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In Bayesian statistics, the marginal likelihood, also known as the evidence, is used to evaluate model fit as it quantifies the joint probability of the data under the prior. In contrast, non-Bayesian models are typically compared using…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-24 Edwin Fong , Chris Holmes

Representation learning offers a conduit to elucidate distinctive features within the latent space and interpret the deep models. However, the randomness of lesion distribution and the complexity of low-quality factors in medical images…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-04-09 Qingshan Hou , Shuai Cheng , Peng Cao , Jinzhu Yang , Xiaoli Liu , Osmar R. Zaiane , Yih Chung Tham

Conformal prediction is a popular uncertainty quantification method that augments a base predictor to return sets of predictions with statistically valid coverage guarantees. However, current methods are often computationally expensive and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Laura Lützow , Michael Eichelbeck , Mykel J. Kochenderfer , Matthias Althoff

Learning causality from observational data has received increasing interest across various scientific fields. However, most existing methods assume the absence of latent confounders and restrict the underlying causal graph to be acyclic,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-18 Wei Jin , Lang Lang , Amanda B. Spence , Leah H. Rubin , Yanxun Xu

Given a high-dimensional covariate matrix and a response vector, ridge-regularized sparse linear regression selects a subset of features that explains the relationship between covariates and the response in an interpretable manner. To…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-02-13 Ryan Cory-Wright , Andrés Gómez

Missing values are unavoidable in many applications of machine learning and present challenges both during training and at test time. When variables are missing in recurring patterns, fitting separate pattern submodels have been proposed as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-27 Lena Stempfle , Ashkan Panahi , Fredrik D. Johansson

Despite tremendous progress in outlier detection research in recent years, the majority of existing methods are designed only to detect unconditional outliers that correspond to unusual data patterns expressed in the joint space of all data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-12-23 Charmgil Hong , Milos Hauskrecht

In practical data analysis under noisy environment, it is common to first use robust methods to identify outliers, and then to conduct further analysis after removing the outliers. In this paper, we consider statistical inference of the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-04 Toshiaki Tsukurimichi , Yu Inatsu , Vo Nguyen Le Duy , Ichiro Takeuchi

Cancer survival prediction from whole slide images (WSIs) is a challenging task in computational pathology due to the large size, irregular shape, and high granularity of the WSIs. These characteristics make it difficult to capture the full…

Image and Video Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-05 Rustin Soraki , Huayu Wang , Joann G. Elmore , Linda Shapiro

Weighting procedures are used in observational causal inference to adjust for covariate imbalance within the sample. Common practice for inference is to estimate robust standard errors from a weighted regression of outcome on treatment.…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-29 Erin Hartman , Chad Hazlett , Arisa Sadeghpour

K-fold Cross Validation is commonly used to evaluate classifiers and tune their hyperparameters. However, it assumes that data points are Independent and Identically Distributed (i.i.d.) so that samples used in the training and test sets…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-04-10 Akbar Dehghani , Tristan Glatard , Emad Shihab

We often seek to estimate the causal effect of an exposure on a particular outcome in both randomized and observational settings. One such estimation method is the covariate-adjusted residuals estimator, which was designed for individually…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-28 Stephen A. Lauer , Nicholas G. Reich , Laura B. Balzer

The leading workhorse of anomaly (and attack) detection in the literature has been residual-based detectors, where the residual is the discrepancy between the observed output provided by the sensors (inclusive of any tampering along the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-17 Navid Hashemi , Eduardo Verdugo German , Jonatan Pena Ramirez , Justin Ruths

Cross-Validation (CV) is the default choice for evaluating the performance of machine learning models. Despite its wide usage, their statistical benefits have remained half-understood, especially in challenging nonparametric regimes. In…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-08-22 Garud Iyengar , Henry Lam , Tianyu Wang

We introduce a framework to build a survival/risk bump hunting model with a censored time-to-event response. Our Survival Bump Hunting (SBH) method is based on a recursive peeling procedure that uses a specific survival peeling criterion…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-24 Jean-Eudes Dazard , Michael Choe , Michael LeBlanc , J. Sunil Rao

Conformal predictive systems are sets of predictive distributions with theoretical out-of-sample calibration guarantees. The calibration guarantees are typically that the set of predictions contains a forecast distribution whose prediction…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-03 Sam Allen , Enrico Pescara , Johanna Ziegel

In survival analysis it often happens that some subjects under study do not experience the event of interest; they are considered to be `cured'. The population is thus a mixture of two subpopulations: the one of cured subjects, and the one…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-16 Valentin Patilea , Ingrid Van Keilegom

Survival analysis is a statistical framework for modeling time-to-event data, particularly valuable in healthcare for predicting outcomes like patient discharge or recurrence. This study implements and compares several survival models -…

The requirement of uncertainty quantification for anomaly detection systems has become increasingly important. In this context, effectively controlling Type I error rates ($\alpha$) without compromising the statistical power ($1-\beta$) of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-02-21 Oliver Hennhöfer , Christine Preisach

The problem of validating or criticising models for georeferenced data is challenging, since the conclusions can vary significantly depending on the locations of the validation set. This work proposes the use of cross-validation techniques…

Computation · Statistics 2018-02-19 Viviana G R Lobo , Thaís C O da Fonseca , Fernando A S Moura