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Machine learning (ML) systems are increasingly deployed in high-stakes domains where reliability is paramount. This thesis investigates how uncertainty estimation can enhance the safety and trustworthiness of ML, focusing on selective…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-09 Stephan Rabanser

A prominent challenge of offline reinforcement learning (RL) is the issue of hidden confounding: unobserved variables may influence both the actions taken by the agent and the observed outcomes. Hidden confounding can compromise the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-05 Alizée Pace , Hugo Yèche , Bernhard Schölkopf , Gunnar Rätsch , Guy Tennenholtz

This paper addresses the problem of online inverse reinforcement learning for nonlinear systems with modeling uncertainties while in the presence of unknown disturbances. The developed approach observes state and input trajectories for an…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-07 Ryan Self , Moad Abudia , Rushikesh Kamalapurkar

Assessing the systemic effects of uncertainty that arises from agents' partial observation of the true states of the world is critical for understanding a wide range of scenarios. Yet, previous modeling work on agent learning and…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2022-04-15 Wolfram Barfuss , Richard P. Mann

This work focuses on the dynamic hedging of financial derivatives, where a reinforcement learning algorithm is designed to minimize the variance of the delta hedging process. In contrast to previous research in this area, we apply…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-06-21 Cong Zheng , Jiafa He , Can Yang

Adversarial phenomenon has been widely observed in machine learning (ML) systems, especially in those using deep neural networks, describing that ML systems may produce inconsistent and incomprehensible predictions with humans at some…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Baoyuan Wu , Shaokui Wei , Mingli Zhu , Meixi Zheng , Zihao Zhu , Mingda Zhang , Hongrui Chen , Danni Yuan , Li Liu , Qingshan Liu

AI models need to be unlearned to fulfill the requirements of legal acts such as the AI Act or GDPR, and also because of the need to remove toxic content, debiasing, the impact of malicious instances, or changes in the data distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Patryk Jasiorski , Marek Klonowski , Michał Woźniak

We consider decision problems under uncertainty where the options available to a decision maker and the resulting outcome are related through a causal mechanism which is unknown to the decision maker. We ask how a decision maker can learn…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-07-04 M. Gonzalez-Soto , L. E. Sucar , H. J. Escalante

We propose a numerical method for discovering unknown parameterized dynamical systems by using observational data of the state variables. Our method is built upon and extends the recent work of discovering unknown dynamical systems, in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-03-11 Tong Qin , Zhen Chen , John Jakeman , Dongbin Xiu

Uncertainty quantification is one of the central challenges for machine learning in real-world applications. In reinforcement learning, an agent confronts two kinds of uncertainty, called epistemic uncertainty and aleatoric uncertainty.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-06 Takuya Kanazawa , Haiyan Wang , Chetan Gupta

Machine learning models are vulnerable to Adversarial Examples: minor perturbations to input samples intended to deliberately cause misclassification. Current defenses against adversarial examples, especially for Deep Neural Networks (DNN),…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2019-01-04 Kathrin Grosse , David Pfaff , Michael Thomas Smith , Michael Backes

Over the past decade, deep learning (DL) has been successfully applied to many industrial domain-specific tasks. However, the current state-of-the-art DL software still suffers from quality issues, which raises great concern especially in…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2020-04-27 Xiyue Zhang , Xiaofei Xie , Lei Ma , Xiaoning Du , Qiang Hu , Yang Liu , Jianjun Zhao , Meng Sun

Instrumental variable methods are fundamental to causal inference when treatment assignment is confounded by unobserved variables. In this article, we develop a general nonparametric causal framework for identification and learning with…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-10 Shuyuan Chen , Peng Zhang , Yifan Cui

This paper investigates the use of Evidence Theory to enhance the training efficiency of object detection models by incorporating uncertainty into the feedback loop. In each training iteration, during the validation phase, Evidence Theory…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-24 M. Tahasanul Ibrahim , Rifshu Hussain Shaik , Andreas Schwung

Epistemic uncertainty quantification is a crucial part of drawing credible conclusions from predictive models, whether concerned about the prediction at a given point or any downstream evaluation that uses the model as input. When the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-11-15 Nathan Kallus , James McInerney

Deep reinforcement learning (DRL) requires the collection of interventional data, which is sometimes expensive and even unethical in the real world, such as in the autonomous driving and the medical field. Offline reinforcement learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-12 Wenxuan Zhu , Chao Yu , Qiang Zhang

Hardware-based Malware Detectors (HMDs) using Machine Learning (ML) models have shown promise in detecting malicious workloads. However, the conventional black-box based machine learning (ML) approach used in these HMDs fail to address the…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-03-23 Harshit Kumar , Nikhil Chawla , Saibal Mukhopadhyay

Many scientific and engineering applications are formulated as inverse problems associated with stochastic models. In such cases the unknown quantities are distributions. The applicability of traditional methods is limited because of their…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-10-16 Kailai Xu , Eric Darve

This work describes a technique for active rejection of multiple independent and time-correlated stochastic disturbances for a nonlinear flexible inverted pendulum with cart system with uncertain model parameters. The control law is…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-04-09 Vincent W. Hill

Trustworthy ML systems should not only return accurate predictions, but also a reliable representation of their uncertainty. Bayesian methods are commonly used to quantify both aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty, but alternative…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-09-11 Mira Jürgens , Nis Meinert , Viktor Bengs , Eyke Hüllermeier , Willem Waegeman
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