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During the past decades, the Ising distribution has attracted interest in many applied disciplines, as the maximum entropy distribution associated to any set of correlated binary (`spin') variables with observed means and covariances.…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2019-05-13 Adrien Wohrer

Mixture transition distribution time series models build high-order dependence through a weighted combination of first-order transition densities for each one of a specified number of lags. We present a framework to construct stationary…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-25 Xiaotian Zheng , Athanasios Kottas , Bruno Sansó

The fractional non-homogeneous Poisson process was introduced by a time-change of the non-homogeneous Poisson process with the inverse $\alpha$-stable subordinator. We propose a similar definition for the (non-homogeneous) fractional…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-11-27 Nikolai Leonenko , Enrico Scalas , Mailan Trinh

The non-equilibrium steady states emerging from stochastic resetting to a distribution is studied. We show that for a range of processes, the steady-state moments can be expressed as a linear combination of the moments of the distribution…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-10-10 Kristian Stølevik Olsen

New results on conditional joint probability distributions of first exit times are presented for a continuous-time stochastic process defined as the mixture of Markov jump processes moving at different speeds on the same finite state space,…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-19 B. A. Surya

Molecular dynamics simulations are widely used across chemistry, physics, and biology, providing quantitative insight into complex processes with atomic detail. However, their limited timescale of a few microseconds is a significant…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2025-04-10 Ofir Blumer , Barak Hirshberg

The empirical probability density function for the conditional distribution of the true value of Poisson distribution parameter on one measurement is constructed by computer experiment. The analysis of the obtained distributions confirms…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 S. I. Bityukov , V. A. Medvedev , V. V. Smirnova , Yu. V. Zernii

Monte Carlo simulations of diffusion processes often introduce bias in the final result, due to time discretization. Using an auxiliary Poisson process, it is possible to run simulations which are unbiased. In this article, we propose such…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-05-09 Louis Paulot

The authors present a method of indicator random processes, applicable to constructing models of jump processes associated with diffusion process. Indicator random processes are processes that take only two values: 1 and 0, in accordance…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-02-06 Valery Doobko , Elena Karachanskaya

We present a systematic study of the statistics of the occupation time and related random variables for stochastic processes with independent intervals of time. According to the nature of the distribution of time intervals, the probability…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 C. Godreche , J. M. Luck

Fractional generalizations of the Poisson process and branching Furry process are considered. The link between characteristics of the processes, fractional differential equations and Levy stable densities are discussed and used for…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-02-15 Vladimir V. Uchaikin , Dexter O. Cahoy , Renat T. Sibatov

The existence, uniqueness, and asymptotic stability of modulo periodic Poisson stable solutions of dynamic equations on a periodic time scale are investigated. The model under investigation involves a term which is constructed via a Poisson…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-10-12 Fatma Tokmak Fen , Mehmet Onur Fen

In this paper we develop a nonparametric maximum likelihood estimate of the mixing distribution of the parameters of a linear stochastic dynamical system. This includes, for example, pharmacokinetic population models with process and…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-16 Alona Kryshchenko , Alan Schumitzky , Mike van Guilder , Michael Neely

This paper introduces the class of ambiguity sparse processes, containing subsets of popular nonstationary time series such as locally stationary, cyclostationary and uniformly modulated processes. The class also contains aggregations of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-19 Sofia Olhede

Our object of study is the general class of stick-breaking processes with exchangeable length variables. These generalize well-known Bayesian non-parametric priors in an unexplored direction. We give conditions to assure the respective…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-20 María F. Gil-Leyva , Ramsés H. Mena

We analyze extensions of the Poisson process in which any interarrival time that exceeds a fixed value $r$ is counted as an interarrival of duration $r$. In the engineering application that initiated this work, one part is tested at a time,…

A version of the time-parallel algorithm parareal is analyzed and applied to stochastic models in chemical kinetics. A fast predictor at the macroscopic scale (evaluated in serial) is available in the form of the usual reaction rate…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2009-09-16 Stefan Engblom

We consider the first-crossing-time problem through a constant boundary for a Wiener process perturbed by random jumps driven by a counting process. On the base of a sample-path analysis of the jump-diffusion process we obtain explicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-20 Antonio Di Crescenzo , Elvira Di Nardo , Luigi M. Ricciardi

Iterative imputation, in which variables are imputed one at a time each given a model predicting from all the others, is a popular technique that can be convenient and flexible, as it replaces a potentially difficult multivariate modeling…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-04-04 Jingchen Liu , Andrew Gelman , Jennifer Hill , Yu-Sung Su

Various phenomenological models of particle multiplicity distributions are discussed using a general form of the grand canonical partition function. These phenomenological models include a wide range of varied processes such as coherent…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2007-05-23 S. J. Lee , A. Z. Mekjian