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Related papers: Error Bounds for Kernel-Based Linear System Identi…

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Gaussian processes have become a promising tool for various safety-critical settings, since the posterior variance can be used to directly estimate the model error and quantify risk. However, state-of-the-art techniques for safety-critical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-22 Alexandre Capone , Armin Lederer , Sandra Hirche

We propose a new method for blind system identification. Resorting to a Gaussian regression framework, we model the impulse response of the unknown linear system as a realization of a Gaussian process. The structure of the covariance matrix…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-05-20 Giulio Bottegal , Riccardo S. Risuleo , Håkan Hjalmarsson

In this contribution, we propose a kernel-based method for the identification of linear systems from noisy and incomplete input-output datasets. We model the impulse response of the system as a Gaussian process whose covariance matrix is…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-01-18 Riccardo Sven Risuleo , Giulio Bottegal , Håkan Hjalmarsson

Non-conservative uncertainty bounds are key for both assessing an estimation algorithm's accuracy and in view of downstream tasks, such as its deployment in safety-critical contexts. In this paper, we derive a tight, non-asymptotic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Amon Lahr , Johannes Köhler , Anna Scampicchio , Melanie N. Zeilinger

This paper addresses the problem of learning the impulse responses characterizing forward models by means of a regularized kernel-based Prediction Error Method (PEM). The common approach to accomplish that is to approximate the system with…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-20 Giulio Fattore , Marco Peruzzo , Giacomo Sartori , Mattia Zorzi

Learning models of dynamical systems characterized by specific stability properties is of crucial importance in applications. Existing results mainly focus on linear systems or some limited classes of nonlinear systems and stability…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-18 Matteo Scandella , Michelangelo Bin , Thomas Parisini

This paper presents a novel feature of the kernel-based system identification method. We prove that the regularized kernel-based approach for the estimation of a finite impulse response is equivalent to a robust least-squares problem with a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-27 Mohammad Khosravi , Roy S. Smith

In this work, we present a new class of models, called uncertain-input models, that allows us to treat system-identification problems in which a linear system is subject to a partially unknown input signal. To encode prior information about…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-09-12 Riccardo Sven Risuleo , Giulio Bottegal , Håkan Hjalmarsson

In this paper, we propose a novel algorithm for the identification of Hammerstein systems. Adopting a Bayesian approach, we model the impulse response of the unknown linear dynamic system as a realization of a zero-mean Gaussian process.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-05-20 Riccardo Sven Risuleo , Giulio Bottegal , Håkan Hjalmarsson

Limit cycle oscillations are phenomena arising in nonlinear dynamical systems and characterized by periodic, locally-stable, and self-sustained state trajectories. Systems controlled in a closed loop along a periodic trajectory can also be…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-03-20 Defne E. Ozan , Mingzhou Yin , Andrea Iannelli , Roy S. Smith

This paper presents a kernel-based framework for physics-informed nonlinear system identification. The key contribution is a structured methodology that extends kernel-based techniques to seamlessly embed partially known physics-based…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-10-20 Cesare Donati , Martina Mammarella , Giuseppe C. Calafiore , Fabrizio Dabbene , Constantino Lagoa , Carlo Novara

The laws of quantum mechanics place fundamental limits on the accuracy of measurements and therefore on the estimation of unknown parameters of a quantum system. In this work, we prove lower bounds on the size of confidence regions reported…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-12-23 Michael Walter , Joseph M. Renes

The problem of establishing out-of-sample bounds for the values of an unkonwn ground-truth function is considered. Kernels and their associated Hilbert spaces are the main formalism employed herein along with an observational model where…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-13 Paul Scharnhorst , Emilio T. Maddalena , Yuning Jiang , Colin N. Jones

The classical approach to linear system identification is given by parametric Prediction Error Methods (PEM). In this context, model complexity is often unknown so that a model order selection step is needed to suitably trade-off bias and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-03-13 Aleksandr Y. Aravkin , James V. Burke , Gianluigi Pillonetto

There have been extensive studies on solving differential equations using physics-informed neural networks. While this method has proven advantageous in many cases, a major criticism lies in its lack of analytical error bounds. Therefore,…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2022-07-05 Shuheng Liu , Xiyue Huang , Pavlos Protopapas

In this paper we introduce a novel method for linear system identification with quantized output data. We model the impulse response as a zero-mean Gaussian process whose covariance (kernel) is given by the recently proposed stable spline…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-06-21 Giulio Bottegal , Håkan Hjalmarsson , Gianluigi Pillonetto

When data contains measurement errors, it is necessary to make assumptions relating the observed, erroneous data to the unobserved true phenomena of interest. These assumptions should be justifiable on substantive grounds, but are often…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-12-24 Noam Finkelstein , Roy Adams , Suchi Saria , Ilya Shpitser

Providing non-conservative uncertainty quantification for function estimates derived from noisy observations remains a fundamental challenge in statistical machine learning, particularly for applications in safety-critical domains. In this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Johannes Teutsch , Oleksii Molodchyk , Marion Leibold , Timm Faulwasser , Armin Lederer

This paper considers the problem of testing whether there exists a solution satisfying certain non-negativity constraints to a linear system of equations. Importantly and in contrast to some prior work, we allow all parameters in the system…

We derive novel deterministic bounds on the approximation error of data-based bilinear surrogate models for unknown nonlinear systems. The surrogate models are constructed using kernel-based extended dynamic mode decomposition to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-24 Robin Strässer , Manuel Schaller , Julian Berberich , Karl Worthmann , Frank Allgöwer
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