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Related papers: Modeling and forecasting age-specific drug overdos…

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We describe two recently proposed machine learning approaches for discovering emerging trends in fatal accidental drug overdoses. The Gaussian Process Subset Scan enables early detection of emerging patterns in spatio-temporal data,…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2017-10-09 Daniel B. Neill , William Herlands

The US opioid overdose epidemic has been a major public health concern in recent decades. There has been increasing recognition that its etiology is rooted in part in the social contexts that mediate substance use and access; however,…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-10-24 Kushagra Tiwari , M. Amin Rahimian , Mark S. Roberts , Praveen Kumar , Jeannine M. Buchanich

Drug overdose mortality in the United States exhibits strong geographic heterogeneity and complex temporal evolution, yet most spatiotemporal studies focus on trends and risks without explicitly characterizing the underlying dynamical…

Applications · Statistics 2026-04-02 Dhrubajyoti Ghosh

The opioid crisis remains one of the most daunting and complex public health problems in the United States. This study investigates the national epidemic by analyzing vulnerability profiles of three key factors: opioid-related mortality…

Opioid overdose rates have increased in the United States over the past decade and reflect a major public health crisis. Modeling and prediction of drug and opioid hotspots, where a high percentage of events fall in a small percentage of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-14 Xueying Liu , Jeremy Carter , Brad Ray , George Mohler

Due to the widespread availability of effective antiretroviral therapy (ART) regimens, average lifespans of persons with HIV (PWH) in the United States have increased significantly in recent decades. In turn, the demographic profile of PWH…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-03-21 Alex Viguerie , Elisa Iacomini

The opioid epidemic in the United States claims over 40,000 lives per year, and it is estimated that well over two million Americans have an opioid use disorder. Over-prescription and misuse of prescription opioids play an important role in…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2019-05-03 Jen J. Gong , Abigail Z. Jacobs , Toby E. Stuart , Mathijs de Vaan

Recently we developed a new framework in Hirz et al (2015) to model stochastic mortality using extended CreditRisk$^+$ methodology which is very different from traditional time series methods used for mortality modelling previously. In this…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-28 Pavel V. Shevchenko , Jonas Hirz , Uwe Schmock

Drug overdose remains a critical global health issue, often driven by misuse of opioids, painkillers, and psychiatric medications. Traditional research methods face limitations, whereas social media offers real-time insights into…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Muhammad Ahmad , Fida Ullah , Muhammad Usman , Umyh Habiba , ldar Batyrshin , Grigori Sidorov

The use of illicit drugs has been on the rise in United States. It is very detrimental on society, as fatal overdose is the fourth leading cause of death in the United States, which is about the same as motor vehicle crashes. Of all illicit…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-10-16 Nicholas A. Battista

According to the Center of Disease Control (CDC), the Opioid epidemic has claimed more than 72,000 lives in the US in 2017 alone. In spite of various efforts at the local, state and federal level, the impact of the epidemic is becoming…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-06-24 Sandipan Choudhuri , Kaustav Basu , Kevin Thomas , Arunabha Sen

We investigate state-level age-specific mortality trends based on the United States Mortality Database (USMDB) published by the Human Mortality Database. In tandem with looking at the longevity experience across the 51 states, we also…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-04 Mike Ludkovski , Doris Padilla

Drug overdose has become a public health crisis in the United States with devastating consequences. However, most of the drug overdose incidences are the consequence of recitative polysubstance usage over a defined period of time which can…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-04-13 Vaishali Mahipal , Mohammad Arif Ul Alam

A linear mixed-effects (LME) model is proposed for modelling and forecasting single and multi-population age-specific death rates (ASDRs). The innovative approach that we take in this study treats age, the interaction between gender and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-18 Reza Dastranj , Martin Kolar

In the last decade, the United States has lost more than 500,000 people from an overdose involving prescription and illicit opioids making it a national public health emergency (USDHHS, 2017). Medical practitioners require robust and timely…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-06-17 Chenghao Yang , Tuhin Chakrabarty , Karli R Hochstatter , Melissa N Slavin , Nabila El-Bassel , Smaranda Muresan

Drug overdose deaths, including from opioids, remain a significant public health threat to the United States (US). To abate the harms of opioid misuse, understanding its prevalence at the local level is crucial for stakeholders in…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-09 Zixuan Feng , Qiushi Chen , Paul Griffin , Le Bao

Surveillance of drug overdose deaths relies on death certificates for identification of the substances that caused death. Drugs and drug classes can be identified through the International Classification of Diseases, 10th Revision (ICD-10)…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2022-06-08 Patrick J. Ward , April M. Young , Svetla Slavova , Madison Liford , Lara Daniels , Ripley Lucas , Ramakanth Kavuluru

The opioid epidemic is a crisis that has plagued the United States (US) for decades. One central issue is inequitable access to treatment for opioid use disorder (OUD), which puts certain populations at a higher risk of opioid overdose. We…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-03-14 Joyce Luo , Bartolomeo Stellato

Worldwide, many millions of people die suddenly and unexpectedly each year, either with or without a prior history of cardiovascular disease. Such events are sparse (once in a lifetime), many victims will not have had prior investigations…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-06 Yola Jones , Fani Deligianni , Jeff Dalton , Pierpaolo Pellicori , John G F Cleland

Mental disorders impact the lives of millions of people globally, not only impeding their day-to-day lives but also markedly reducing life expectancy. This paper addresses the persistent challenge of predicting mortality in patients with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-19 Sean Kim , Samuel Kim