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Cross-validation is a widely-used technique to estimate prediction error, but its behavior is complex and not fully understood. Ideally, one would like to think that cross-validation estimates the prediction error for the model at hand, fit…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 Stephen Bates , Trevor Hastie , Robert Tibshirani

This paper presents a functional linear Cox regression model with frailty to tackle unobserved heterogeneity in survival data with functional covariates. While traditional Cox models are common, they struggle to incorporate frailty effects…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-14 Deniz Inan , Ufuk Beyaztas , Carmen D. Tekwe , Xiwei Chen , Roger S. Zoh

Outliers introduce significant training challenges in neural networks by propagating erroneous gradients, which can degrade model performance and generalization. We propose the Z-Error Loss, a statistically principled approach that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-04 Guillaume Godin

Repeated measures of biomarkers have the potential of explaining hazards of survival outcomes. In practice, these measurements are intermittently measured and are known to be subject to substantial measurement error. Joint modelling of…

Applications · Statistics 2019-12-12 Lisa McFetridge , Ozgur Asar , Jonas Wallin

When cross-validating standard or extended Cox models, the commonly used criterion is the cross-validated partial loglikelihood using a naive or a van Houwelingen scheme -to make efficient use of the death times of the left out data in…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-09 Frédéric Bertrand , Philippe Bastien , Myriam Maumy-Bertrand

Making informed decisions about model adequacy has been an outstanding issue for regression models with discrete outcomes. Standard assessment tools for such outcomes (e.g. deviance residuals) often show a large discrepancy from the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-02 Lu Yang

Bayesian paradigm takes advantage of well fitting complicated survival models and feasible computing in survival analysis owing to the superiority in tackling the complex censoring scheme, compared with the frequentist paradigm. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-10 Chong Zhong , Zhihua Ma , Junshan Shen , Catherine Liu

Assessing fit in common factor models solely through the lens of mean and covariance structures, as is commonly done with conventional goodness-of-fit (GOF) assessments, may overlook critical aspects of misfit, potentially leading to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-04 Youjin Sung , Youngjin Han , Yang Liu

This paper compares six different parameter estimation methods for shared frailty models via a series of simulation studies. A shared frailty model is a survival model that incorporates a random effect term, where the frailties are common…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-21 Tingxuan Wu , Cindy Feng , Longhai Li

Regression experts consistently recommend plotting residuals for model diagnosis, despite the availability of many numerical hypothesis test procedures designed to use residuals to assess problems with a model fit. Here we provide evidence…

Applications · Statistics 2024-11-04 Weihao Li , Dianne Cook , Emi Tanaka , Susan VanderPlas

The mean residual life function is a key functional for a survival distribution. It has a practically useful interpretation as the expected remaining lifetime given survival up to a particular time point, and it also characterizes the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-10-11 Valerie Poynor , Athanasios Kottas

Plotting the residuals is a recommended procedure to diagnose deviations from linear model assumptions, such as non-linearity, heteroscedasticity, and non-normality. The presence of structure in residual plots can be tested using the lineup…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-05 Weihao Li , Dianne Cook , Emi Tanaka , Susan VanderPlas , Klaus Ackermann

Cross-validation is a popular non-parametric method for evaluating the accuracy of a predictive rule. The usefulness of cross-validation depends on the task we want to employ it for. In this note, I discuss a simple non-parametric setting,…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-27 Stefan Wager

Data-driven modeling and machine learning are widely used to model the behavior of dynamic systems. One application is the residual evaluation of technical systems where model predictions are compared with measurement data to create…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-09 Arman Mohammadi , Theodor Westny , Daniel Jung , Mattias Krysander

In a data matrix, we may distinguish between cases, each represented by a row vector for a statistical unit, and cells, which correspond to single entries of the data matrix. Recent developments in Robust Statistics have introduced the…

Cross-validation plays a fundamental role in Machine Learning, enabling robust evaluation of model performance and preventing overestimation on training and validation data. However, one of its drawbacks is the potential to create data…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-28 Afonso Martini Spezia , Thomas Fontanari , Mariana Recamonde-Mendoza

In this paper, we propose an easy-to-implement residual-based specification testing procedure for detecting structural changes in factor models, which is powerful against both smooth and abrupt structural changes with unknown break dates.…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-22 Bin Peng , Liangjun Su , Yayi Yan

Traditionally, machine learning-based clinical prediction models have been trained and evaluated on patient data from a single source, such as a hospital. Cross-validation methods can be used to estimate the accuracy of such models on new…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-24 Tuija Leinonen , David Wong , Antti Vasankari , Ali Wahab , Ramesh Nadarajah , Matti Kaisti , Antti Airola

Functional linear regression is a widely used approach to model functional responses with respect to functional inputs. However, classical functional linear regression models can be severely affected by outliers. We therefore introduce a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-02 Harjit Hullait , David S. Leslie , Nicos G. Pavlidis , Steve King

Dependent survival data arise in many contexts. One context is clustered survival data, where survival data are collected on clusters such as families or medical centers. Dependent survival data also arise when multiple survival times are…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-12 Malka Gorfine , David M. Zucker