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The aim of this work is to study the problem of prior elicitation for the Mallows model with Spearman's distance, a popular distance-based model for rankings or permutation data. Previous Bayesian inference for such model has been limited…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-31 Marta Crispino , Isadora Antoniano-Villalobos

Bayesian inversion is central to the quantification of uncertainty within problems arising from numerous applications in science and engineering. To formulate the approach, four ingredients are required: a forward model mapping the unknown…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-15 O. Deniz Akyildiz , Mark Girolami , Andrew M. Stuart , Arnaud Vadeboncoeur

The advent of Generative Artificial Intelligence (GAI) has heralded an inflection point that changed how society thinks about knowledge acquisition. While GAI cannot be fully trusted for decision-making, it may still provide valuable…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-20 Sean O'Hagan , Veronika Ročková

A staple of Bayesian model comparison and hypothesis testing, Bayes factors are often used to quantify the relative predictive performance of two rival hypotheses. The computation of Bayes factors can be challenging, however, and this has…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-19 František Bartoš , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

We give efficient "collaboration protocols" through which two parties, who observe different features about the same instances, can interact to arrive at predictions that are more accurate than either could have obtained on their own. The…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-09 Natalie Collina , Ira Globus-Harris , Surbhi Goel , Varun Gupta , Aaron Roth , Mirah Shi

Bayesian hierarchical models are frequently used in practical data analysis contexts. One interpretation of these models is that they provide an indirect way of assigning a prior for unknown parameters, through the introduction of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-01 Brendon J. Brewer

Background: The uptake of formalized prior elicitation from experts in Bayesian clinical trials has been limited due to challenges such as complex statistical modeling, lack of practical tools, and the cognitive burden placed on experts…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-15 Yongdong Ouyang , Janice J Eng , Denghuang Zhan , Hubert Wong , The WnW Research Team

Deep generative models with latent variables have been used lately to learn joint representations and generative processes from multi-modal data. These two learning mechanisms can, however, conflict with each other and representations can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-24 Rogelio A. Mancisidor , Michael Kampffmeyer , Kjersti Aas , Robert Jenssen

In the case of informative sampling the sampling scheme explicitly or implicitly depends on the response variable. As a result, the sample distribution of response variable can- not be used for making inference about the population. In this…

Applications · Statistics 2016-11-18 Anna Sikov

Informative Bayesian priors are often difficult to elicit, and when this is the case, modelers usually turn to noninformative or objective priors. However, objective priors such as the Jeffreys and reference priors are not tractable to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-08 Eric Nalisnick , Padhraic Smyth

This article introduces a novel framework for nonparametric priors on real-valued random vectors, which can be viewed as a multivariate generalization of neutral-to-the right priors. It is based on randomizing the exponent measure of a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-13 Florian Brück

Bayesian models quantify uncertainty and facilitate optimal decision-making in downstream applications. For most models, however, practitioners are forced to use approximate inference techniques that lead to sub-optimal decisions due to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-12 Tomasz Kuśmierczyk , Joseph Sakaya , Arto Klami

A central challenge in statistical inference is the presence of confounding variables that may distort observed associations between treatment and outcome. Conventional "causal" methods, grounded in assumptions such as ignorability, exclude…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-09 Ellis Scharfenaker , Duncan K. Foley

In applications of Bayesian procedures, once a class of priors has been chosen, it may be tempting to fix the prior's hyperparameters from the data, in an empirical Bayes (EB) fashion, usually by their maximum marginal likelihood estimates…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Stefano Rizzelli , Judith Rousseau , Sonia Petrone

The mutual information of two random variables i and j with joint probabilities t_ij is commonly used in learning Bayesian nets as well as in many other fields. The chances t_ij are usually estimated by the empirical sampling frequency…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2007-07-13 Marcus Hutter

Finite mixture models are flexible methods that are commonly used for model-based clustering. A recent focus in the model-based clustering literature is to highlight the difference between the number of components in a mixture model and the…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-03 Garritt L. Page , Massimo Ventrucci , Maria Franco-Villoria

One of the most complex tasks of decision making and planning is to gather information. This task becomes even more complex when the state is high-dimensional and its belief cannot be expressed with a parametric distribution. Although the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-09-26 Gilad Rotman , Vadim Indelman

Bayesian modeling and analysis of the MEG and EEG modalities provide a flexible framework for introducing prior information complementary to the measured data. This prior information is often qualitative in nature, making the translation of…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2008-11-20 Daniela Calvetti , Harri Hakula , Sampsa Pursiainen , Erkki Somersalo

In a given problem, the Bayesian statistical paradigm requires the specification of a prior distribution that quantifies relevant information about the unknowns of main interest external to the data. In cases where little such information…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-11 Alexander Terenin , David Draper

The integration of data and knowledge from several sources is known as data fusion. When data is only available in a distributed fashion or when different sensors are used to infer a quantity of interest, data fusion becomes essential. In…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-11 Peng Wu , Tales Imbiriba , Victor Elvira , Pau Closas