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Active learning for classification seeks to reduce the cost of labeling samples by finding unlabeled examples about which the current model is least certain and sending them to an annotator/expert to label. Bayesian theory can provide a…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Ahmed Bensaoud , Jugal Kalita

Deep learning models, such as convolutional neural networks, have long been applied to image and multi-media tasks, particularly those with structured data. More recently, there has been more attention to unstructured data that can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-09-17 Rohitash Chandra , Ayush Bhagat , Manavendra Maharana , Pavel N. Krivitsky

In Offline Model Learning for Planning and in Offline Reinforcement Learning, the limited data set hinders the estimate of the Value function of the relative Markov Decision Process (MDP). Consequently, the performance of the obtained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Giorgio Angelotti , Nicolas Drougard , Caroline Ponzoni Carvalho Chanel

Bayesian inference allows us to define a posterior distribution over the weights of a generic neural network (NN). Exact posteriors are usually intractable, in which case approximations can be employed. One such approximation - variational…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Andrew Millard , Joshua Murphy , Peter Green , Simon Maskell

Genetic interactions play an important role in the progression of complex diseases, providing explanation of variations in disease phenotype missed by main genetic effects. Comparatively, there are fewer investigations on prognostic…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-23 Xing Qin , Shuangge Ma , Mengyun Wu

Reliable risk assessment for carotid atheromatous disease remains a major clinical challenge, as it requires integrating diverse clinical and imaging information in a manner that is transparent and interpretable to clinicians. This study…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-06 Daphne Tsolissou , Theofanis Ganitidis , Konstantinos Mitsis , Stergios CHristodoulidis , Maria Vakalopoulou , Konstantina Nikita

In this work, we tackle the problem of minimising the Conditional-Value-at-Risk (CVaR) of output quantities of complex differential models with random input data, using gradient-based approaches in combination with the Multi-Level Monte…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-10-16 Sundar Ganesh , Fabio Nobile

In this paper, we propose a new stochastic optimization algorithm for Bayesian inference based on multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) methods. In Bayesian statistics, biased estimators of the model evidence have been often used as stochastic…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-02-26 Kei Ishikawa , Takashi Goda

Despite their widespread use, large language models (LLMs) are known to hallucinate incorrect information and be poorly calibrated. This makes the uncertainty quantification of these models of critical importance, especially in high-stakes…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-27 Colin Samplawski , Adam D. Cobb , Manoj Acharya , Ramneet Kaur , Susmit Jha

Pedestrian detection in a crowd is a challenging task due to a high number of mutually-occluding human instances, which brings ambiguity and optimization difficulties to the current IoU-based ground truth assignment procedure in classical…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-04-27 Yuang Zhang , Huanyu He , Jianguo Li , Yuxi Li , John See , Weiyao Lin

Stochastic reaction network models are often used to explain and predict the dynamics of gene regulation in single cells. These models usually involve several parameters, such as the kinetic rates of chemical reactions, that are not…

Computation · Statistics 2020-01-07 Thomas A. Catanach , Huy D. Vo , Brian Munsky

Probabilistic approaches for tensor factorization aim to extract meaningful structure from incomplete data by postulating low rank constraints. Recently, variational Bayesian (VB) inference techniques have successfully been applied to large…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-10-01 Beyza Ermis , A. Taylan Cemgil

Recent progress in deep latent variable models has largely been driven by the development of flexible and scalable variational inference methods. Variational training of this type involves maximizing a lower bound on the log-likelihood,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-06-02 Andriy Mnih , Danilo J. Rezende

Motivated by examples from genetic association studies, this paper considers the model selection problem in a general complex linear model system and in a Bayesian framework. We discuss formulating model selection problems and incorporating…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-03-14 Xiaoquan Wen

In this paper, we propose a general framework for combining evidence of varying quality to estimate underlying binary latent variables in the presence of restrictions imposed to respect the scientific context. The resulting algorithms…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-28 Zhenke Wu , Livia Casciola-Rosen , Antony Rosen , Scott L. Zeger

For many decades now, Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) has been a popular framework to systematically account for model uncertainty that arises in situations when multiple competing models are available to describe the same or similar…

Computation · Statistics 2022-03-29 Vojtech Kejzlar , Shrijita Bhattacharya , Mookyong Son , Tapabrata Maiti

We present a scalable approach to performing approximate fully Bayesian inference in generic state space models. The proposed method is an alternative to particle MCMC that provides fully Bayesian inference of both the dynamic latent states…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-13 Marcel Hirt , Petros Dellaportas

Bayesian network (BN) modelling is extensively used in systems epidemiology. Usually it consists in selecting and reporting the best-fitting structure conditional to the data. A major practical concern is avoiding overfitting, on account of…

Computation · Statistics 2019-02-19 Gilles Kratzer , Reinhard Furrer

In many practices, scientists are particularly interested in detecting which of the predictors are truly associated with a multivariate response. It is more accurate to model multiple responses as one vector rather than separating each…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-16 Xiaotian Dai , Guifang Fu , Randall Reese , Shaofei Zhao , Zuofeng Shang

Tensor-based representations are being increasingly used to represent complex data types such as imaging data, due to their appealing properties such as dimension reduction and the preservation of spatial information. Recently, there is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-12-15 Rongke Lyu , Marina Vannucci , Suprateek Kundu