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Reliability analysis is a formidable task, particularly in systems with a large number of stochastic parameters. Conventional methods for quantifying reliability often rely on extensive simulations or experimental data, which can be costly…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-09-10 N Navaneeth , Tushar , Souvik Chakraborty

Bayesian inference provides a principled framework for probabilistic reasoning. If inference is performed in two steps, uncertainty propagation plays a crucial role in accounting for all sources of uncertainty and variability. This becomes…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-16 Svenja Jedhoff , Hadi Kutabi , Anne Meyer , Paul-Christian Bürkner

In numerous applications, surrogate models are used as a replacement for accurate parameter-to-observable mappings when solving large-scale inverse problems governed by partial differential equations (PDEs). The surrogate model may be a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-12-08 Ruanui Nicholson , Radoslav Vuchkov , Umberto Villa , Noemi Petra

Inverse design optimization aims to infer system parameters from observed solutions, posing critical challenges across domains such as semiconductor manufacturing, structural engineering, materials science, and fluid dynamics. The lack of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-10-16 Haoyu Yang , Kamyar Azizzadenesheli , Haoxing Ren

This paper demonstrates the application of Bayesian Artificial Neural Networks to Ordinary Differential Equation (ODE) inverse problems. We consider the case of estimating an unknown chaotic dynamical system transition model from state…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-28 David K. E. Green , Filip Rindler

High-performance scientific simulations, important for comprehension of complex systems, encounter computational challenges especially when exploring extensive parameter spaces. There has been an increasing interest in developing deep…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-15 Pradeep Bajracharya , Javier Quetzalcóatl Toledo-Marín , Geoffrey Fox , Shantenu Jha , Linwei Wang

Recently, neural surrogate models have emerged as a compelling alternative to traditional simulation workflows. This is accomplished by modeling the underlying function of scientific simulations, removing the need to run expensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-19 Xiaohan Wang , Zhimin Li , Joshua A. Levine , Matthew Berger

Inverse problems constrained by partial differential equations are often ill-conditioned due to noisy and incomplete data or inherent non-uniqueness. A prominent example is full waveform inversion, which estimates Earth's subsurface…

Geophysics · Physics 2026-03-03 Ali Siahkoohi , Kamal Aghazade , Ali Gholami

In recent years, computational power and data availability breakthroughs have revolutionized our ability to analyze complex physical systems through the inverse problem approach. Data-driven techniques like system identification and machine…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-04 Sriram Narayanan , Mohamed Naveed Gul Mohamed , Ishan Paranjape , Indranil Nayak , Suman Chakravorty , Mrinal Kumar

Surrogate models are used to alleviate the computational burden in engineering tasks, which require the repeated evaluation of computationally demanding models of physical systems, such as the efficient propagation of uncertainties. For…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-09-28 Felix Schneider , Iason Papaioannou , Gerhard Müller

Accurate simulations of the oceans are crucial in understanding the Earth system. Despite their efficiency, simulations at lower resolutions must rely on various uncertain parameterizations to account for unresolved processes. However,…

Stochastic inverse problems considered in this article consist of estimating the probability distributions of intrinsically random inputs of computer models. These estimations are based on observable outputs affected by model noise, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-03-17 Nicolas Bousquet , Mélanie Blazère , Thomas Cerbelaud

Neural network surrogate models have emerged as a promising approach to model solution fields for a wide variety of boundary value problems encountered in physical modeling. Stochastic problems represent an area of particularly high…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-18 Noah Wade , Kirubel Teferra

In data-driven inverse optimization an observer aims to learn the preferences of an agent who solves a parametric optimization problem depending on an exogenous signal. Thus, the observer seeks the agent's objective function that best…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-07-25 Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Soroosh Shafieezadeh-Abadeh , Grani Adiwena Hanasusanto , Daniel Kuhn

Poroelasticity -- coupled fluid flow and elastic deformation in porous media -- often involves spatially variable permeability, especially in subsurface systems. In such cases, simulations with random permeability fields are widely used for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-16 Sangjoon Park , Yeonjong Shin , Jinhyun Choo

Deep neural networks are often ignorant about what they do not know and overconfident when they make uninformed predictions. Some recent approaches quantify classification uncertainty directly by training the model to output high…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Murat Sensoy , Lance Kaplan , Federico Cerutti , Maryam Saleki

Inverse problems aim to determine parameters from observations, a crucial task in engineering and science. Lately, generative models, especially diffusion models, have gained popularity in this area for their ability to produce realistic…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Gabriel della Maggiora , Luis Alberto Croquevielle , Nikita Deshpande , Harry Horsley , Thomas Heinis , Artur Yakimovich

Datasets in engineering applications are often limited and contaminated, mainly due to unavoidable measurement noise and signal distortion. Thus, using conventional data-driven approaches to build a reliable discriminative model, and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-14 Xihaier Luo , Ahsan Kareem

We are interested in the development of surrogate models for uncertainty quantification and propagation in problems governed by stochastic PDEs using a deep convolutional encoder-decoder network in a similar fashion to approaches considered…

Computational Physics · Physics 2018-05-09 Yinhao Zhu , Nicholas Zabaras

Existing work on data-driven optimization focuses on problems in static environments, but little attention has been paid to problems in dynamic environments. This paper proposes a data-driven optimization algorithm to deal with the…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-12-29 Cuie Yang , Jinliang Ding , Yaochu Jin , Tianyou Chai