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The application of Predictive Process Monitoring (PPM) techniques is becoming increasingly widespread due to their capacity to provide organizations with accurate predictions regarding the future behavior of business processes, thereby…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2025-04-25 Simona Fioretto , Elio Masciari

Predictive business process monitoring (PPM) has been around for several years as a use case of process mining. PPM enables foreseeing the future of a business process through predicting relevant information about how a running process…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-02-17 Ghada Elkhawaga , Mervat Abuelkheir , Manfred Reichert

Predictive Process Monitoring (PPM) often uses deep learning models to predict the future behavior of ongoing processes, such as predicting process outcomes. While these models achieve high accuracy, their lack of interpretability…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-06-23 Soobin Chae , Suhwan Lee , Hanna Hauptmann , Hajo A. Reijers , Xixi Lu

Predictive Process Monitoring (PPM) aims to forecast the future behavior of ongoing process instances using historical event data, enabling proactive decision-making. While recent advances rely heavily on deep learning models such as LSTMs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-23 Amaan Ansari , Lukas Kirchdorfer , Raheleh Hadian

Existing well investigated Predictive Process Monitoring techniques typically construct a predictive model based on past process executions, and then use it to predict the future of new ongoing cases, without the possibility of updating it…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Williams Rizzi , Chiara Di Francescomarino , Chiara Ghidini , Fabrizio Maria Maggi

A characteristic of existing predictive process monitoring techniques is to first construct a predictive model based on past process executions, and then use it to predict the future of new ongoing cases, without the possibility of updating…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Chiara Di Francescomarino , Chiara Ghidini , Fabrizio Maria Maggi , Williams Rizzi , Cosimo Damiano Persia

Tasks in Predictive Business Process Monitoring (PBPM), such as Next Activity Prediction, focus on generating useful business predictions from historical case logs. Recently, Deep Learning methods, particularly sequence-to-sequence models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Shahaf Bassan , Shlomit Gur , Sergey Zeltyn , Konstantinos Mavrogiorgos , Ron Eliav , Dimosthenis Kyriazis

Predictive Process Monitoring (PPM) has been integrated into process mining tools as a value-adding task. PPM provides useful predictions on the further execution of the running business processes. To this end, machine learning-based…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-18 Ghada Elkhawaga , Mervat Abuelkheir , Manfred Reichert

Although a recent shift has been made in the field of predictive process monitoring to use models from the explainable artificial intelligence field, the evaluation still occurs mainly through performance-based metrics, thus not accounting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-01 Alexander Stevens , Johannes De Smedt

Process model quality has been an area of considerable research efforts. In this context, the correctness-by-construction principle of change patterns provides promising perspectives. However, using change patterns for model creation…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2015-11-13 Barbara Weber , Jakob Pinggera , Victoria Torres , Manfred Reichert

Modern predictive analytics underpinned by machine learning techniques has become a key enabler to the automation of data-driven decision making. In the context of business process management, predictive analytics has been applied to making…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Renuka Sindhgatta , Chun Ouyang , Catarina Moreira

Explainability is motivated by the lack of transparency of black-box Machine Learning approaches, which do not foster trust and acceptance of Machine Learning algorithms. This also happens in the Predictive Process Monitoring field, where…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-07-25 Williams Rizzi , Marco Comuzzi , Chiara Di Francescomarino , Chiara Ghidini , Suhwan Lee , Fabrizio Maria Maggi , Alexander Nolte

Operations is a key challenge in the domain of machine learning pipeline deployments involving monitoring and management of real-time prediction quality. Typically, metrics like accuracy, RMSE etc., are used to track the performance of…

When machine learning systems meet real world applications, accuracy is only one of several requirements. In this paper, we assay a complementary perspective originating from the increasing availability of pre-trained and regularly…

Neural networks are among the most accurate supervised learning methods in use today. However, their opacity makes them difficult to trust in critical applications, especially when conditions in training may differ from those in practice.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-03 Andrew Slavin Ross

The ubiquity of machine learning based predictive models in modern society naturally leads people to ask how trustworthy those models are? In predictive modeling, it is quite common to induce a trade-off between accuracy and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-05 John Mitros , Brian Mac Namee

Predictive Process Monitoring (PPM) aims at leveraging historic process execution data to predict how ongoing executions will continue up to their completion. In recent years, PPM techniques for the prediction of the next activities have…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Ivan Donadello , Jonghyeon Ko , Fabrizio Maria Maggi , Jan Mendling , Francesco Riva , Matthias Weidlich

Predictive business process monitoring refers to the act of making predictions about the future state of ongoing cases of a business process, based on their incomplete execution traces and logs of historical (completed) traces. Motivated by…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-10-24 Irene Teinemaa , Marlon Dumas , Marcello La Rosa , Fabrizio Maria Maggi

This tutorial focuses on efficient methods to predictive monitoring (PM), the problem of detecting at runtime future violations of a given requirement from the current state of a system. While performing model checking at runtime would…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-12-05 Francesca Cairoli , Luca Bortolussi , Nicola Paoletti

Process model quality has been an area of considerable research efforts. In this context, correctness-by-construction as enabled by change patterns provides promising perspectives. While the process of process modeling (PPM) based on change…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2015-11-13 Barbara Weber , Sarah Zeitelhofer , Jakob Pinggera , Victoria Torres , Manfred Reichert
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