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Model based predictions of future trajectories of a dynamical system often suffer from inaccuracies, forcing model based control algorithms to re-plan often, thus being computationally expensive, suboptimal and not reliable. In this work,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-11 Norman Di Palo , Harri Valpola

In practical optimization problems, we typically model uncertainty as a random variable though its true probability distribution is unobservable to the decision maker. Historical data provides some information of this distribution that we…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-28 Arjun Ramachandra , Napat Rujeerapaiboon , Melvyn Sim

Robust optimization (RO) tackles data uncertainty by optimizing for the worst-case scenario of an uncertain parameter and, in its basic form, is sometimes criticized for producing overly-conservative solutions. To reduce the level of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-02-21 Milad Dehghani Filabadi , Houra Mahmoudzadeh

The supply of electrical energy is being increasingly sourced from renewable generation resources. The variability and uncertainty of renewable generation, compared to a dispatch-able plant, is a significant dissimilarity of concern to the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-16 Farhad Samadi Gazijahani , Javad Salehi

This paper considers risk-sensitive model predictive control for stochastic systems with a decision-dependent distribution. This class of systems is commonly found in human-robot interaction scenarios. We derive computationally tractable…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-06-02 Renzi Wang , Mathijs Schuurmans , Panagiotis Patrinos

Price determination is a central research topic of revenue management in marketing. The important aspect in pricing is controlling the stochastic behavior of demand, and the previous studies have tackled price optimization problems with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-04 Yuya Hikima , Akiko Takeda

Originating in the artificial intelligence literature, optimistic planning (OP) is an algorithm that generates near-optimal control inputs for generic nonlinear discrete-time systems whose input set is finite. This technique is therefore…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-08-06 Mathieu Granzotto , Romain Postoyan , Lucian Buşoniu , Dragan Nešić , Jamal Daafouz

In many real-world applications, optimization problems evolve continuously over time and are often subject to stochastic noise. We consider a stochastic time-varying optimization problem in which the objective function $f(x;t)$ changes…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-18 Tomoya Kamijima , Naoki Marumo , Akiko Takeda

Multi-objective optimization is a type of decision making problems where multiple conflicting objectives are optimized. We study offline optimization of multi-objective policies from data collected by an existing policy. We propose a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-31 Shima Alizadeh , Aniruddha Bhargava , Karthick Gopalswamy , Lalit Jain , Branislav Kveton , Ge Liu

Model-based reinforcement learning algorithms tend to achieve higher sample efficiency than model-free methods. However, due to the inevitable errors of learned models, model-based methods struggle to achieve the same asymptotic performance…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-02 Qi Zhou , Houqiang Li , Jie Wang

This paper considers an opportunistic scheduling problem over a renewal system. A controller observes a random event at the beginning of each renewal frame and then chooses an action in response to the event, which affects the duration of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-06-10 Xiaohan Wei , Michael J. Neely

Accurate load prediction is an effective way to reduce power system operation costs. Traditionally, the mean square error (MSE) is a common-used loss function to guide the training of an accurate load forecasting model. However, the MSE…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-07-06 Jialun Zhang , Yi Wang , Gabriela Hug

The need for control strategies that can address dynamic system uncertainty is becoming increasingly important. In this work, we propose a Model Predictive Control by quantifying the risk of failure in our system model. The proposed control…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-02-17 Mostafa Tavakkoli Anbarani , Efe C. Balta , Rômulo Meira-Góes , Ilya Kovalenko

Decision problems encountered in practice often possess a highly dynamic and uncertain nature. In particular fast changing forecasts for parameters (e.g., photovoltaic generation forecasts in the context of energy management) pose large…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-11-21 Jens Hönen , Johann L. Hurink , Bert Zwart

In this paper we present a risk-averse model predictive control (MPC) scheme for the operation of islanded microgrids with very high share of renewable energy sources. The proposed scheme mitigates the effect of errors in the determination…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-08-20 Christian A. Hans , Pantelis Sopasakis , Jörg Raisch , Carsten Reincke-Collon , Panagiotis Patrinos

This work proposes a conformal approach for energy storage arbitrage to control the downside risk arising from imperfect price forecasts. Energy storage arbitrage relies solely on predictions of future market prices, while inaccurate price…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-10 Yiqian Wu , Ming Yi , Bolun Xu , James Anderson

Managing stock efficiently remains a core issue in modern logistics, where companies must reconcile cost efficiency with dependable service despite unpredictable market conditions. Conventional models often overlook the direct connection…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Tianxiao Sun , Noah Schwarzkopf

In optimization problems, the quality of a candidate solution can be characterized by the optimality gap. For most stochastic optimization problems, this gap must be statistically estimated. We show that for risk-averse problems, standard…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-05 E. Ruben van Beesten , Nick W. Koning , David P. Morton

We present a heuristic policy and performance bound for risk-sensitive convex stochastic control that generalizes linear-exponential-quadratic regulator (LEQR) theory. Our heuristic policy extends standard, risk-neutral model predictive…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-05-30 Nicholas Moehle

Model-free adaptive optimization methods are capable of optimizing unknown, time-varying processes even when other optimization methods are not. However, their practical application is often limited by perturbations that are used to gather…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-28 Leontine Aarnoudse , Mark Haring , Nathan van de Wouw , Alexey Pavlov
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