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Experimenters report an upper limit if the signal they are trying to detect is non-existent or below their experiment's sensitivity. Such experiments may be contaminated with a background too poorly understood to subtract. If the background…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-07 S. Yellin

When backgrounds are not well enough controlled to measure the value of some physical parameter, one may still obtain an upper limit on the parameter. A single experiment may have several detectors, each of which can alone be used to derive…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2011-06-30 S. Yellin

We discuss a new method for setting limits on small signals in the presence of background noise. The method is based on a combination of a two dimensional confidence region and the large sample approximation to the likelihood ratio test…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-10-31 Wolfgang A. Rolke , Angel M. Lopez

We address the common problem of calculating intervals in the presence of systematic uncertainties. We aim to investigate several approaches, but here describe just a Bayesian technique for setting upper limits. The particular example we…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-05-23 Joel Heinrich , Craig Blocker , John Conway , Luc Demortier , Louis Lyons , Giovanni Punzi , Pekka K. Sinervo

We present a procedure for calculating an upper limit on the number of signal events which incorporates the Poisson uncertainty in the background, estimated from control regions of one or two dimensions. For small number of signal events,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-26 K. K. Gan

In this paper, we develop new optional stopping theorems for scenarios where the stopping rules are defined by bounded continuity regions. Moreover, we establish a wide variety of inequalities on the supremums and infimums of functions of…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-08-01 Xinjia Chen

Rough Set based Spanning Sets were recently proposed to deal with uncertainties arising in the problem in domain of natural language processing problems. This paper presents a novel span measure using upper approximations. The key…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2021-07-27 Nidhika Yadav

Analysis of experimental data must sometimes deal with abrupt changes in the distribution of measured values. Setting upper limits on signals usually involves a veto procedure that excludes data not described by an assumed statistical…

General Relativity and Quantum Cosmology · Physics 2015-03-20 Vladimir Dergachev

Matching mechanisms play a central role in operations management across diverse fields including education, healthcare, and online platforms. However, experimentally comparing a new matching algorithm against a status quo presents some…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-30 Chonghuan Wang

We provide the analytic forms of the distributions for the sum of ordered spacings. We do this both for the case where the boundaries are included in the calculation of the spacings and the case where they are excluded. Both the probability…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-06 Lolian Shtembari , Allen Caldwell

Cumulative constraints are central in scheduling with constraint programming, yet propagation is typically performed per constraint, missing multi-resource interactions and causing severe slowdowns on some benchmarks. I present a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2026-02-18 Konstantin Sidorov

We propose an approach to rapidly find the upper limit of separability between datasets that is directly applicable to HEP classification problems. The most common HEP classification task is to use $n$ values (variables) for an object…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2017-09-01 Nicholas Carrara , Jesse A. Ernst

Bayesian, classical, and extended maximum likelihood approaches to estimation of upper limits in experiments with small numbers of signal events are surveyed. The discussion covers only experiments whose outcomes are well described by a…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2011-07-19 Ilya Narsky

A method is described, which computes from an observed sample of events upper limits for production rates of particles, or, in case of appearance of a signal, the probability for an upwards fluctuation of the background. For any candidate,…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2010-10-27 P. Bock

Within the setting of rare event modelling, the method of level sets allows us to define an equivalence relation over rare events with distinct rates of entropy production. This method allows us to clarify the relation between the empirical…

General Mathematics · Mathematics 2025-05-13 Aidan Rocke

In the preprocessing framework for dealing with uncertain data, one is given a set of regions that one is allowed to preprocess to create some auxiliary structure such that when a realization of these regions is given, consisting of one…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2026-01-28 Maarten Löffler , Benjamin Raichel

We derive new upper and lower bounds for probabilities that $r$ or at least $r$ from $n$ events occur. These bounds can turn to equalities. The method is discussed as well. It works for measurable space and measures with sign, too. We also…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-08-12 Andrei N. Frolov

Estimating frequency moments of data streams is a very well studied problem and tight bounds are known on the amount of space that is necessary and sufficient when the stream is adversarially ordered. Recently, motivated by various…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2008-08-19 Alexandr Andoni , Andrew McGregor , Krzysztof Onak , Rina Panigrahy

It has been recently discovered that some random processes may satisfy limit theorems even though they exhibit intermittency, namely an unusual growth of moments. In this paper we provide a deeper understanding of these intricate limiting…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-23 Danijel Grahovac , Nikolai N. Leonenko , Murad S. Taqqu

The optimum interval method for finding an upper limit of a one-dimensionally distributed signal in the presence of an unknown background is extended to the case of high statistics. There is also some discussion of how the method can be…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2007-09-19 S. Yellin
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