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Spatio-temporal forecasting is essential for real-world applications such as traffic management and urban computing. Although recent methods have shown improved accuracy, they often fail to account for dynamic deviations between current…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Haotian Gao , Zheng Dong , Jiawei Yong , Shintaro Fukushima , Kenjiro Taura , Renhe Jiang

Data-driven methodologies are nowadays ubiquitous. Their rapid development and spread have led to applications even beyond the traditional fields of science. As far as dynamical systems and differential equations are concerned, neural…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-05 Dimitri Breda , Xunbi A. Ji , Gábor Orosz , Muhammad Tanveer

Spiking neural networks (SNNs) inherently rely on the timing of signals for representing and processing information. Incorporating trainable transmission delays, alongside synaptic weights, is crucial for shaping these temporal dynamics.…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2025-04-17 Julian Göltz , Jimmy Weber , Laura Kriener , Sebastian Billaudelle , Peter Lake , Johannes Schemmel , Melika Payvand , Mihai A. Petrovici

Unpredictable sensor-to-estimator delays fundamentally distort what matters for wireless remote state estimation: not just freshness, but how delay interacts with sensor informativeness and energy efficiency. In this paper, we present a…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-01-30 Nho-Duc Tran , Aamir Mahmood , Mikael Gidlund

We investigate neural ordinary and stochastic differential equations (neural ODEs and SDEs) to model stochastic dynamics in fully and partially observed environments within a model-based reinforcement learning (RL) framework. Through a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-25 Chao Han , Stefanos Ioannou , Luca Manneschi , T. J. Hayward , Michael Mangan , Aditya Gilra , Eleni Vasilaki

Delay embedding---a method for reconstructing dynamical systems by delay coordinates---is widely used to forecast nonlinear time series as a model-free approach. When multivariate time series are observed, several existing frameworks can be…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-07-04 Shunya Okuno , Kazuyuki Aihara , Yoshito Hirata

We tackle the problem of predicting the number of optimization steps that a pre-trained deep network needs to converge to a given value of the loss function. To do so, we leverage the fact that the training dynamics of a deep network during…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-31 Luca Zancato , Alessandro Achille , Avinash Ravichandran , Rahul Bhotika , Stefano Soatto

Recent advances in stochastic differential equations (SDEs) have enabled robust modeling of real-world dynamical processes across diverse domains, such as finance, health, and systems biology. However, parameter estimation for SDEs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-29 Long Van Tran , Truyen Tran , Phuoc Nguyen

Personalized medicine based on medical images, including predicting future individualized clinical disease progression and treatment response, would have an enormous impact on healthcare and drug development, particularly for diseases (e.g.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-06-19 Joshua Durso-Finley , Berardino Barile , Jean-Pierre Falet , Douglas L. Arnold , Nick Pawlowski , Tal Arbel

Time series analysis is critical for emerging net- work intelligent control and management functions. However, existing statistical-based and shallow machine learning models have shown limited prediction capabilities on multivariate time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-13 Yufeng Xin , Ethan Fan

Quantifying predictive uncertainty of deep semantic segmentation networks is essential in safety-critical tasks. In applications like autonomous driving, where video data is available, convolutional long short-term memory networks are…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2023-11-14 Laura Fieback , Bidya Dash , Jakob Spiegelberg , Hanno Gottschalk

Spiking neural networks (SNNs) are rapidly gaining momentum as an alternative to conventional artificial neural networks in resource constrained edge systems. In this work, we continue a recent research line on recurrent SNNs where axonal…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2026-04-20 Lúcio Folly Sanches Zebendo , Eleonora Cicciarella , Michele Rossi

Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks are often used to capture temporal dependency patterns. By stacking multi-layer LSTM networks, it can capture even more complex patterns. This paper explores the effectiveness of applying stacked LSTM…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-11-03 Frank Xiao

Delay-coordinate embedding is a powerful, time-tested mathematical framework for reconstructing the dynamics of a system from a series of scalar observations. Most of the associated theory and heuristics are overly stringent for real-world…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-05-22 Joshua Garland

This paper is about the state estimation of timed probabilistic discrete event systems. The main contribution is to propose general procedures for developing state estimation approaches based on artificial neural networks. It is assumed…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-22 Omar Amri , Carla Seatzu , Alessandro Giua , Dimitri Lefebvre

We analyze convergence of decentralized cooperative online estimation algorithms by a network of multiple nodes via information exchanging in an uncertain environment. Each node has a linear observation of an unknown parameter with randomly…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-12-08 Jiexiang Wang , Tao Li , Xiwei Zhang

We present a framework and algorithms to learn controlled dynamics models using neural stochastic differential equations (SDEs) -- SDEs whose drift and diffusion terms are both parametrized by neural networks. We construct the drift term to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-17 Franck Djeumou , Cyrus Neary , Ufuk Topcu

Time series with long-term structure arise in a variety of contexts and capturing this temporal structure is a critical challenge in time series analysis for both inference and forecasting settings. Traditionally, state space models have…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-12 Anna K. Yanchenko , Sayan Mukherjee

Neural networks trained on biased datasets tend to inadvertently learn spurious correlations, hindering generalization. We formally prove that (1) samples that exhibit spurious correlations lie on a lower rank manifold relative to the ones…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-11-07 Silpa Vadakkeeveetil Sreelatha , Adarsh Kappiyath , Abhra Chaudhuri , Anjan Dutta

Modeling uncertainty in deep neural networks, despite recent important advances, is still an open problem. Bayesian neural networks are a powerful solution, where the prior over network weights is a design choice, often a normal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-10-29 Raanan Y. Rohekar , Yaniv Gurwicz , Shami Nisimov , Gal Novik