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With nonignorable missing data, likelihood-based inference should be based on the joint distribution of the study variables and their missingness indicators. These joint models cannot be estimated from the data alone, thus requiring the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-06 Mauricio Sadinle , Jerome P. Reiter

Set prediction is about learning to predict a collection of unordered variables with unknown interrelations. Training such models with set losses imposes the structure of a metric space over sets. We focus on stochastic and underdefined…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-23 David W. Zhang , Gertjan J. Burghouts , Cees G. M. Snoek

Learning models of dynamical systems characterized by specific stability properties is of crucial importance in applications. Existing results mainly focus on linear systems or some limited classes of nonlinear systems and stability…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-18 Matteo Scandella , Michelangelo Bin , Thomas Parisini

Introduction: Methods now exist to detect residual confounding. One requires an "indicator" with two key properties: conditional independence of the outcome (given exposure and measured covariates) absent confounding and other model…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-10-26 W. Dana Flanders , Matthew J. Strickland , Mitchel Klein

The task of inferring high-level causal variables from low-level observations, commonly referred to as causal representation learning, is fundamentally underconstrained. As such, recent works to address this problem focus on various…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-03-26 Simon Bing , Urmi Ninad , Jonas Wahl , Jakob Runge

A key step in mechanistic modelling of dynamical systems is to conduct a structural identifiability analysis. This entails deducing which parameter combinations can be estimated from a given set of observed outputs. The standard…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-03-30 Johannes G Borgqvist , Alexander P Browning , Fredrik Ohlsson , Ruth E Baker

Mechanical systems are often characterized only by their response to certain loads known from experiments or simulations. The obtained data can be used for various purposes: system analysis, design of mathematical models, or construction of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-01-05 Yevgeniya Filanova , Igor Pontes Duff , Pawan Goyal , Peter Benner

This paper studies inference of preference parameters in semiparametric discrete choice models when these parameters are not point-identified and the identified set is characterized by a class of conditional moment inequalities. Exploring…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-26 Le-Yu Chen , Sokbae Lee

We introduce several methods for assessing sensitivity to unmeasured confounding in marginal structural models; importantly we allow treatments to be discrete or continuous, static or time-varying. We consider three sensitivity models: a…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-12 Matteo Bonvini , Edward Kennedy , Valerie Ventura , Larry Wasserman

A novel information-theoretic approach is proposed to assess the global practical identifiability of Bayesian statistical models. Based on the concept of conditional mutual information, an estimate of information gained for each model…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-22 Sahil Bhola , Karthik Duraisamy

Probabilities of causation are fundamental to individual-level explanation and decision making, yet they are inherently counterfactual and not point-identifiable from data in general. Existing bounds either disregard available covariates,…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-17 Yuxuan Xie , Ang Li

This work proposes a model-reduction methodology that preserves Lagrangian structure (equivalently Hamiltonian structure) and achieves computational efficiency in the presence of high-order nonlinearities and arbitrary parameter dependence.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2015-04-16 Kevin Carlberg , Ray Tuminaro , Paul Boggs

We introduce BEDS (Bayesian Emergent Dissipative Structures), a formal framework for analyzing inference systems that must maintain beliefs continuously under energy constraints. Unlike classical computational models that assume perfect…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-01-08 Laurent Caraffa

In this paper, we provide an overview of the research conducted in the context of structural systems since the latest survey by Dion et al. in 2003. We systematically consider all the papers that cite this survey as well as the seminal work…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-08-27 Guilherme Ramos , A. Pedro Aguiar , Sergio Pequito

Latent class models have wide applications in social and biological sciences. In many applications, pre-specified restrictions are imposed on the parameter space of latent class models, through a design matrix, to reflect practitioners'…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-03 Yuqi Gu , Gongjun Xu

We study the identification of binary choice models with fixed effects. We propose a condition called sign saturation and show that this condition is sufficient for identifying the model. In particular, this condition can guarantee…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-18 Yinchu Zhu

Calibration, the practice of choosing the parameters of a structural model to match certain empirical moments, can be viewed as minimum distance estimation. Existing standard error formulas for such estimators require a consistent estimate…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-06-19 Matthew D. Cocci , Mikkel Plagborg-Møller

Structural break identification methods are an important tool for evaluating the effectiveness of climate change mitigation policies. In this paper, we introduce a unified probabilistic framework for detecting structural breaks with unknown…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-06 Lucas D. Konrad , Lukas Vashold , Jesus Crespo Cuaresma

This paper presents an algorithm that generates the conditional moment inequalities that characterize the identified set of the common parameter of various semi-parametric panel multinomial choice models. I consider both static and dynamic…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-05-26 Eric Mbakop

We propose a neural network based approach for extracting models from dynamic data using ordinary and partial differential equations. In particular, given a time-series or spatio-temporal dataset, we seek to identify an accurate governing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-09 Yifan Sun , Linan Zhang , Hayden Schaeffer