeled as a product of univariate densities under a conditional independence assumption. The focus…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-07 Marie Du Roy de Chaumaray , Michael Levine , Matthieu Marbac

Mixture of autoregressions (MoAR) models provide a model-based approach to the clustering of time series data. The maximum likelihood (ML) estimation of MoAR models requires the evaluation of products of large numbers of densities of normal…

Computation · Statistics 2016-10-19 Hien D Nguyen , Geoffrey J McLachlan , Pierre Orban , Pierre Bellec , Andrew L Janke

Efficient estimation methods for simultaneous autoregressive (SAR) models with missing data in the response variable have been well-explored in the literature. A common practice is to introduce measurement error into SAR models to separate…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-10 Anjana Wijayawardhana , Thomas Suesse , David Gunawan

Data assimilation methods aim at estimating the state of a system by combining observations with a physical model. When sequential data assimilation is considered, the joint distribution of the latent state and the observations is described…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-04-23 Thi Tuyet Trang Chau , Pierre Ailliot , Valérie Monbet , Pierre Tandeo

Quantum state tomography (QST), the task of estimating an unknown quantum state given measurement outcomes, is essential to building reliable quantum computing devices. Whereas computing the maximum-likelihood (ML) estimate corresponds to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-30 Chien-Ming Lin , Yu-Ming Hsu , Yen-Huan Li

We develop a general framework for state estimation in systems modeled with noise-polluted continuous time dynamics and discrete time noisy measurements. Our approach is based on maximum likelihood estimation and employs the calculus of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-16 Griffin M. Kearney , Makan Fardad

This work considers Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) of a Toeplitz structured covariance matrix. In this regard, an equivalent reformulation of the MLE problem is introduced and two iterative algorithms are proposed for the optimization…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-10-26 Augusto Aubry , Prabhu Babu , Antonio De Maio , Rikhabchand Jyothi

Ensemble randomized maximum likelihood (EnRML) is an iterative (stochastic) ensemble smoother, used for large and nonlinear inverse problems, such as history matching and data assimilation. Its current formulation is overly complicated and…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2019-09-12 Patrick N. Raanes , Geir Evensen , Andreas S. Stordal

The linear regression model with a random variable (RV) measurement matrix, where the mean of the random measurement matrix has full column rank, has been extensively studied. In particular, the quasiconvexity of the maximum likelihood…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-16 Ruohai Guo , Jiang Zhu , Xing Jiang , Fengzhong Qu

Motivated by studying asymptotic properties of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) in stochastic volatility (SV) models, in this paper we investigate likelihood estimation in state space models. We first prove, under some regularity…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-11-15 Cheng-Der Fuh

We consider the problem of estimating the distribution function, the density and the hazard rate of the (unobservable) event time in the current status model. A well studied and natural nonparametric estimator for the distribution function…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-13 Piet Groeneboom , Geurt Jongbloed , Birgit I. Witte

The performance of ensemble-based data assimilation techniques that estimate the state of a dynamical system from partial observations depends crucially on the prescribed uncertainty of the model dynamics and of the observations. These are…

Computation · Statistics 2021-02-24 Tadeo Javier Cocucci , Manuel Pulido , Magdalena Lucini , Pierre Tandeo
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