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Accurate and reliable bus travel time prediction in real-time is essential for improving the operational efficiency of public transportation systems. However, this remains a challenging task due to the limitations of existing models and…

Applications · Statistics 2025-03-11 Yuran Sun , James Spall , Wai Wong , Xilei Zhao

In bus arrival time prediction, the process of organizing road infrastructure network data into homogeneous entities is known as segmentation. Segmenting a road network is widely recognized as the first and most critical step in developing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Zhen Huang , Jiaxin Deng , Jiayu Xu , Junbiao Pang , Haitao Yu

Urban traffic analysis is crucial for traffic forecasting systems, urban planning and, more recently, various mobile and network applications. In this paper, we analyse urban traffic with network and statistical methods. Our analysis is…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-06-23 Kai Zhao

Arrival time prediction (ATP) of public transport vehicles is essential in improving passenger experience and supporting traffic management. Deep learning has demonstrated outstanding performance in ATP due to its ability to model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-10 Zirui Li , Bin Yang , Meng Wang

Bus timetable optimization is a key issue to reduce operational cost of bus companies and improve the service quality. Existing methods use exact or heuristic algorithms to optimize the timetable in an offline manner. In practice, the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-07-16 Guanqun Ai , Xingquan Zuo , Gang chen , Binglin Wu

This paper presents an effective framework for estimating time of arrival of vehicles (buses) in an Intelligent Transit Management System (ITMS) having sparse position updates. Our contributions towards this is firstly in implementing a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-22 Shivika Sharma , Nandini Mawane , Dhruthick Gowda M , Mayur Taware , Chetan Kumar , Yash Chandrashekhar Dixit , Rakshit Ramesh

It is commonly seen that buses are blocked by the ones in front serving passengers and have to queue outside a curbside bus stop although there are vacant berths at the stop. The resultant bus delays degrade the service level of urban…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-11-30 Wanjing Ma , Shiqi Ou , Chunhui Yu

Robust travel time predictions are of prime importance in managing any transportation infrastructure, and particularly in rail networks where they have major impacts both on traffic regulation and passenger satisfaction. We aim at…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-22 Farid Arthaud , Guillaume Lecoeur , Alban Pierre

As ride-hailing services become increasingly popular, being able to accurately predict demand for such services can help operators efficiently allocate drivers to customers, and reduce idle time, improve congestion, and enhance the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-19 Long Chen , Piyushimita , Thakuriah , Konstantinos Ampountolas

Public transport systems are expected to reduce pollution and contribute to sustainable development. However, disruptions in public transport such as delays may negatively affect mobility choices. To quantify delays, aggregated data from…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-12 Przemysław Wrona , Maciej Grzenda , Marcin Luckner

Public transport routing plays a crucial role in transit network design, ensuring a satisfactory level of service for passengers. However, current routing solutions rely on traditional operational research heuristics, which can be…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-08-25 Nadav Shalit , Michael Fire , Dima Kagan , Eran Ben-Elia

Urban mobility is on the cusp of transformation with the emergence of shared, connected, and cooperative automated vehicles. Yet, for them to be accepted by customers, trust in their punctuality is vital. Many pilot initiatives operate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-07 Carolin Schmidt , Mathias Tygesen , Filipe Rodrigues

We investigate the stochastic transfer synchronization problem, which seeks to synchronize the timetables of different routes in a transit network to reduce transfer waiting times, delay times, and unnecessary in-vehicle times. We present a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-06 Zahra Ansarilari , Merve Bodur , Amer Shalaby

Accurate delivery delay prediction is critical for maintaining operational efficiency and customer satisfaction across modern supply chains. Yet the increasing complexity of logistics networks, spanning multimodal transportation,…

Urban commuting data has long been a vital source of understanding population mobility behaviour and has been widely adopted for various applications such as transport infrastructure planning and urban anomaly detection. While…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2020-02-17 Lakmal Meegahapola , Noel Athaide , Kasthuri Jayarajah , Shili Xiang , Archan Misra

This paper considers the dispatching of large-scale real-time ride-sharing systems to address congestion issues faced by many cities. The goal is to serve all customers (service guarantees) with a small number of vehicles while minimizing…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-25 Connor Riley , Pascal Van Hentenryck , Enpeng Yuan

This study aims to propose an approach for spatiotemporal integration of bus transit, which enables users to change bus lines by paying a single fare. This could increase bus transit efficiency and, consequently, help to make this mode of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-02-29 Júlio Borges , Altieris M. Peixoto , Thiago H. Silva , Anelise Munaretto , Ricardo Luders

In recent years, some traffic information prediction methods have been proposed to provide the precise information of travel time, vehicle speed, and traffic flow for highways. However, big errors may be obtained by these methods for urban…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Chi-Hua Chen

Accurate forecasting of bus ridership (passengers numbers) is crucial for efficient management and optimization of public transport systems. Traditional forecasting models often fail to capture the unique and localized dynamics of different…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Daniel Azenkot , Michael Fire , Eran Ben Elia

Urban transportation systems are vulnerable to congestion, accidents, weather, special events, and other costly delays. Whereas typical policy responses prioritize reduction of delays under normal conditions to improve the efficiency of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-12-22 Alexander A. Ganin , Maksim Kitsak , Dayton Marchese , Jeffrey M. Keisler , Thomas Seager , Igor Linkov