English
Related papers

Related papers: Improving estimation for asymptotically independen…

200 papers

Estimation of extreme value copulas is often required in situations where available data are sparse. Parametric methods may then be the preferred approach. A possible way of defining parametric families that are simple and, at the same…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-01-29 Jan Beran , Georg Mainik

Recent developments in extreme value statistics have established the so-called geometric approach as a powerful modelling tool for multivariate extremes. We tailor these methods to the case of spatial modelling and examine their efficacy at…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-20 Lydia Kakampakou , Jennifer L. Wadsworth

The modelling of multivariate extreme events is important in a wide variety of applications, including flood risk analysis, metocean engineering and financial modelling. A wide variety of statistical techniques have been proposed in the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-16 Callum John Rowlandson Murphy-Barltrop , Ed Mackay , Philip Jonathan

Inference over tails is performed by applying only the results of extreme value theory. Whilst such theory is well defined and flexible enough in the univariate case, multivariate inferential methods often require the imposition of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-11 Manuele Leonelli , Dani Gamerman

We consider regularly varying random vectors. Our goal is to estimate in a non-parametric way some characteristics related to conditioning on an extreme event, like the tail dependence coefficient. We introduce a quasi-spectral…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-02-26 Rafał Kulik , Zhigang Tong

A framework for quantifying dependence between random vectors is introduced. With the notion of a collapsing function, random vectors are summarized by single random variables, called collapsed random variables in the framework. Using this…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-12 Marius Hofert , Wayne Oldford , Avinash Prasad , Mu Zhu

Recent work has suggested that in highly correlated systems, such as sandpiles, turbulent fluids, ignited trees in forest fires and magnetization in a ferromagnet close to a critical point, the probability distribution of a global quantity…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-01-29 Sandra Chapman , George Rowlands , Nicholas Watkins

Multivariate extreme value analysis quantifies the probability and magnitude of joint extreme events. River discharges from the upper Danube River basin provide a challenging dataset for such analysis because the data, which is measured on…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-14 Aiden Farrell , Emma F. Eastoe , Clement Lee

Dependency functions of dependent variables are relevant for i) performing uncertainty quantification and sensitivity analysis in presence of dependent variables and/or correlated variables, and ii) simulating random dependent variables. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-22 Matieyendou Lamboni

Determining the causes of extreme events is a fundamental question in many scientific fields. An important aspect when modelling multivariate extremes is the tail dependence. In application, the extreme dependence structure may…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-21 Juraj Bodik , Linda Mhalla , Valérie Chavez-Demoulin

The extremal index is an important parameter in the characterization of extreme values of a stationary sequence. Our new estimation approach for this parameter is based on the extremal behavior under the local dependence condition…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-11 Helena Ferreira , Marta Ferreira

Testing two potentially multivariate variables for statistical dependence on the basis finite samples is a fundamental statistical challenge. Here we explore a family of tests that adapt to the complexity of the relationship between the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-23 Baihan Lin , Nikolaus Kriegeskorte

Modeling nonstationarity that often prevails in extremal dependence of spatial data can be challenging, and typically requires bespoke or complex spatial models that are difficult to estimate. Inference for stationary and isotropic models…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-21 Xuanjie Shao , Jordan Richards , Raphael Huser

We study extremal conditional independence for H\"{u}sler-Reiss distributions, which is a parametric subclass of multivariate Pareto distributions. As the main contribution, we introduce two set functions, i.e.~functions which assign a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-30 Karel Devriendt , Ignacio Echave-Sustaeta Rodríguez , Frank Röttger

Extreme value theory provides an asymptotically justified framework for estimation of exceedance probabilities in regions where few or no observations are available. For multivariate tail estimation, the strength of extremal dependence is…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-06 Sebastian Engelke , Jevgenijs Ivanovs

Gaussian scale mixtures are constructed as Gaussian processes with a random variance. They have non-Gaussian marginals and can exhibit asymptotic dependence unlike Gaussian processes, which are asymptotically independent except in the case…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-31 Raphael Huser , Thomas Opitz , Emeric Thibaud

Multivariate processes with long-range dependence properties can be encountered in many fields of application. Two fundamental characteristics in such frameworks are long-range dependence parameters and correlations between component time…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-04-07 Irène Gannaz

Extreme values geostatistics make it possible to model the asymptotic behaviors of random phenomena which depends on space or time parameters. In this paper, we propose new models of the extremal coefficient within a spatial stationary…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-05 Ouoba Fabrice , Diakarya Barro , Hay Yoba Talkibing

The main approach to inference for multivariate extremes consists in approximating the joint upper tail of the observations by a parametric family arising in the limit for extreme events. The latter may be expressed in terms of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-06-17 Raphaël Huser , Anthony C. Davison , Marc G. Genton

Consider a continuous random pair $(X,Y)$ whose dependence is characterized by an extreme-value copula with Pickands dependence function $A$. When the marginal distributions of $X$ and $Y$ are known, several consistent estimators of $A$ are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-08-26 Christian Genest , Johan Segers