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Exploratory analysis of time series data can yield a better understanding of complex dynamical systems. Granger causality is a practical framework for analysing interactions in sequential data, applied in a wide range of domains. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-01-20 Ričards Marcinkevičs , Julia E. Vogt

Multivariate time series anomaly detection has numerous real-world applications and is being extensively studied. Modeling pairwise correlations between variables is crucial. Existing methods employ learnable graph structures and graph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-24 Zehao Liu , Mengzhou Gao , Pengfei Jiao

This paper studies the estimation of high dimensional Gaussian graphical model (GGM). Typically, the existing methods depend on regularization techniques. As a result, it is necessary to choose the regularized parameter. However, the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-06-06 Weidong Liu

While most classical approaches to Granger causality detection repose upon linear time series assumptions, many interactions in neuroscience and economics applications are nonlinear. We develop an approach to nonlinear Granger causality…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-06-26 Alex Tank , Ian Cover , Nicholas J. Foti , Ali Shojaie , Emily B. Fox

We study the problem of automatically discovering Granger causal relations from observational multivariate time-series data.Vector autoregressive (VAR) models have been time-tested for this problem, including Bayesian variants and more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-27 He Zhao , Vassili Kitsios , Terence J. O'Kane , Edwin V. Bonilla

Most link prediction methods return estimates of the connection probability of missing edges in a graph. Such output can be used to rank the missing edges from most to least likely to be a true edge, but does not directly provide a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-26 Ariane Marandon

False discovery rate (FDR) is a common way to control the number of false discoveries in multiple testing. There are a number of approaches available for controlling FDR. However, for functional test statistics, which are discretized into…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-03 Tomáš Mrkvička , Mari Myllymäki

We study Granger causality testing for high-dimensional time series using regularized regressions. To perform proper inference, we rely on heteroskedasticity and autocorrelation consistent (HAC) estimation of the asymptotic variance and…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-02-02 Andrii Babii , Eric Ghysels , Jonas Striaukas

High-dimensional sparse generalized linear models (GLMs) have emerged in the setting that the number of samples and the dimension of variables are large, and even the dimension of variables grows faster than the number of samples. False…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-04 Chang Cui , Jinzhu Jia , Yijun Xiao , Huiming Zhang

Granger Causality (GC) offers an elegant statistical framework to study the association between multivariate time series data. Vector autoregressive models (VAR) are simple and easy to fit, but have limited application because of their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Malik Shahid Sultan , Hernando Ombao , Maurizio Filippone

We propose a linear-time, single-pass, top-down algorithm for multiple testing on directed acyclic graphs (DAGs), where nodes represent hypotheses and edges specify a partial ordering in which hypotheses must be tested. The procedure is…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-06 Aaditya Ramdas , Jianbo Chen , Martin J. Wainwright , Michael I. Jordan

Graph topology inference of network processes with co-evolving and interacting time-series is crucial for network studies. Vector autoregressive models (VAR) are popular approaches for topology inference of directed graphs; however, in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-18 M. Ali Vosoughi , Axel Wismuller

There is increasing interest in identifying changes in the underlying states of brain networks. The availability of large scale neuroimaging data creates a strong need to develop fast, scalable methods for detecting and localizing in time…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-11 Peiliang Bai , Abolfazl Safikhani , George Michailidis

False discovery rate (FDR) is commonly used for correction for multiple testing in neuroimaging studies. However, when using two-tailed tests, making directional inferences about the results can lead to a vastly inflated error rate, even…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-16 Anderson M. Winkler , Paul A. Taylor , Thomas E. Nichols , Chris Rorden

Granger causality has been employed to investigate causality relations between components of stationary multiple time series. We generalize this concept by developing statistical inference for local Granger causality for multivariate…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-12 Yan Liu , Masanobu Taniguchi , Hernando Ombao

As the volume and complexity of data continue to expand across various scientific disciplines, the need for robust methods to account for the multiplicity of comparisons has grown widespread. A popular measure of type 1 error rate in…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-19 Jianliang He , Bowen Gang , Luella Fu

Effectively controlling the false discovery rate (FDR) in high-dimensional variable selection is a fundamental statistical problem that has garnered significant research interest. In this paper, we propose a novel, user-friendly, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-28 Yujia Wu , Panxu Yuan , Binyan Jiang

Controlling the false discovery rate (FDR) is a critical challenge in large-scale data analysis, particularly in the presence of outliers. A common practice involves imposing a Student-$t$ distribution to eliminate the influence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-01 Yoshiko Hayashi

We investigate theoretical guarantees for the false-negative rate (FNR) -- the fraction of true causal edges whose orientation is not recovered, under single-variable random interventions and an $\epsilon$-interventional faithfulness…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-05 Mathieu Chevalley , Arash Mehrjou , Patrick Schwab

A new online multiple testing procedure is described in the context of anomaly detection, which controls the False Discovery Rate (FDR). An accurate anomaly detector must control the false positive rate at a prescribed level while keeping…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-12-17 Etienne Krönert , Alain Célisse , Dalila Hattab