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A popular technique for selecting and tuning machine learning estimators is cross-validation. Cross-validation evaluates overall model fit, usually in terms of predictive accuracy. In causal inference, the optimal choice of estimator…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-07 Dominik Rothenhäusler

We propose a novel estimation approach for a general class of semi-parametric time series models where the conditional expectation is modeled through a parametric function. The proposed class of estimators is based on a Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-21 Mirko Armillotta , Paolo Gorgi

We assume the direct sum <A> o <B> for the signal subspace. As a result of post- measurement, a number of operational contexts presuppose the a priori knowledge of the LB -dimensional "interfering" subspace <B> and the goal is to estimate…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-17 Guillaume Bouleux , Rémy Boyer

Optimal estimation of a coin's bias using noisy data is surprisingly different from the same problem with noiseless data. We study this problem using entropy risk to quantify estimators' accuracy. We generalize the "add Beta" estimators…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Christopher Ferrie , Robin Blume-Kohout

The bias-variance trade-off is a central concept in supervised learning. In classical statistics, increasing the complexity of a model (e.g., number of parameters) reduces bias but also increases variance. Until recently, it was commonly…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-25 Jason W. Rocks , Pankaj Mehta

We consider the problem of estimating an arbitrary smooth functional of $k \geq 1 $ distribution functions (d.f.s.) in terms of random samples from them. The natural estimate replaces the d.f.s by their empirical d.f.s. Its bias is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-08-03 C. S. Withers , S. Nadarajah

Traditionally model averaging has been viewed as an alternative to model selection with the ultimate goal to incorporate the uncertainty associated with the model selection process in standard errors and confidence intervals by using a…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-05 Michael Schomaker , Christian Heumann

Meta learning of optimal classifier error rates allows an experimenter to empirically estimate the intrinsic ability of any estimator to discriminate between two populations, circumventing the difficult problem of estimating the optimal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-11-01 Morteza Noshad Iranzad , Alfred O. Hero

In survey sampling, survey data do not necessarily represent the target population, and the samples are often biased. However, information on the survey weights aids in the elimination of selection bias. The Horvitz-Thompson estimator is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-05 Kosuke Morikawa , Yoshikazu Terada , Jae Kwang Kim

We introduce a framework for statistical estimation that leverages knowledge of how samples are collected but makes no distributional assumptions on the data values. Specifically, we consider a population of elements $[n]={1,\ldots,n}$ with…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-10-27 Justin Y. Chen , Gregory Valiant , Paul Valiant

In many parameter estimation problems, the exact model is unknown and is assumed to belong to a set of candidate models. In such cases, a predetermined data-based selection rule selects a parametric model from a set of candidates before the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-25 Nadav Harel , Tirza Routtenberg

Estimation of a deterministic quantity observed in non-Gaussian additive noise is explored via order statistics approach. More specifically, we study the estimation problem when measurement noises either have positive supports or follow a…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-07-15 Kamiar Radnosrati , Gustaf Hendeby , Fredrik Gustafsson

We consider the additive version of the matrix denoising problem, where a random symmetric matrix $S$ of size $n$ has to be inferred from the observation of $Y=S+Z$, with $Z$ an independent random matrix modeling a noise. For prior…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2024-10-25 Guilhem Semerjian

In this paper, two types of linear estimators are considered for three related estimation problems involving set-theoretic uncertainty pertaining to $\mathcal{H}_{2}$ and $\mathcal{H}_{\infty}$ balls of frequency-responses. The problems at…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-11 Gilberto O. Corrêa , Marlon M. López-Flores

We revisit the problem of mean estimation in the Gaussian sequence model with $\ell_p$ constraints for $p \in [0, \infty]$. We demonstrate two phenomena for the behavior of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), which depend on the noise…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-02 Liviu Aolaritei , Michael I. Jordan , Reese Pathak , Annie Ulichney

We consider the linear regression problem of estimating an unknown, deterministic parameter vector based on measurements corrupted by colored Gaussian noise. We present and analyze blind minimax estimators (BMEs), which consist of a bounded…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-09-26 Zvika Ben-Haim , Yonina C. Eldar

This paper deals with the nonparametric estimation in heteroscedastic regression $ Y_i=f(X_i)+\xi_i, \: i=1,...,n $, with incomplete information, i.e. each real random variable $ \xi_i $ has a density $ g_{i} $ which is unknown to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-05-10 Michaël Chichignoud

We define a new class of Bayesian point estimators, which we refer to as risk averse. Using this definition, we formulate axioms that provide natural requirements for inference, e.g. in a scientific setting, and show that for well-behaved…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-08 Michael Brand

A lower bound on the minimum mean-squared error (MSE) in a Bayesian estimation problem is proposed in this paper. This bound utilizes a well-known connection to the deterministic estimation setting. Using the prior distribution, the bias…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2009-05-27 Zvika Ben-Haim , Yonina C. Eldar

Asymptotic lower bounds for estimation play a fundamental role in assessing the quality of statistical procedures. In this paper we propose a framework for obtaining semi-parametric efficiency bounds for sparse high-dimensional models,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-16 Jana Jankova , Sara van de Geer