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Financial time series often exhibit low signal-to-noise ratio, posing significant challenges for accurate data interpretation and prediction and ultimately decision making. Generative models have gained attention as powerful tools for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-05 Zhuohan Wang , Carmine Ventre

The digitalization of credit scoring has become essential for financial institutions and commercial banks, especially in the era of digital transformation. Machine learning techniques are commonly used to evaluate customers'…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-06 Huyen Giang Thi Thu , Thang Viet Doan , Ha-Bang Ban , Tai Le Quy

We develop new econometric methods for the comparison of nonparametric time trends. In many applications, practitioners are interested in whether the observed time series all have the same time trend. Moreover, they would often like to know…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-09-23 Marina Khismatullina , Michael Vogt

Options have provided a field of much study because of the complexity involved in pricing them. The Black-Scholes equations were developed to price options but they are only valid for European styled options. There is added complexity when…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Michael Maio Pires , Tshilidzi Marwala

Using a time series model to mimic an observed time series has a long history. However, with regard to this objective, conventional estimation methods for discrete-time dynamical models are frequently found to be wanting. In fact, they are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Yingcun Xia , Howell Tong

Data augmentation methods in combination with deep neural networks have been used extensively in computer vision on classification tasks, achieving great success; however, their use in time series classification is still at an early stage.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-29 Elizabeth Fons , Paula Dawson , Xiao-jun Zeng , John Keane , Alexandros Iosifidis

We report on a technique based on multi-agent games which has potential use in the prediction of future movements of financial time-series. A third-party game is trained on a black-box time-series, and is then run into the future to extract…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-07 N. F. Johnson , D. Lamper , P. Jefferies , M. L. Hart , S. Howison

In this paper we describe the usefulness of statistical validation techniques for human factors survey research. We need to investigate a diversity of validity aspects when creating metrics in human factors research, and we argue that the…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2019-04-05 Lucas Gren , Alfredo Goldman

Ensemble learning is characterized by flexibility, high precision, and refined structure. As a critical component within computational finance, option pricing with machine learning requires both high predictive accuracy and reduced…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-09 Zeyuan Li , Qingdao Huang

Methods for detecting structural changes, or change points, in time series data are widely used in many fields of science and engineering. This chapter sketches some basic methods for the analysis of structural changes in time series data.…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-28 Christian Kleiber

Recommendation systems and computing advertisements have gradually entered the field of academic research from the field of commercial applications. Click-through rate prediction is one of the core research issues because the prediction…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-26 Li Zhang , Weichen Shen , Shijian Li , Gang Pan

Deep-learning techniques have been successfully used for time-series forecasting and have often shown superior performance on many standard benchmark datasets as compared to traditional techniques. Here we present a comprehensive and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-08 Vedant Shah , Gautam Shroff

Knowing which features of a multivariate time series to measure and when is a key task in medicine, wearables, and robotics. Better acquisition policies can reduce costs while maintaining or even improving the performance of downstream…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-19 Fedor Sergeev , Paola Malsot , Gunnar Rätsch , Vincent Fortuin

The financial market trend forecasting method is emerging as a hot topic in financial markets today. Many challenges still currently remain, and various researches related thereto have been actively conducted. Especially, recent research of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-04-06 Jonghyeon Min

Pharmaceutical targeting is one of key inputs for making sales and marketing strategy planning. Targeting list is built on predicting physician's sales potential of certain type of patient. In this paper, we present a time-sensitive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-04 Weiyu Huang , Yunlong Wang , Li Zhou , Emily Zhao , Yilian Yuan , Alejandro Ribero

Forecasting with multivariate time series, which aims to predict future values given previous and current several univariate time series data, has been studied for decades, with one example being ARIMA. Because it is difficult to measure…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-10-19 Youngjin Park , Deokjun Eom , Byoungki Seo , Jaesik Choi

Multivariate time series is a very active topic in the research community and many machine learning tasks are being used in order to extract information from this type of data. However, in real-world problems data has missing values, which…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-26 Samuel Arcadinho , Paulo Mateus

Time-series prediction involves forecasting future values using machine learning models. Feature engineering, whereby existing features are transformed to make new ones, is critical for enhancing model performance, but is often manual and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-21 Andrew Murray , Danial Dervovic , Michael Cashmore

The financial industry is increasingly seeking robust methods to address the challenges posed by data scarcity and low signal-to-noise ratios, which limit the application of deep learning techniques in stock market analysis. This paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-03 Guangming Che

Probabilistic time-series models become popular in the forecasting field as they help to make optimal decisions under uncertainty. Despite the growing interest, a lack of thorough analysis hinders choosing what is worth applying for the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-24 Seungjae Jung , Kyung-Min Kim , Hanock Kwak , Young-Jin Park
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