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Urban environments pose a significant challenge for autonomous vehicles (AVs) as they must safely navigate while in close proximity to many pedestrians. It is crucial for the AV to correctly understand and predict the future trajectories of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-02-27 Cyrus Anderson , Xiaoxiao Du , Ram Vasudevan , Matthew Johnson-Roberson

Reliable uncertainty quantification is critical in multivariate time series forecasting problems arising in domains such as energy systems and transportation networks, among many others. Although Transformer-based architectures have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Rajdeep Pathak , Rahul Goswami , Madhurima Panja , Palash Ghosh , Tanujit Chakraborty

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have proven to be powerful predictors and are widely used for various tasks. Credible uncertainty estimation of their predictions, however, is crucial for their deployment in many risk-sensitive applications. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-03 Ido Galil , Ran El-Yaniv

Spatio-temporal graph neural networks (STGNNs) are widely used for short-term forecasting in dynamic physical systems such as traffic and weather. However, the prevailing evaluation practice uses real world benchmark data sets in a single…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Henok Tenaw Moges , Charalampos Skokos , Deshendran Moodley

While graph neural networks (GNNs) are widely used for node and graph representation learning tasks, the reliability of GNN uncertainty estimates under distribution shifts remains relatively under-explored. Indeed, while post-hoc…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-16 Puja Trivedi , Mark Heimann , Rushil Anirudh , Danai Koutra , Jayaraman J. Thiagarajan

Autonomous vehicle navigation in shared pedestrian environments requires the ability to predict future crowd motion both accurately and with minimal delay. Understanding the uncertainty of the prediction is also crucial. Most existing…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-11-24 Kunming Li , Stuart Eiffert , Mao Shan , Francisco Gomez-Donoso , Stewart Worrall , Eduardo Nebot

This paper pioneers a nonroutine network traffic prediction (NNTP) method to prospectively provide a theoretical basis for avoiding large-scale network disruption by accurately predicting bursty traffic. Certain events that impact user…

Networking and Internet Architecture · Computer Science 2024-10-22 Liangzhi Wang , Haoyuan Zhu , Jiliang Zhang , Zitian Zhang , Jie Zhang

Traffic flow prediction is a big challenge for transportation authorities as it helps plan and develop better infrastructure. State-of-the-art models often struggle to consider the data in the best way possible, as well as intrinsic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-04 Mayur Patil , Qadeer Ahmed , Shawn Midlam-Mohler

In safety-critical systems that interface with the real world, the role of uncertainty in decision-making is pivotal, particularly in the context of machine learning models. For the secure functioning of Cyber-Physical Systems (CPS), it is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-29 Neha Kumari , Sumit Kumar. Sneha Priya , Ayush Kumar , Akash Fogla

Highway traffic modeling and forecasting approaches are critical for intelligent transportation systems. Recently, deep-learning-based traffic forecasting methods have emerged as state of the art for a wide range of traffic forecasting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-21 Tanwi Mallick , Prasanna Balaprakash , Eric Rask , Jane Macfarlane

Scenario-based optimization and control has proven to be an efficient approach to account for system uncertainty. In particular, the performance of scenario-based model predictive control (MPC) schemes depends on the accuracy of uncertainty…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-22 Yajie Bao , Javad Mohammadpour Velni

Dynamic queueing networks (DQN) model queueing systems where demand varies strongly with time, such as airport terminals. With rapidly rising global air passenger traffic placing increasing pressure on airport terminals, efficient…

Advanced travel information and warning, if provided accurately, can help road users avoid traffic congestion through dynamic route planning and behavior change. It also enables traffic control centres mitigate the impact of congestion by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-09-11 Wei Wang , Xucheng Li

Probabilistic forecasting is not only a way to add more information to a prediction of the future, but it also builds on weaknesses in point prediction. Sudden changes in a time series can still be captured by a cumulative distribution…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Niklas Erdmann , Lars Bentsen , Roy Stenbro , Heine Nygard Riise , Narada Dilp Warakagoda , Paal E. Engelstad

Graph Neural Networks (GNN) have recently gained popularity in the forecasting domain due to their ability to model complex spatial and temporal patterns in tasks such as traffic forecasting and region-based demand forecasting. Most of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-08 Abishek Sriramulu , Nicolas Fourrier , Christoph Bergmeir

Quantized deep neural networks (QDNNs) are necessary for low-power, high throughput, and embedded applications. Previous studies mostly focused on developing optimization methods for the quantization of given models. However, quantization…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-02 Yoonho Boo , Sungho Shin , Wonyong Sung

Being able to rapidly respond to the changing scenes and traffic situations by generating feasible local paths is of pivotal importance for car autonomy. We propose to train a deep neural network (DNN) to plan feasible and nearly-optimal…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-01-26 Piotr Kicki , Tomasz Gawron , Krzysztof Ćwian , Mete Ozay , Piotr Skrzypczyński

Learning-based solutions have enabled incredible capabilities for autonomous systems. Autonomous vehicles, both aerial and ground, rely on DNN for various integral tasks, including perception. The efficacy of supervised learning solutions…

Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are nonlinear dynamical models commonly used in the machine learning and dynamical systems literature to represent complex dynamical or sequential relationships between variables. More recently, as deep…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-02-08 Patrick L. McDermott , Christopher K. Wikle

Road safety is a major global public health concern. Effective traffic crash prediction can play a critical role in reducing road traffic accidents. However, Existing machine learning approaches tend to focus on predicting traffic accidents…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-19 Baixiang Huang , Bryan Hooi , Kai Shu