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Quantifying uncertainty in detected changepoints is an important problem. However it is challenging as the naive approach would use the data twice, first to detect the changes, and then to test them. This will bias the test, and can lead to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-11 Rachel Carrington , Paul Fearnhead

Whether examinees' answer changing behavior while taking multiple-choice exams is beneficial or harmful is a long-standing puzzle in the educational and psychological measurement literature. Formalizing the problem using the potential…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-16 Yongnam Kim

Limit distributions of likelihood ratio statistics are well-known to be discontinuous in the presence of nuisance parameters at the boundary of the parameter space, which lead to size distortions when standard critical values are used for…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-07-29 Giuseppe Cavaliere , Adam McCloskey , Rasmus S. Pedersen , Anders Rahbek

Interpreting experimental data in high school experiments can be a difficult task for students, especially when there is large variation in the data. At the same time, calculating the standard deviation poses a challenge for students. In…

Physics Education · Physics 2022-10-18 Karel Kok , Burkhard Priemer

We propose a new approach to the problem of high-dimensional multivariate ANOVA via bootstrapping max statistics that involve the differences of sample mean vectors. The proposed method proceeds via the construction of simultaneous…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-20 Zhenhua Lin , Miles E. Lopes , Hans-Georg Müller

We present the results of a large number of simulation studies regarding the power of various goodness-of-fit as well as non-parametric two-sample tests for multivariate data. In two dimensions this includes both continuous and discrete…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-13 Wolfgang Rolke

We are concerned with the detection of associations between random vectors of any dimension. Few tests of independence exist that are consistent against all dependent alternatives. We propose a powerful test that is applicable in all…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-08 Ruth Heller , Yair Heller , Malka Gorfine

In this paper, we propose a robust method to estimate the average treatment effects in observational studies when the number of potential confounders is possibly much greater than the sample size. We first use a class of penalized…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-12-21 Yang Ning , Sida Peng , Kosuke Imai

We consider high-dimensional estimation problems where the number of parameters diverges with the sample size. General conditions are established for consistency, uniqueness, and asymptotic normality in both unpenalized and penalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-08 Jana Gauss , Thomas Nagler

Industry practitioners care about small improvements in malware detection accuracy because their models are deployed to hundreds of millions of machines, meaning a 0.1\% change can cause an overwhelming number of false positives. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-27 Tirth Patel , Fred Lu , Edward Raff , Charles Nicholas , Cynthia Matuszek , James Holt

Let X; Z be r and s-dimensional covariates, respectively, used to model the response variable Y as Y = m(X;Z) + \sigma(X;Z)\epsilon. We develop an ANOVA-type test for the null hypothesis that Z has no influence on the regression function,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-11 Adriano Zanin Zambom , Michael G. Akritas

Objectives: Discussions of fairness in criminal justice risk assessments typically lack conceptual precision. Rhetoric too often substitutes for careful analysis. In this paper, we seek to clarify the tradeoffs between different kinds of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-07-25 Richard A. Berk , Hoda Heidari , Shahin Jabbari , Michael Kearns , Aaron Roth

Evaluating blocked randomized experiments from a potential outcomes perspective has two primary branches of work. The first focuses on larger blocks, with multiple treatment and control units in each block. The second focuses on matched…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-05-31 Nicole E. Pashley , Luke W. Miratrix

Large-scale datasets are important for the development of deep learning models. Such datasets usually require a heavy workload of annotations, which are extremely time-consuming and expensive. To accelerate the annotation procedure,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-13 Xiaoqian Ruan , Gaoang Wang

High-dimensional phenotypes hold promise for richer findings in association studies, but testing of several phenotype traits aggravates the grand challenge of association studies, that of multiple testing. Several methods have recently been…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-05-14 Pekka Marttinen , Jussi Gillberg , Aki Havulinna , Jukka Corander , Samuel Kaski

For many financial applications, it is important to have reliable and tractable models for the behavior of assets and indexes, for example in risk evaluation. A successful approach is based on ARCH processes, which strike the right balance…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-15 Gilles Zumbach

Heterogeneous treatment effect models allow us to compare treatments at subgroup and individual levels, and are of increasing popularity in applications like personalized medicine, advertising, and education. In this talk, we first survey…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-28 Zijun Gao , Trevor Hastie

Cochran's $Q$ statistic is routinely used for testing heterogeneity in meta-analysis. Its expected value (under an incorrect null distribution) is part of several popular estimators of the between-study variance, $\tau^2$. Those…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-11 Elena Kulinskaya , David C. Hoaglin

Online controlled experiments face growing challenges from overlapping tests on shared traffic, where interactions between concurrent experiments obscure insights into feature combinations and produce effect estimates that do not correspond…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-21 Reza Hosseini

The existence of adversarial examples has led to considerable uncertainty regarding the trust one can justifiably put in predictions produced by automated systems. This uncertainty has, in turn, lead to considerable research effort in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-02 Christina Göpfert , Jan Philip Göpfert , Barbara Hammer
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