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Standard rational expectations models with an occasionally binding zero lower bound constraint either admit no solutions (incoherence) or multiple solutions (incompleteness). This paper shows that deviations from full-information rational…

General Economics · Economics 2023-11-01 Guido Ascari , Sophocles Mavroeidis , Nigel McClung

Linearly transforming stimulus representations of deep neural networks yields high-performing models of behavioral and neural responses to complex stimuli. But does the test accuracy of such predictions identify genuine representational…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2026-01-05 Itamar Avitan , Tal Golan

Increasing utilization of machine learning based decision support systems emphasizes the need for resulting predictions to be both accurate and fair to all stakeholders. In this work we present a novel approach to increase a Neural Network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-08 Bhanu Jain , Manfred Huber , Ramez Elmasri

Machine learning algorithms are vulnerable to poisoning attacks, where a fraction of the training data is manipulated to degrade the algorithms' performance. We show that current approaches, which typically assume that regularization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-25 Javier Carnerero-Cano , Luis Muñoz-González , Phillippa Spencer , Emil C. Lupu

Forming a reliable judgement of a machine learning (ML) model's appropriateness for an application ecosystem is critical for its responsible use, and requires considering a broad range of factors including harms, benefits, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-12 Ben Hutchinson , Negar Rostamzadeh , Christina Greer , Katherine Heller , Vinodkumar Prabhakaran

Advances in deep learning systems have allowed large models to match or surpass human accuracy on a number of skills such as image classification, basic programming, and standardized test taking. As the performance of the most capable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-10 Sarah Pratt , Seth Blumberg , Pietro Kreitlon Carolino , Meredith Ringel Morris

Reversible Instance Normalization (RevIN) is a key technique enabling simple linear models to achieve state-of-the-art performance in time series forecasting. While replacing its non-robust statistics with robust counterparts (termed…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Fanzhe Fu , Yang Yang

Machine learning systems exhibit diverse failure modes: unfairness toward protected groups, brittleness to spurious correlations, poor performance on minority sub-populations, which are typically studied in isolation by distinct research…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Sushant Mehta

Neural networks are powerful function approximators with tremendous potential in learning complex distributions. However, they are prone to overfitting on spurious patterns. Bayesian inference provides a principled way to regularize neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Yanzhe Bekkemoen , Helge Langseth

Online interactions with the environment to collect data samples for training a Reinforcement Learning (RL) agent is not always feasible due to economic and safety concerns. The goal of Offline Reinforcement Learning is to address this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-05 Chi Zhang , Sanmukh Rao Kuppannagari , Viktor K Prasanna

Many applied settings in empirical economics involve simultaneous estimation of a large number of parameters. In particular, applied economists are often interested in estimating the effects of many-valued treatments (like teacher effects…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-04-03 Alberto Abadie , Maximilian Kasy

In many economically relevant contexts where machine learning is deployed, multiple platforms obtain data from the same pool of users, each of whom selects the platform that best serves them. Prior work in this setting focuses exclusively…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-02 Adhyyan Narang , Sarah Dean , Lillian J Ratliff , Maryam Fazel

The accuracy of machine learning systems is a widely studied research topic. Established techniques such as cross-validation predict the accuracy on unseen data of the classifier produced by applying a given learning method to a given…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-12-06 J. E. Smith , P. Caleb-Solly , M. A. Tahir , D. Sannen , H. van-Brussel

The goal of regression and classification methods in supervised learning is to minimize the empirical risk, that is, the expectation of some loss function quantifying the prediction error under the empirical distribution. When facing scarce…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-07-15 Soroosh Shafieezadeh-Abadeh , Daniel Kuhn , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani

Notable progress has been made in numerous fields of machine learning based on neural network-driven mutual information (MI) bounds. However, utilizing the conventional MI-based losses is often challenging due to their practical and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-22 Kwanghee Choi , Siyeong Lee

Data augmentation is used in machine learning to make the classifier invariant to label-preserving transformations. Usually this invariance is only encouraged implicitly by including a single augmented input during training. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-08 Aleksander Botev , Matthias Bauer , Soham De

Confirmation bias is a cognitive bias that adversely affects management decisions, and mathematical modelling is an aid to its detailed understanding. Bias in opinion update about the value of a parameter is modelled here assuming that…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2022-02-08 Rose D Baker

Binary options trading is often marketed as a field where predictive models can generate consistent profits. However, the inherent randomness and stochastic nature of binary options make price movements highly unpredictable, posing…

In behavioural testing, system functionalities underrepresented in the standard evaluation setting (with a held-out test set) are validated through controlled input-output pairs. Optimising performance on the behavioural tests during…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2023-08-28 Pedro Henrique Luz de Araujo , Benjamin Roth

Systematically biased forecasts are typically interpreted as evidence of forecasters' irrationality and/or asymmetric loss. In this paper we propose an alternative explanation: when forecasts inform policy decisions, and the resulting…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-04-24 Robert P. Lieli , Augusto Nieto-Barthaburu