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Critical transitions (or tipping points) are drastic sudden changes observed in many dynamical systems. Large classes of critical transitions are associated to systems, which drift slowly towards a bifurcation point. In the context of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-09-11 Christian Kuehn , Francesco Romano

Deep learning enhances earthquake monitoring capabilities by mining seismic waveforms directly. However, current neural networks, trained within specific areas, face challenges in generalizing to diverse regions. Here, we employ a data…

Geophysics · Physics 2024-10-04 Xiong Zhang , Miao Zhang

Successfully anticipating sudden major changes in complex systems is a practical concern. Such complex systems often form a heterogeneous network, which may show multistage transitions in which some nodes experience a regime shift earlier…

Physics and Society · Physics 2023-06-27 Neil G. MacLaren , Prosenjit Kundu , Naoki Masuda

This work reports deep-learning-unique first-order and second-order phase transitions, whose phenomenology closely follows that in statistical physics. In particular, we prove that the competition between prediction error and model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-26 Liu Ziyin , Masahito Ueda

Time series prediction typically consists of a data reconstruction phase where the time series is broken into overlapping windows known as the timespan. The size of the timespan can be seen as a way of determining the extent of past…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2018-06-14 Rohitash Chandra , Yew-Soon Ong , Chi-Keong Goh

To discover intrinsic inter-class transition probabilities underlying data, learning with noise transition has become an important approach for robust deep learning on corrupted labels. Prior methods attempt to achieve such transition…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-15 Jun Shu , Qian Zhao , Zongben Xu , Deyu Meng

In nonlinear dynamical systems, tipping refers to a critical transition from one steady state to another, typically catastrophic, steady state, often resulting from a saddle-node bifurcation. Recently, the machine-learning framework of…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2026-04-09 Smita Deb , Zheng-Meng Zhai , Mulugeta Haile , Ying-Cheng Lai

Periodic time series (PTS) forecasting plays a crucial role in a variety of industries to foster critical tasks, such as early warning, pre-planning, resource scheduling, etc. However, the complicated dependencies of the PTS signal on its…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-16 Wei Fan , Shun Zheng , Xiaohan Yi , Wei Cao , Yanjie Fu , Jiang Bian , Tie-Yan Liu

In this paper, we present the Difference- Based Causality Learner (DBCL), an algorithm for learning a class of discrete-time dynamic models that represents all causation across time by means of difference equations driving change in a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-03-19 Mark Voortman , Denver Dash , Marek J. Druzdzel

Unlike common faults, three-phase short-circuit faults in power systems pose significant challenges. These faults can lead to out-of-step (OOS) conditions and jeopardize the system's dynamic security. The rapid dynamics of these faults…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-08 Amin Masoumi , Mert Korkali

Dynamical systems are used to model a variety of phenomena in which the bifurcation structure is a fundamental characteristic. Here we propose a statistical machine-learning approach to derive lowdimensional models that automatically…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-11 Yohei Kondo , Kunihiko Kaneko , Shuji Ishihara

Deep neural networks for survival prediction outper-form classical approaches in discrimination, which is the ordering of patients according to their time-of-event. Conversely, classical approaches like the Cox Proportional Hazards model…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-09-01 Patrick Fuhlert , Anne Ernst , Esther Dietrich , Fabian Westhaeusser , Karin Kloiber , Stefan Bonn

Early warning for epilepsy patients is crucial for their safety and well-being, in particular to prevent or minimize the severity of seizures. Through the patients' EEG data, we propose a meta learning framework to improve the prediction of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-12 Peng Zhang , Ting Gao , Jin Guo , Jinqiao Duan , Sergey Nikolenko

We propose self-adaptive training -- a unified training algorithm that dynamically calibrates and enhances training processes by model predictions without incurring an extra computational cost -- to advance both supervised and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-17 Lang Huang , Chao Zhang , Hongyang Zhang

Stemming from physics and later applied to other fields such as ecology, the theory of critical transitions suggests that some regime shifts are preceded by statistical early warning signals. Reddit's r/place experiment, a large-scale…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-03-23 Guillaume Falmagne , Anna B. Stephenson , Simon A. Levin

Fast and accurate magnitude prediction is the key to the success of earthquake early warning. We have proposed a new approach based on deep learning for P-wave magnitude prediction (EEWNet), which takes time series data as input instead of…

Geophysics · Physics 2020-07-07 Yanwei Wang , Zifa Wang , Zhenzhong Cao , Jingyan Lan

The electroencephalogram (EEG) is one of the most precious technologies to understand the happenings inside our brain and further understand our body's happenings. Automatic prediction of oncoming seizures using the EEG signals helps the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-08 Abhijeet Bhattacharya

Computational saliency models for still images have gained significant popularity in recent years. Saliency prediction from videos, on the other hand, has received relatively little interest from the community. Motivated by this, in this…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-11-16 Cagdas Bak , Aysun Kocak , Erkut Erdem , Aykut Erdem

Machine learning has been widely used in healthcare applications to approximate complex models, for clinical diagnosis, prognosis, and treatment. As deep learning has the outstanding ability to extract information from time series, its true…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-14 Ke Liao , Wei Wang , Armagan Elibol , Lingzhong Meng , Xu Zhao , Nak Young Chong

Error backpropagation is a highly effective mechanism for learning high-quality hierarchical features in deep networks. Updating the features or weights in one layer, however, requires waiting for the propagation of error signals from…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2017-11-21 Hesham Mostafa , Vishwajith Ramesh , Gert Cauwenberghs
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