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We present a kernel-independent method that applies hierarchical matrices to the problem of maximum likelihood estimation for Gaussian processes. The proposed approximation provides natural and scalable stochastic estimators for its…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-26 Christopher J. Geoga , Mihai Anitescu , Michael L. Stein

We use available measurements to estimate the unknown parameters (variance, smoothness parameter, and covariance length) of a covariance function by maximizing the joint Gaussian log-likelihood function. To overcome cubic complexity in the…

Computation · Statistics 2018-09-13 Alexander Litvinenko , Ying Sun , Marc G. Genton , David Keyes

Gradient-based solvers risk convergence to local optima, leading to incorrect researcher inference. Heuristic-based algorithms are able to ``break free" of these local optima to eventually converge to the true global optimum. However, given…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-01-17 Zachary Porreca

The asymptotic variance of the maximum likelihood estimate is proved to decrease when the maximization is restricted to a subspace that contains the true parameter value. Maximum likelihood estimation allows a systematic fitting of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-01-31 Marie Turčičová , Jan Mandel , Kryštof Eben

Data analysis in cosmology requires reliable covariance matrices. Covariance matrices derived from numerical simulations often require a very large number of realizations to be accurate. When a theoretical model for the covariance matrix…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2022-12-21 Alessandra Fumagalli , Matteo Biagetti , Alexandro Saro , Emiliano Sefusatti , Anže Slosar , Pierluigi Monaco , Alfonso Veropalumbo

Pairwise likelihood is a useful approximation to the full likelihood function for covariance estimation in high-dimensional context. It simplifies high-dimensional dependencies by combining marginal bivariate likelihood objects, thus making…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-25 Alessandro Casa , Davide Ferrari , Zhendong Huang

The accurate computation of the covariance matrix of fitted model parameters is a somewhat neglected task in Statistics. Algorithms are given for computing accurate covariance matrices derived from computing the Hessian matrix by numerical…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-12 Rose Baker

Using a hierarchical construction, we develop methods for a wide and flexible class of models by taking a fully parametric approach to generalized linear mixed models with complex covariance dependence. The Laplace approximation is used to…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-31 Jay M. Ver Hoef , Eryn Blagg , Michael Dumelle , Philip M. Dixon , Dale L. Zimmerman , Paul Conn

We develop a multi-level restricted Gaussian maximum likelihood method for estimating the covariance function parameters and computing the best unbiased predictor. Our approach produces a new set of multi-level contrasts where the…

Computation · Statistics 2016-03-29 Julio E. Castrillon-Candas , Marc G. Genton , Rio Yokota

We consider estimation of the covariance matrix of a multivariate random vector under the constraint that certain covariances are zero. We first present an algorithm, which we call Iterative Conditional Fitting, for computing the maximum…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-03-04 Sanjay Chaudhuri , Mathias Drton , Thomas S. Richardson

Statistical analysis of massive datasets very often implies expensive linear algebra operations with large dense matrices. Typical tasks are an estimation of unknown parameters of the underlying statistical model and prediction of missing…

Computation · Statistics 2021-04-16 Alexander Litvinenko , Ronald Kriemann , Vladimir Berikov

When inferring parameters from a Gaussian-distributed data set by computing a likelihood, a covariance matrix is needed that describes the data errors and their correlations. If the covariance matrix is not known a priori, it may be…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2016-01-27 Elena Sellentin , Alan F. Heavens

Logistic regression is a fundamental and widely used statistical method for modeling binary outcomes based on covariates. However, the presence of missing data, particularly in settings involving hybrid covariates (a mix of discrete and…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-05 Mohamed Cherifi , Xujia Zhu , Mohammed Nabil El Korso , Ammar Mesloub

Maximum likelihood estimation for parameter-fitting given observations from a Gaussian process in space is a computationally-demanding task that restricts the use of such methods to moderately-sized datasets. We present a framework for…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-13 Victor Minden , Anil Damle , Kenneth L. Ho , Lexing Ying

Variational approximation methods have proven to be useful for scaling Bayesian computations to large data sets and highly parametrized models. Applying variational methods involves solving an optimization problem, and recent research in…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-01-13 Victor M. -H. Ong , David J. Nott , Michael S. Smith

The last decade has seen max-stable processes emerge as a common tool for the statistical modeling of spatial extremes. However, their application is complicated due to the unavailability of the multivariate density function, and so…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-02-23 Simone A. Padoan , Mathieu Ribatet , Scott A. Sisson

Statistical modeling of spatiotemporal phenomena often requires selecting a covariance matrix from a covariance class. Yet standard parametric covariance families can be insufficiently flexible for practical applications, while…

Computation · Statistics 2020-12-24 Antoni Musolas , Steven T. Smith , Youssef Marzouk

We study Bayesian inference methods for solving linear inverse problems, focusing on hierarchical formulations where the prior or the likelihood function depend on unspecified hyperparameters. In practice, these hyperparameters are often…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2018-08-01 Qingping Zhou , Wenqing Liu , Jinglai Li , Youssef M. Marzouk

We consider problems of estimation of structured covariance matrices, and in particular of matrices with a Toeplitz structure. We follow a geometric viewpoint that is based on some suitable notion of distance. To this end, we overview and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-10-18 Lipeng Ning , Xianhua Jiang , Tryphon Georgiou

We propose sequential Monte Carlo based algorithms for maximum likelihood estimation of the static parameters in hidden Markov models with an intractable likelihood using ideas from approximate Bayesian computation. The static parameter…

Computation · Statistics 2013-11-19 Sinan Yildirim , Sumeetpal Singh , Thomas Dean , Ajay Jasra
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