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Related papers: Stochastic filtering with moment representation

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Stochastic optimization naturally arises in machine learning. Efficient algorithms with provable guarantees, however, are still largely missing, when the objective function is nonconvex and the data points are dependent. This paper studies…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-02 Minshuo Chen , Lin Yang , Mengdi Wang , Tuo Zhao

Implicit particle filters for data assimilation generate high-probability samples by representing each particle location as a separate function of a common reference variable. This representation requires that a certain underdetermined…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-05-27 Matthias Morzfeld , Xuemin Tu , Ethan Atkins , Alexandre J. Chorin

This paper presents a stochastic model predictive control approach for nonlinear systems subject to time-invariant probabilistic uncertainties in model parameters and initial conditions. The stochastic optimal control problem entails a cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-10-17 Stefan Streif , Matthias Karl , Ali Mesbah

This paper develops a unified methodology for probabilistic analysis and optimal control design for jump diffusion processes defined by polynomials. For such systems, the evolution of the moments of the state can be described via a system…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-02-03 Andrew Lamperski , Khem Raj Ghusinga , Abhyudai Singh

In this paper, a stochastic algorithm for the efficient simulation and optimal control of networked wave equations based on the random batch method is proposed and analyzed. The random approximation is constructed by dividing the time…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-16 Daniel Veldman , Yue Wang

Stochastic kinetic models are often used to describe complex biological processes. Typically these models are analytically intractable and have unknown parameters which need to be estimated from observed data. Ideally we would have…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-13 Richard J. Boys , Holly F. Ainsworth , Colin S. Gillespie

A stochastic hybrid system, also known as a switching diffusion, is a continuous-time Markov process with state space consisting of discrete and continuous parts. We consider parametric estimation of theQmatrix for the discrete state…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-14 Masaaki Fukasawa

We introduce a new online algorithm for expected log-likelihood maximization in situations where the objective function is multi-modal and/or has saddle points, that we term G-PFSO. The key element underpinning G-PFSO is a probability…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-07-07 Mathieu Gerber , Randal Douc

Filtered Poisson processes are often used as reference models for intermittent fluc- tuations in physical systems. Such a process is here extended by adding a noise term, either as a purely additive term to the process or as a dynamical…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-05-04 Audun Theodorsen , Odd Erik Garcia , Martin Rypdal

This article develops a comprehensive framework for stability analysis of a broad class of commonly used continuous and discrete time-filters for stochastic dynamic systems with non-linear state dynamics and linear measurements under…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-11 Toni Karvonen , Silvère Bonnabel , Eric Moulines , Simo Särkkä

At the beginning of this century, a real time solution of the nonlinear filtering problem without memory was proposed in [1, 2] by the third author and his collaborator, and it is later on referred to as Yau-Yau algorithm. During the last…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-13 Zeju Sun , Xiuqiong Chen , Stephen S. -T. Yau

Bayesian filtering serves as the mainstream framework of state estimation in dynamic systems. Its standard version utilizes total probability rule and Bayes' law alternatively, where how to define and compute conditional probability is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-04-02 Wenhan Cao , Shiqi Liu , Chang Liu , Zeyu He , Stephen S. -T. Yau , Shengbo Eben Li

Atmospheric models used for weather and climate prediction are traditionally formulated in a deterministic manner. In other words, given a particular state of the resolved scale variables, the most likely forcing from the sub-grid scale…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Hannah M. Christensen , Salah Kouhen , Greta Miller , Raghul Parthipan

We consider estimating the transition probability matrix of a finite-state finite-observation alphabet hidden Markov model with known observation probabilities. The main contribution is a two-step algorithm; a method of moments estimator…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-11-22 Robert Mattila , Cristian R. Rojas , Vikram Krishnamurthy , Bo Wahlberg

This article discusses a partially adapted particle filter for estimating the likelihood of a nonlinear structural econometric state space models whose state transition density cannot be expressed in closed form. The filter generates the…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-09-05 Jamie Hall , Michael K. Pitt , Robert Kohn

In this paper, we present an optimal filter for linear time-varying continuous-time stochastic systems that simultaneously estimates the states and unknown inputs in an unbiased minimum-variance sense. We first show that the unknown inputs…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Sze Zheng Yong , Minghui Zhu , Emilio Frazzoli

This paper presents a general approach to linear stochastic processes driven by various random noises. Mathematically, such processes are described by linear stochastic differential equations of arbitrary order (the simplest non-trivial…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-28 Alon Drory

Progressive filtering is a simple way to perform hierarchical classification, inspired by the behavior that most humans put into practice while attempting to categorize an item according to an underlying taxonomy. Each node of the taxonomy…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-11-04 Giuliano Armano

A succesful method to describe the asymptotic behavior of a discrete time stochastic process governed by some recursive formula is to relate it to the limit sets of a well chosen mean differential equation. Under an attainability condition,…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-19 Mathieu Faure , Gregory Roth

"Particle methods" are sequential Monte Carlo algorithms, typically involving importance sampling, that are used to estimate and sample from joint and marginal densities from a collection of a, presumably increasing, number of random…

Computation · Statistics 2014-07-17 J. N. Corcoran , D. Jennings