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Gaussian processes are a natural way of defining prior distributions over functions of one or more input variables. In a simple nonparametric regression problem, where such a function gives the mean of a Gaussian distribution for an…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-02-03 Radford M. Neal

A method based on multicanonical Monte Carlo is applied to the calculation of large deviations in the largest eigenvalue of random matrices. The method is successfully tested with the Gaussian orthogonal ensemble (GOE), sparse random…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-05-29 Nen Saito , Yukito Iba , Koji Hukushima

We present the Gaussian process density sampler (GPDS), an exchangeable generative model for use in nonparametric Bayesian density estimation. Samples drawn from the GPDS are consistent with exact, independent samples from a distribution…

Computation · Statistics 2009-12-25 Ryan Prescott Adams , Iain Murray , David J. C. MacKay

Markov chain Monte Carlo is a class of algorithms for drawing Markovian samples from high-dimensional target densities to approximate the numerical integration associated with computing statistical expectation, especially in Bayesian…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-28 Khoa T. Tran

Bayesian reasoning in linear mixed-effects models (LMMs) is challenging and often requires advanced sampling techniques like Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). A common approach is to write the model in a probabilistic programming language…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Jinlin Lai , Justin Domke , Daniel Sheldon

Gaussian processes are the gold standard for many real-world modeling problems, especially in cases where a model's success hinges upon its ability to faithfully represent predictive uncertainty. These problems typically exist as parts of…

Elastic systems that are spatially heterogeneous in their mechanical response pose special challenges for molecular simulations. Standard methods for sampling thermal fluctuations of a system's size and shape proceed through a series of…

Materials Science · Physics 2015-05-13 Sander Pronk , Phillip L. Geissler

Sampling from distributions play a crucial role in aiding practitioners with statistical inference. However, in numerous situations, obtaining exact samples from complex distributions is infeasible. Consequently, researchers often turn to…

Computation · Statistics 2024-04-01 Riddhiman Bhattacharya , Tiefeng Jiang

Sequential Monte Carlo samplers represent a compelling approach to posterior inference in Bayesian models, due to being parallelisable and providing an unbiased estimate of the posterior normalising constant. In this work, we significantly…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-24 Samuel Duffield , Sumeetpal S. Singh

Gaussian time-series models are often specified through their spectral density. Such models present several computational challenges, in particular because of the non-sparse nature of the covariance matrix. We derive a fast approximation of…

Computation · Statistics 2012-11-20 Nicolas Chopin , Judith Rousseau , Brunero Liseo

Recently, the Hamilton Monte Carlo (HMC) has become widespread as one of the more reliable approaches to efficient sample generation processes. However, HMC is difficult to sample in a multimodal posterior distribution because the HMC chain…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-22 Jonghyun Yun , Minsuk Shin , Ick Hoon Jin , Faming Liang

We construct an effective Hamiltonian via Monte Carlo from a given action. This Hamiltonian describes physics in the low energy regime. We test it by computing spectrum, wave functions and thermodynamical observables (average energy and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-10-31 H. Jirari , H. Kröger , X. Q. Luo , K. J. M. Moriarty

Traditional Markov Chain Monte Carlo sampling methods often struggle with sharp curvatures, intricate geometries, and multimodal distributions. Slice sampling can resolve local exploration inefficiency issues, and Riemannian geometries help…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Bernardo Williams , Hanlin Yu , Hoang Phuc Hau Luu , Georgios Arvanitidis , Arto Klami

We study the problem of sampling from a target probability density function in frameworks where parallel evaluations of the log-density gradient are feasible. Focusing on smooth and strongly log-concave densities, we revisit the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-09 Lu Yu , Arnak Dalalyan

We employ a general Monte Carlo method to test composite hypotheses of goodness-of-fit for several popular multivariate models that can accommodate both asymmetry and heavy tails. Specifically, we consider weighted L2-type tests based on a…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-09 Maicon J. Karling , Marc G. Genton , Simos G. Meintanis

We propose a flat-histogram Monte Carlo method to efficiently sample fractal landscapes such as escape time functions of open chaotic systems. This is achieved by using a random-walk step which depends on the height of the landscape via the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2013-05-31 Jorge C. Leitão , João M. Viana Parente Lopes , Eduardo G. Altmann

Fractional generalizations of the Poisson process and branching Furry process are considered. The link between characteristics of the processes, fractional differential equations and Levy stable densities are discussed and used for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-02-15 Vladimir V. Uchaikin , Dexter O. Cahoy , Renat T. Sibatov

We introduce a new path integral Monte Carlo method for investigating nonadiabatic systems in thermal equilibrium and demonstrate an approach to reducing stochastic error. We derive a general path integral expression for the partition…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2019-07-11 Neil Raymond , Dmitri Iouchtchenko , Pierre-Nicholas Roy , Marcel Nooijen

In machine learning and statistics, probabilistic inference involving multimodal distributions is quite difficult. This is especially true in high dimensional problems, where most existing algorithms cannot easily move from one mode to…

Computation · Statistics 2015-06-22 Shiwei Lan , Jeffrey Streets , Babak Shahbaba

Standard Markov chain Monte Carlo methods struggle to explore distributions that are concentrated in the neighbourhood of low-dimensional structures. These pathologies naturally occur in a number of situations. For example, they are common…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-02 Khai Xiang Au , Matthew M. Graham , Alexandre H. Thiery