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Models of stochastic processes are widely used in almost all fields of science. Theory validation, parameter estimation, and prediction all require model calibration and statistical inference using data. However, data are almost always…

Computation · Statistics 2022-09-07 David J. Warne , Thomas P. Prescott , Ruth E. Baker , Matthew J. Simpson

Variational Monte Carlo (VMC) is a powerful and fast-growing method for optimizing and evolving parameterized many-body wave functions, especially with modern neural-network quantum states. In practice, however, the stochastic estimators…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2026-03-20 Zhou-Quan Wan , Roeland Wiersema , Shiwei Zhang

Different techniques of event biasing have been implemented in the particle-based Monte Carlo simulations of a 15nm n-channel MOSFET. The primary goal is to achieve enhancement in the channel statistics and faster convergence in the…

Computational Physics · Physics 2009-10-27 Sharnali Islam , Mihail Nedjalkov , Shaikh Ahmed

Multivariate density estimation is a popular technique in statistics with wide applications including regression models allowing for heteroskedasticity in conditional variances. The estimation problems become more challenging when…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-15 Zhen Li , Lili Wu , Weilian Zhou , Sujit Ghosh

Model checking plays an important role in linear regression as model misspecification seriously affects the validity and efficiency of regression analysis. In practice, model checking is often performed by subjectively evaluating the plot…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-19 Rok Blagus , Jakob Peterlin , Janez Stare

Sequential Monte Carlo methods which involve sequential importance sampling and resampling are shown to provide a versatile approach to computing probabilities of rare events. By making use of martingale representations of the sequential…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-22 Hock Peng Chan , Tze Leung Lai

We propose a sampling method to include the negative contribution to probability density distribution in a sampling procedure. This sampling method is a universal solution for all negative probability problem and shows extraordinarily power…

Instrumentation and Detectors · Physics 2015-05-27 Bo Da , Shifeng Mao , ZheJun Ding

A general purpose, self-adapting, Monte Carlo (MC) event generator (simulator) is described. The high efficiency of the MC, that is small maximum weight or variance of the MC weight is achieved by means of dividing the integration domain…

Computational Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 S. Jadach

Astronomers are often confronted with funky populations and distributions of objects: brighter objects are more likely to be detected; targets are selected based on colour cuts; imperfect classification yields impure samples. Failing to…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2017-06-21 Samuel R. Hinton , Alex Kim , Tamara M. Davis

This work reports on a method for uncertainty estimation in simulated collider-event predictions. The method is based on a Monte Carlo-veto algorithm, and extends previous work on uncertainty estimates in parton showers by including…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2024-05-29 Christan Bierlich , Philip Ilten , Tony Menzo , Stephen Mrenna , Manuel Szewc , Michael K. Wilkinson , Ahmed Youssef , Jure Zupan

The system-level dynamics of multivalent biomolecular interactions can be simulated using a rule-based kinetic Monte Carlo method in which a rejection sampling strategy is used to generate reaction events. This method becomes inefficient…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2010-03-04 Jin Yang , William S. Hlavacek

Many machine learning tasks that involve predicting an output response can be solved by training a weighted regression model. Unfortunately, the predictive power of this type of models may severely deteriorate under low sample sizes or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-10-01 Tam Le , Truyen Nguyen , Makoto Yamada , Jose Blanchet , Viet Anh Nguyen

I discuss optimized data analysis and Monte Carlo methods. Reweighting methods are discussed through examples, like Lee-Yang zeroes in the Ising model and the absence of deconfinement in QCD. I discuss reweighted data analysis and…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2008-02-03 Enzo Marinari

We propose a Monte Carlo algorithm to sample from high dimensional probability distributions that combines Markov chain Monte Carlo and importance sampling. We provide a careful theoretical analysis, including guarantees on robustness to…

Computation · Statistics 2019-09-18 Giacomo Zanella , Gareth Roberts

This paper considers the problem of multi-sample nonparametric comparison of counting processes with panel count data, which arise naturally when recurrent events are considered. Such data frequently occur in medical follow-up studies and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-04-21 N. Balakrishnan , Xingqiu Zhao

Resampling is a standard step in particle filters and more generally sequential Monte Carlo methods. We present an algorithm, called chopthin, for resampling weighted particles. In contrast to standard resampling methods the algorithm does…

Computation · Statistics 2016-08-24 Axel Gandy , F. Din-Houn Lau

Large deviation theory has provided important clues for the choice of importance sampling measures for Monte Carlo evaluation of exceedance probabilities. However, Glasserman and Wang [Ann. Appl. Probab. 7 (1997) 731--746] have given…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Hock Peng Chan , Tze Leung Lai

Quantum advantage, benchmarking the computational power of quantum machines outperforming all classical computers in a specific task, represents a crucial milestone in developing quantum computers and has been driving different physical…

Target tracking faces the challenge in coping with large volumes of data which requires efficient methods for real time applications. The complexity considered in this paper is when there is a large number of measurements which are required…

Computation · Statistics 2015-08-03 Allan De Freitas , François Septier , Lyudmila Mihaylova , Simon Godsill

Modern macroeconometrics often relies on time series models for which it is time-consuming to evaluate the likelihood function. We demonstrate how Bayesian computations for such models can be drastically accelerated by reweighting and…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-09-10 Marko Mlikota , Frank Schorfheide