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Reliability (survival analysis, to biostatisticians) is a key ingredient for mak- ing decisions that mitigate the risk of failure. The other key ingredient is utility. A decision theoretic framework harnesses the two, but to invoke this…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-07-24 Nozer D. Singpurwalla

Decision trees are widely used for interpretable machine learning due to their clearly structured reasoning process. However, this structure belies a challenge we refer to as predictive equivalence: a given tree's decision boundary can be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-15 Hayden McTavish , Zachery Boner , Jon Donnelly , Margo Seltzer , Cynthia Rudin

In the early twentieth century, L.E.J. Brouwer pioneered a new philosophy of mathematics, called intuitionism. Intuitionism was revolutionary in many respects but stands out -mathematically speaking- for its challenge of Hilbert's formalist…

Logic · Mathematics 2017-08-22 Sam Sanders

In frequently repeated matching scenarios, individuals may require diversification in their choices. Therefore, when faced with a set of potential outcomes, each individual may have an ideal lottery over outcomes that represents their…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-04-29 Rasoul Ramezanian

Expectation is a central notion in probability theory. The notion of expectation also makes sense for other notions of uncertainty. We introduce a propositional logic for reasoning about expectation, where the semantics depends on the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-07-29 Joseph Y. Halpern , Riccardo Pucella

Incomplete preferences provide the epistemic foundation for models of imprecise subjective probabilities and utilities that are used in robust Bayesian analysis and in theories of bounded rationality. This paper presents a simple…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Robert Nau

We demonstrate that a ubiquitous feature of network games, bilateral strategic interactions, is equivalent to having player utilities that are additively separable across opponents. We distinguish two formal notions of bilateral strategic…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-20 Joseph Root , Evan Sadler

A composite likelihood is a combination of low-dimensional likelihood objects useful in applications where the data have complex structure. Although composite likelihood construction is a crucial aspect influencing both computing and…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-04-26 Zhendong Huang , Davide Ferrari

The expectation is an example of a descriptive statistic that is monotone with respect to stochastic dominance, and additive for sums of independent random variables. We provide a complete characterization of such statistics, and explore a…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-08-06 Xiaosheng Mu , Luciano Pomatto , Philipp Strack , Omer Tamuz

We study constrained versions of the Ingleton inequality in the entropic setting and quantify its stability under small violations of conditional independence. Although the classical Ingleton inequality fails for general entropy profiles,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-03-24 Rostislav Matveev , Andrei Romashchenko

A folklore result in category theory is that a (weakly) Cartesian closed category with finite co-products is distributive. Usually, the proof of this small result is carried on using the fact that the exponential functor is right adjoint to…

Category Theory · Mathematics 2014-06-16 Marco Benini

This paper presents a soundness and completeness proof for propositional intuitionistic calculus with respect to the semantics of computability logic. The latter interprets formulas as interactive computational problems, formalized as games…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2011-04-15 Giorgi Japaridze

At the end, the house always wins! This simple truth holds for all public games of chance. Nevertheless, since lotteries have existed, people have tried everything to give luck a helping hand. This article compares objective scientific…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2026-03-27 Ralph Stömmer

We provide a constructive proof of Border's theorem [Bor91, HR15a] and its generalization to reduced-form auctions with asymmetric bidders [Bor07, MV10, CKM13]. Given a reduced form, we identify a subset of Border constraints that are…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2017-11-21 Yang Cai , Constantinos Daskalakis , S. Matthew Weinberg

We propose for the Effective Topos an alternative construction: a realisability framework composed of two levels of abstraction. This construction simplifies the proof that the Effective Topos is a topos (equipped with natural numbers),…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2013-07-16 Alexis Bernadet , Stéphane Graham-Lengrand

Constructive election control considers the problem of an adversary who seeks to sway the outcome of an electoral process in order to ensure that their favored candidate wins. We consider the computational problem of constructive election…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-12-02 Jasper Lu , David Kai Zhang , Zinovi Rabinovich , Svetlana Obraztsova , Yevgeniy Vorobeychik

There are different approaches to qualitative probability, which includes subjective probability. We developed a representation of qualitative probability based on relational systems, which allows modeling uncertainty by probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-01 Mark Burgin

We introduce Value Coalition Logic, a typed assignment-based reconstruction of classical coalition logic. The strategic semantics is unchanged: coalitional ability is still interpreted by the standard one-step game-form clause. The change…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2026-05-26 Shanxia Wang

We view voting rules as classifiers that assign a winner (a class) to a profile of voters' preferences (an instance). We propose to apply techniques from formal explainability, most notably abductive and contrastive explanations, to…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-08-27 Clément Contet , Umberto Grandi , Jérôme Mengin

The Shapley value is commonly illustrated by roll call votes in which players support or reject a proposal in sequence. If all sequences are equiprobable, a voter's Shapley value can be interpreted as the probability of being pivotal, i.e.,…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2018-10-04 Sascha Kurz , Stefan Napel
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