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We consider nonparametric estimation of the transition operator $P$ of a Markov chain and its transition density $p$ where the singular values of $P$ are assumed to decay exponentially fast. This is for instance the case for periodised,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-10-26 Matthias Löffler , Antoine Picard

We consider the parameter estimation of Markov chain when the unknown transition matrix belongs to an exponential family of transition matrices. Then, we show that the sample mean of the generator of the exponential family is an…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-28 Masahito Hayashi , Shun Watanabe

A piecewise-deterministic Markov process is a stochastic process whose behavior is governed by an ordinary differential equation punctuated by random jumps occurring at random times. We focus on the nonparametric estimation problem of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-24 Romain Azaïs , Aurélie Muller-Gueudin

Markov chains are a class of probabilistic models that have achieved widespread application in the quantitative sciences. This is in part due to their versatility, but is compounded by the ease with which they can be probed analytically.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-18 Eddie Seabrook , Laurenz Wiskott

Allthough nonparametric kernel density estimation with bias reduce is nowadays a standard technique in explorative data-analysis, there is still a big dispute on how to assess the quality of the estimate and which choice of bandwidth is…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-26 Hamza Dhakera , El Hadji Demeb , Youssou Cissb

This study proposes multivariate kernel density estimation by stagewise minimization algorithm based on $U$-divergence and a simple dictionary. The dictionary consists of an appropriate scalar bandwidth matrix and a part of the original…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-08-11 Kiheiji Nishida , Kanta Naito

We are interested in the nonparametric estimation of the probability density of price returns, using the kernel approach. The output of the method heavily relies on the selection of a bandwidth parameter. Many selection methods have been…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-05-23 Matthieu Garcin

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods have become popular in statistics as versatile techniques to sample from complicated probability distributions. In this work, we propose a method to parameterize and train transition kernels of Markov chains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-05 Evgenii Egorov , Ricardo Valperga , Efstratios Gavves

Kernel-based modal statistical methods include mode estimation, regression, and clustering. Estimation accuracy of these methods depends on the kernel used as well as the bandwidth. We study effect of the selection of the kernel function to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-04-21 Ryoya Yamasaki , Toshiyuki Tanaka

The paper studies an improved estimate for the rate of convergence for nonlinear homogeneous discrete-time Markov chains. These processes are nonlinear in terms of the distribution law. Hence, the transition kernels are dependent on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-21 Aleksandr Shchegolev

Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton

This paper is devoted to the construction of a new fast-to-evaluate model for the prediction of 2D crack paths in concrete-like microstructures. The model generates piecewise linear cracks paths with segmentation points selected using a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-01-07 Kathleen Pele , Jean Baccou , Loïc Daridon , Jacques Liandrat , Thibaut Le Gouic , Yann Monerie , Frédéric Péralès

We derive asymptotic normality of kernel type deconvolution estimators of the density, the distribution function at a fixed point, and of the probability of an interval. We consider the so called super smooth case where the characteristic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 A. J. van Es , H. -W. Uh

Kernel density estimation is a well known method involving a smoothing parameter (the bandwidth) that needs to be tuned by the user. Although this method has been widely used the bandwidth selection remains a challenging issue in terms of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-05 Suzanne Varet , Claire Lacour , Pascal Massart , Vincent Rivoirard

We derive estimators of the density of the event times of current status data. The estimators are derived for the situations where the distribution of the observation times is known and where this distribution is unknown. The density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-04 Bert van Es , Catharina Elisabeth Graafland

A new method of bandwidth selection for kernel density estimators is proposed. The method, termed indirect cross-validation, or ICV, makes use of so-called selection kernels. Least squares cross-validation (LSCV) is used to select the…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-12-02 Olga Y. Savchuk , Jeffrey D. Hart , Simon J. Sheather

We consider the problem of estimating the density of observations taking values in classical or nonclassical spaces such as manifolds and more general metric spaces. Our setting is quite general but also sufficiently rich in allowing the…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-02-12 G. Cleanthous , A. Georgiadis , G. Kerkyacharian , P. Petrushev , D. Picard

We discuss and compare various approaches to the problem of bandwidth selection for kernel estimators of intensity functions of spatial point processes. We also propose a new method based on the Campbell formula applied to the reciprocal…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-12-01 O. Cronie , M. N. M. van Lieshout

In kernel methods, the median heuristic has been widely used as a way of setting the bandwidth of RBF kernels. While its empirical performances make it a safe choice under many circumstances, there is little theoretical understanding of why…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-31 Damien Garreau , Wittawat Jitkrittum , Motonobu Kanagawa

Most machine learning methods require tuning of hyper-parameters. For kernel ridge regression with the Gaussian kernel, the hyper-parameter is the bandwidth. The bandwidth specifies the length scale of the kernel and has to be carefully…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-04 Oskar Allerbo , Rebecka Jörnsten